885 Liberty Furnace Rd · Basye, VA 22824

$175,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market

Built 1976 1.77 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.6/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Enjoy country living on this beautiful 1.77-acre property offering space, privacy, and a great laying lot. This 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home provides comfortable living in a peaceful rural setting. Relax on the porch and take in the surrounding countryside, while the outbuilding offers added storage, workshop space, or room for hobbies. With plenty of usable outdoor space and endless potential, this property is a wonderful opportunity to enjoy life in scenic Shenandoah County.

Key facts

• Workshop space
• Outbuilding
• Added storage

Tags

• 1.77-ACRE PROPERTY
• PEACEFUL RURAL SETTING
• PORCH
• OUTBUILDING
• ADDED STORAGE
• WORKSHOP SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking
• Utilities: Water from a well; On-site septic system; Electric hot water
• Home design: Manufactured home; Above-grade finished living space only (1,152 finished square feet reported by assessor); Fee simple ownership
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Other structures listed above and below grade
• Exterior features: No tidal water on the property

Interior

• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total; One half bathroom total
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil-fired); Window cooling units (electric)
• Interior features: No basement; Living area reported by assessor

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($110/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (21.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $137k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.2% in Basye — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#319 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Shenandoah County Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #91 of 131 in VA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Shenandoah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Shenandoah County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $137,355 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.78% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.36%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.23%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 24.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.96×
• Total profit: $95,834
• Equity at exit: $157,654

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.6%
• Equity multiple: 6.75×
• Total profit: $281,632
• Equity at exit: $339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 22824

• Home prices YoY: 8.9%
• Active inventory: 44
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,374 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$85 /mo · $1,023/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$288
• Net cashflow: $9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,362

Max offer price $175,000

Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $175,000 Active 24 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $175,000 Active 21 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $175,000 Active 17 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $175,000 Active 16 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 11 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 10 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
15. 2026-05-22
    listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,023 · $85/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,435 · $120/mo
• Expected delta: +$412/yr (+$34/mo · 40.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,483
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$1,023
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,319
• − Management: −$1,319
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable loss: −$2,947
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$707
• After-tax cash flow: $817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Shenandoah County Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5103510
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -30.00%
• Reading proficiency: 58% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $50,207
• Composite: 44.42/100
• National rank: #2811
• State rank: #91 of 131 in VA

Livability — Basye

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #319
• US rank: #11652

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,061

Population outlook (Shenandoah County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 44,891 people
• By 2030: 45,630 · +1.6%
• By 2040: 46,708 · +4.0%
• By 2050: 47,072 · +4.9%
• By 2075: 47,418 · +5.6%
• By 2100: 43,707 · -2.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 9% Slovak 4% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shenandoah

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.4% · R 70.6% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.5pp · 2024: -42.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+43.3 2012: R+31.4 2008: R+26.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 27.98%
• Current HPI: 342.2967
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,023 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.