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22027 30th Pl S #39
D Composite 42.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

22027 30th Pl S #39 · Des Moines, WA 98198
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · Manufactured · 23 Days on market
Built 1974 Good condition Est $36k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable single-wide in Des Moines with key updates throughout. This 2-bed, 1-bath home features new laminate flooring throughout, new electric wall heaters, new electric water heater, and a new refrigerator. Enclosed addition off the driveway provides extra flexible living space. Located in Sound Vista Mobile Home Park, a friendly all-ages community situated next to a park. The home sits on the last street in the community, backing a buffer zone along the soundproof wall by I-5 — offering added seclusion and separation from the street. Space rent $1,250/month. Parking for 2 vehicles. All buyers must be park-approved prior to submitting an offer. 1979 NEWM 65x14

Key facts

  • Soundproof wall
  • New refrigerator
  • Enclosed addition

Tags

NEW LAMINATE FLOORINGNEW ELECTRIC WALL HEATERSNEW ELECTRIC WATER HEATERNEW REFRIGERATORENCLOSED ADDITIONSOUNDPROOF WALL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park sale approval required for sale
  • Financial info: Land lease $1,250 per month; Cash offers only (listing terms)
  • HOA & community: Park has a land lease

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details provided
  • Utilities: Electric service (PSE); Water by Highline Water; Sewer by Midway Sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; One level; Faces east
  • Construction: Manufactured house (single wide)
  • Exterior features: Located in Sound Vista Mobile Home Park; Mobile home remains on site

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall unit cooling
  • Interior features: Washer and dryer included; Refrigerator included; Stove/Range included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 46.5% vs local median 2.4% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#92 in WA, #1,789 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Highline School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #200 of 291 in WA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $39,301 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.12%
Cap rate
46.49%
Cash-on-cash
143.57%
DSCR
7.39
GRM
1.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$36,400
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
22027 30th Pl S #39 0.00mi 2/1.0 910 (0%) 0mo $36,000 $40 100
22014 29th Ave S #14 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 924 (+2%) 21mo $60,000 $65 67
22013 30th Ave S #20 0.05mi 2/1.0 780 (-14%) 15mo $25,000 $32 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.92×
Total profit
$77,308
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.35×
Total profit
$171,448
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98198

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,041 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$1,337

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,364 -5% $1,350 +0% $1,337 +5% $1,323 +10% $1,309
Rent -10% $1,175 -5% $1,256 +0% $1,337 +5% $1,417 +10% $1,498
Rate -1.0pp $1,357 -0.5pp $1,347 base $1,337 +0.5pp $1,326 +1.0pp $1,316

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3011 S 224th St Apt B Des Moines, WA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 19d 1 0.24mi
3110 S 216th St Unit D1 SeaTac, WA 2.0 1.0 923 $2,000 $2.17 44d 1 0.31mi
2459 S 216th St Des Moines, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 899 $2,325 $2.58 2d 3 0.37mi
21600 24th Ave S Des Moines, WA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,935 $2.04 0d 1 0.41mi
21428 International Blvd Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 651 $2,235 $3.43 2d 5 0.41mi
22810 30th Ave S Unit C204 Des Moines, WA 1.0 1.0 619 $1,595 $2.58 44d 1 0.47mi
21212 International Blvd Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 614 $1,767 $2.88 20d 5 0.49mi
22837 Pacific Hwy S Des Moines, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,760 $2.05 3d 11 0.54mi
22855 30th Ave S Unit 5 Des Moines, WA 2.0 1.0 760 $1,795 $2.36 22d 1 0.55mi
23006 30th Ave S Des Moines, WA 1.0 1.0 588 $1,450 $2.47 0d 1 0.62mi
23000 Military Rd S Kent, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $3,156 $3.27 0d 20 0.66mi
23020 25th Ave S Des Moines, WA 2.0 1.0 920 $1,650 $1.79 17d 2 0.70mi
3900 Veterans Dr Kent, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1033 $1,974 $1.91 3d 10 0.72mi
20810 31st Ln S Seatac, WA 2.0 1.5 920 $1,874 $2.04 11d 1 0.76mi
4001 S 211th Pl Unit C2 Seatac, WA 2.0 2.0 1008 $2,507 $2.49 44d 1 0.80mi
3002 S 208th St Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0 637 $1,650 $2.59 5d 4 0.86mi
2222 S 234th St Des Moines, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,890 $2.29 3d 6 0.89mi
3100 S 208th St Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 811 $2,050 $2.53 11d 4 0.90mi
21010 39th Way S Seatac, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,597 $2.81 0d 9 0.93mi
3231 S 204th St Seatac, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 917 $2,080 $2.27 2d 7 0.99mi
1145 S 216th St Des Moines, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 782 $2,266 $2.90 0d 3 1.15mi
1823 S Kent Des Moines Rd Des Moines, WA 2.0 1.0 621 $1,900 $3.06 6d 6 1.20mi
20036 30th Ave S Unit S9 SeaTac, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,795 $2.39 11d 1 1.21mi
20036 30th Ave S Unit S8 SeaTac, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,795 $2.39 25d 1 1.21mi
23407 16th Ave S Des Moines, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 617 $2,225 $3.60 44d 1 1.22mi
2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 703 $2,975 $4.23 0d 6 1.27mi
2929 S 200th St Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0–2.0 703 $2,975 $4.23 17d 12 1.27mi
2650 S 200th St Seatac, WA 1.0 1.0 566 $1,767 $3.12 44d 1 1.34mi
19912 Military Rd S SeaTac, WA 1.0 1.0 656 $1,495 $2.28 44d 1 1.37mi
19800 International Blvd Seatac, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 790 $2,210 $2.80 0d 11 1.42mi
750 S 216th St Des Moines, WA 2.0 1.0 637 $1,795 $2.82 19d 7 1.44mi
19707 International Blvd Seatac, WA 2.0 1.0 610 $1,799 $2.95 0d 20 1.47mi
23315 54th Ave S Unit 3-2 Kent, WA 2.0 2.5 1063 $2,800 $2.63 5d 1 1.49mi
22506 7th Ave S Unit VDM-05 Des Moines, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,700 $2.27 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $39,900 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-05-20
    listed $39,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,492
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,959
− Management
−$1,959
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$16,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,931
After-tax cash flow
$12,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-wide manufactured home in Des Moines is in good condition with recent updates, making it a solid investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace old windows with energy-efficient ones — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's marketability and convenience

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace old windows with energy-efficient ones — Improves energy efficiency and aesthetics
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances home's marketability and convenience

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highline School District
NCES district ID
5303540
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$52,697
Composite
39.12/100
National rank
#8245
State rank
#200 of 291 in WA

Livability — Des Moines

Score
80/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#1789

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Des Moines, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
40,463
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
40,463
Household income
$86,239
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
2084.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 13% Black 12% Two or more races 12% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.82%
Current HPI
307.1939
Rent YoY
▲ 2.32%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $39,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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