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508 Crawford St
B Composite 72.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.5/10.0

$99,990

508 Crawford St · Shelby, NC 28150
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 850 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1961 4,791 sqft lot Est $141k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • Built 1961
  • Listed 2 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.9% in Shelby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#52 in NC, #4,349 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
  • Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,990

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.74%
Cash-on-cash
12.30%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$141,100
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
508 Crawford St 0.00mi 2/1.0 850 (0%) 1mo $103,000 $121 99
425 Crawford St 0.13mi 2/1.0 912 (+7%) 19mo $183,500 $201 66
815 Jefferson St 0.25mi 2/1.0 928 (+9%) 9mo $154,000 $166 66
1328 Newton St 0.59mi 2/1.0 850 (0%) 20mo $182,000 $214 56
10 Bolt Dr 0.24mi 2/1.0 975 (+15%) 12mo $137,500 $141 54
817 Buffalo St 0.33mi 2/1.0 940 (+11%) 17mo $91,000 $97 53
502 Booker St 0.43mi 2/1.0 807 (-5%) 22mo $159,000 $197 53
421 Carolina Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 914 (+8%) 7mo $47,000 $51 50
1116 N Lafayette St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 966 (+14%) 14mo $173,900 $180 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,295
Equity at exit
$14,909
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$47,682
Equity at exit
$8,645

Cash invested: $27,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28150

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,115 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $330/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $751
Max offer price $99,990
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,998
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-10
    listed $99,990 Active
  3. 2026-03-05
    historical $99,990
  4. 2022-06-29
    soldstatus $75,000
  5. 2022-06-24
    soldstatus $58,568 Closed 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.

  6. 2022-06-10
    status Pending 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.

  7. 2022-06-02
    listed $89,500 Active 199-char remark
    Show marketing remark (199 chars)

    This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom brick ranch features hardwood floors. Relax on the front porch overlooking the fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located to restaurants, grocery, shopping, and hospital.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$330 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$490/yr (+$41/mo · 148.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,376
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$330
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,070
− Management
−$1,070
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$455
After-tax cash flow
$2,990/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700900
Math proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$38,501
Composite
40.03/100
National rank
#3823
State rank
#76 of 178 in NC

Livability — Shelby

Score
75/100
State rank
#52
US rank
#4349

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shelby, NC
County
Cleveland County · 83,736 people
City population
26,134
Metro
Shelby, NC
Population (ZIP)
28,142
Household income
$55,832
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
790.0

Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,671 people
By 2030
91,157 · -2.7%
By 2040
85,519 · -8.7%
By 2050
79,708 · -14.9%
By 2075
68,317 · -27.1%
By 2100
57,145 · -39.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.2% · R 67.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -35.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.0 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+30.6 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -8.92%
Current HPI
447.16
Rent YoY
▲ 6.66%
Metro
Shelby, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $99,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Coming Soon $99,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-24 Sold (MLS) $58,568 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-10 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-02 Listed $89,500 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $330 · +57.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…