508 Crawford St · Shelby, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.5/10.0
$99,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1961
- Listed 2 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.9% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#52 in NC, #4,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.30%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,100
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Crawford St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (0%) | 1mo | $103,000 | $121 | 99 |
| 425 Crawford St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+7%) | 19mo | $183,500 | $201 | 66 |
| 815 Jefferson St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+9%) | 9mo | $154,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 1328 Newton St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (0%) | 20mo | $182,000 | $214 | 56 |
| 10 Bolt Dr | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 975 (+15%) | 12mo | $137,500 | $141 | 54 |
| 817 Buffalo St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (+11%) | 17mo | $91,000 | $97 | 53 |
| 502 Booker St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 807 (-5%) | 22mo | $159,000 | $197 | 53 |
| 421 Carolina Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 914 (+8%) | 7mo | $47,000 | $51 | 50 |
| 1116 N Lafayette St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 966 (+14%) | 14mo | $173,900 | $180 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $6,295
- Equity at exit
- $14,909
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $47,682
- Equity at exit
- $8,645
Cash invested: $27,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28150
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 241
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,115 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $287
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,998
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2026-03-10$99,990 Active
-
2026-03-05historical $99,990
-
2022-06-29soldstatus $75,000
-
2022-06-24soldstatus $58,568 Closed 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.
-
2022-06-10status Pending 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.
-
2022-06-02$89,500 Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $330 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$490/yr (+$41/mo · 148.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,070
- − Management
- −$1,070
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,896
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$455
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700900
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,501
- Composite
- 40.03/100
- National rank
- #3823
- State rank
- #76 of 178 in NC
Livability — Shelby
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #4349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shelby, NC
- County
- Cleveland County · 83,736 people
- City population
- 26,134
- Metro
- Shelby, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,142
- Household income
- $55,832
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 790.0
Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,671 people
- By 2030
- 91,157 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 85,519 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 79,708 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 68,317 · -27.1%
- By 2100
- 57,145 · -39.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.2% · R 67.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.0 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+30.6 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -8.92%
- Current HPI
- 447.16
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.66%
- Metro
- Shelby, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+11.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-10 Listed $99,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Coming Soon $99,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $58,568 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-10 Pending — CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-02 Listed $89,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $330 · +57.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…