🏷️ Likely Rental
4319 W 23rd · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Great portfolio add or flip. .. Property is Tenant Occupied; Lease is MONTH TO MONTH, $850.00 MONTHLY, 24 HR NOTICE TO SHOW. .. SOLD AS-IS Part of a package, could be purchased in individually or all together. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 64 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $621 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $60k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.42%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $110,629
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -45.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2521 S Maple St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+0%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $31 | 68 |
| 4613 W 16th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,540 (-3%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $16 | 67 |
| 4300 W 17th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,649 (+4%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $30 | 66 |
| 1805 Princeton Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-9%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 4300 W 16th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,683 (+6%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $89 | 58 |
| 1706 S Cedar St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,404 (-12%) | 9mo | $60,000 | $43 | 51 |
| 4207 W 15th St | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 | 1,751 (+10%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $17 | 49 |
| 1608 Green Meadow Dr | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-13%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $61 | 44 |
| 1500 Valmar St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,431 (-10%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $122 | 38 |
| 3403 W 17th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-14%) | 7mo | $167,500 | $122 | 35 |
| 3401 W 17th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-14%) | 7mo | $167,500 | $122 | 34 |
| 2506 S Tyler St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-15%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $118 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $32,306
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 50.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.34×
- Total profit
- $89,593
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72204
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $461/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $621
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4022 W 25th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1674 | $1,025 | $0.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2701 Abigail St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2305 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,525 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1720 Pinewood Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,180 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4816 W 30th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1217 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 19d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4721 W 16th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2105 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1914 S Van Buren St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1318 | $995 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2100 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4104 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5005 W 31st St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,215 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4314 W 14th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2220 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $900 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2609 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,040 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3401 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3000 S Tyler St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1258 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3715 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $900 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1701 Fair Park Blvd Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,050 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1626 S Brown St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $995 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1820 Johnson St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3214 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3423 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2900 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $950 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2803 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 58 Berkshire Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1304 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3615 W Capitol Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2200 Dennison St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1511 S Cleveland St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 32 Barbara Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 107 Broadmoor Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1202 | $1,025 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1123 Thayer St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 99 Broadmoor Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,195 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 46 Glenmere Dr Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2113 W 19th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1703 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$59,900 New Listing 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (264 chars)
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Great portfolio add or flip. .. Property is Tenant Occupied; Lease is MONTH TO MONTH, $850.00 MONTHLY, 24 HR NOTICE TO SHOW. .. SOLD AS-IS Part of a package, could be purchased in individually or all together. * * * * AGENTS SEE REMARKS
-
2014-05-12soldstatus $20,000
-
2012-09-26soldstatus $5,000
-
2008-08-18soldstatus $13,500 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
This 1504 Sq. ft. home needs a little work but is priced to reflect that. The property has 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Exterior is frame with a fenced front and back yard. Buyer is resposible for turning on utilites.
-
2008-08-04historical 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
This 1504 Sq. ft. home needs a little work but is priced to reflect that. The property has 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Exterior is frame with a fenced front and back yard. Buyer is resposible for turning on utilites.
-
2008-07-15$19,900 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
This 1504 Sq. ft. home needs a little work but is priced to reflect that. The property has 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Exterior is frame with a fenced front and back yard. Buyer is resposible for turning on utilites.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $461 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $461 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,165
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$461
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,213
- − Management
- −$1,213
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $6,880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,651
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,525
- Household income
- $40,882
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1553.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.17%
- Current HPI
- 172.3977
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+201.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $59,900 CARMLS
- 2014-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-18 Sold (MLS) $13,500 CARMLS
- 2008-08-04 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2008-07-15 Listed $19,900 CARMLS
Property tax history
-4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $461 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…