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636 E Monroe St
B- Composite 66.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$122,900

636 E Monroe St · Little Falls, NY 13365
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,396 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1873 8,500 sqft lot $88/sqft · 16% below area Est $147k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 636 East Monroe Street in Little Falls—a strong opportunity packed with value, space, and upside. This 2-story home offers 3 bedrooms and 1,396 square feet of living space, delivering the kind of layout and potential that today’s buyers are chasing. Step inside and you’ll immediately appreciate the functional flow, with a spacious living area that transitions easily for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen offers ample space and the opportunity to customize to your style. A major convenience on the first floor is the combined half bath and laundry area—adding practicality and efficiency to daily living. Upstairs, you’ll find three well-sized

Key facts

  • One-stall garage
  • Spacious living area
  • Full attic

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING AREAFULL ATTICWELCOMING FRONT PORCHONE-STALL GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: 2-story house; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation; Existing (year built details)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range / Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes living spaces and laundry)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Storm windows; Thermal windows; Wood window frames
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (2.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#440 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Little Falls City School District (rural): math 37% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #492 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($850 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $123k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1873 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,213 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1873 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.10%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,648
List price
$122,900
Delta
-16.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22 High St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,520 (+9%) 9mo $115,000 $76 68
121 Loomis St 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,358 (-3%) 2mo $107,000 $79 67
26 Petrie St 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+4%) 18mo $155,000 $106 63
227 Loomis St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,404 (+1%) 10mo $115,000 $82 61
118 Prospect St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,310 (-6%) 1mo $152,000 $116 59
87 Prospect St 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,400 (+0%) 13mo $100,000 $71 58
266 Loomis St 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,496 (+7%) 17mo $70,100 $47 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$74,423
Equity at exit
$110,718
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
7.20×
Total profit
$213,298
Equity at exit
$238,768

Cash invested: $34,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13365

Home prices YoY
9.9%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$645
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,055
Max offer price $122,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,725
Closing costs
$3,687
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    price $122,900 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $129,900 1489-char remark
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $139,900 Active 1489-char remark
  18. 2018-09-20
    soldstatus $53,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,650 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,863 · $155/mo
Expected delta
+$214/yr (+$18/mo · 13.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,440
− Mortgage interest
−$6,884
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$614
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,155
− Management
−$1,155
− Depreciation
−$3,575
Taxable loss
−$594
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$143
After-tax cash flow
$1,552/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3617460
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$42,445
Composite
36.22/100
National rank
#4724
State rank
#492 of 590 in NY

Livability — Little Falls

Score
70/100
State rank
#440
US rank
#7681

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
8,545

Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,340 people
By 2030
56,838 · -4.2%
By 2040
51,098 · -13.9%
By 2050
45,080 · -24.0%
By 2075
32,648 · -45.0%
By 2100
22,266 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Polish 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 27.04%
Current HPI
300.9696
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+131.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Price Changed $122,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $129,900 CNYIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+22.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,650 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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