3156 N 6th St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is being offered as a tax foreclosure by the City of Milwaukee. Please see attached scope of work with the essential renovation costs of $31,730 and the total scope of work totaling $45,780. Room and lot sizes are estimates & all information should be verified. Property being sold in 'as-is' condition. Property is subject to a performance deposit. Earnest money to be paid to Knight Barry Title and can be mailed or dropped off. Please indicate Knight Barry will be holding EM.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1894
- Listed 104 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 45.9% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,897/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 2397% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $259 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 45.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 141.62%
- DSCR
- 7.30
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,139
- List price
- $37,500
- Delta
- -50.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3422 N 11th St | 0.45mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,249 (+0%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $127 | 69 |
| 1225 W Keefe Ave | 0.57mi | 5/1.0 (-1) | 1,294 (+4%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $70 | 61 |
| 3357 N Holton St | 0.70mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 1,333 (+7%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $63 | 47 |
| 1212 W Chambers St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,358 (+9%) | 11mo | $73,000 | $54 | 44 |
| 3201 N 12th St | 0.41mi | 5/1.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+15%) | 15mo | $108,000 | $76 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.31×
- Total profit
- $76,767
- Equity at exit
- $5,591
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.64×
- Total profit
- $185,228
- Equity at exit
- $3,242
Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53212
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,897 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$197
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $1,239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,265 | -5% $1,252 | +0% $1,239 | +5% $1,226 | +10% $1,213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,089 | -5% $1,164 | +0% $1,239 | +5% $1,314 | +10% $1,389 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,258 | -0.5pp $1,249 | base $1,239 | +0.5pp $1,229 | +1.0pp $1,220 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,375
- Closing costs
- $1,125
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,500 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,500 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $37,500 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $37,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $37,500 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $37,500 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $50,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-03-04$50,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
This property is being offered as a tax foreclosure by the City of Milwaukee. Please see attached scope of work with the essential renovation costs of $31,730 and the total scope of work totaling $45,780. Room and lot sizes are estimates & all information should be verified. Property being sold in 'as-is' condition. Property is subject to a performance deposit. Earnest money to be paid to Knight Barry Title and can be mailed or dropped off. Please indicate Knight Barry will be holding EM.
-
2026-02-17status Pending 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. BIDS DUE Monday 2/16/2026 at 10:00AM. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
-
2026-02-17historical 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. BIDS DUE Monday 2/16/2026 at 10:00AM. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
-
2026-01-12$69,900 Active 238-char remark
Show marketing remark (238 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. BIDS DUE Monday 2/16/2026 at 10:00AM. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,101
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$188
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,821
- − Management
- −$1,821
- − Depreciation
- −$1,091
- Taxable income
- $15,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,642
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,228/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,938
- Household income
- $47,298
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2397.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -216.73%
- Current HPI
- 385.8225
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.00%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-28.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $50,000 METROMLS
- 2026-02-17 Pending — METROMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $69,900 METROMLS
Property tax history
+20.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2,281 · -3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…