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3722 Arlene Ave
B Composite 70.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,000

3722 Arlene Ave · Flint, MI 48532
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1964 Est $95k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOW, this one is something special, do not miss out!!! This is a great home with wood floors, open kitchen, basement, garage and so much more! You will fall in love at first glance, get your offer over today

Key facts

  • Roof
  • Hwh
  • Privacy fence

Tags

FURNACEHWHCENTRAL A/C UNITROOFBACK DECKPRIVACY FENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $88k implies a 468% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $86,680 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.00%
Cash-on-cash
20.39%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1217 Barney Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,616 (+5%) 5mo $99,900 $62 76
3813 Larchmont St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,408 (-8%) 6mo $100,000 $71 72
945 Salisbury Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,550 (+1%) 4mo $95,000 $61 71
1318 Mann Ave 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,412 (-8%) 7mo $89,900 $64 67
3915 Augusta St 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,688 (+10%) 4mo $95,000 $56 67
812 Barney Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,577 (+3%) 4mo $68,750 $44 63
1518 Monteray St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,494 (-3%) 1mo $148,000 $99 58
3414 Van Buren Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,470 (-4%) 6mo $28,000 $19 55
3001 Yale St 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (-12%) 7mo $138,000 $102 45
975 Hammond Ave 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,660 (+8%) 7mo $148,000 $89 44
2830 Reynolds St 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-12%) 5mo $31,500 $23 40
866 Tacken St 0.61mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,664 (+8%) 6mo $48,000 $29 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$12,409
Equity at exit
$13,121
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$45,158
Equity at exit
$7,609

Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48532

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,269 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$461
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $739
Max offer price $88,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,000
Closing costs
$2,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3901 Herrick St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,300 $1.18 14d 1 0.11mi
1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1160 $995 $0.86 21d 1 0.66mi
2198 Utley Rd Flint, MI 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 0.69mi
2610 Swayze St Flint, MI 3.0 1.5 1194 $950 $0.80 21d 1 0.73mi
3713 Gratiot Ave Flint, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 21d 1 0.82mi
410 Allendale Pl Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 2000 $1,500 $0.75 21d 1 0.96mi
2428 Norbert St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 21d 1 1.40mi
1935 Carmanbrook Pkwy Flint, MI 4.0 1.5 1800 $1,200 $0.67 14d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $88,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $88,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $88,000 Active 9 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $88,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $88,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $88,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $88,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $88,000 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-26
    listed $88,000 Active
  18. 2014-07-31
    soldstatus $15,500 210-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    WOW, this one is something special, do not miss out!!! This is a great home with wood floors, open kitchen, basement, garage and so much more! You will fall in love at first glance, get your offer over today

  19. 2014-07-31
    soldstatus $15,500 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    WOW, this one is something special, do not miss out!!! This is a great home with wood floors, open kitchen, basement, garage and so much more! You will fall in love at first glance, get your offer over today

  20. 2014-07-12
    historical 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    WOW, this one is something special, do not miss out!!! This is a great home with wood floors, open kitchen, basement, garage and so much more! You will fall in love at first glance, get your offer over today

  21. 2014-07-07
    listed $19,900 210-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    WOW, this one is something special, do not miss out!!! This is a great home with wood floors, open kitchen, basement, garage and so much more! You will fall in love at first glance, get your offer over today

  22. 2014-07-07
    listed $19,900 207-char remark
    Show marketing remark (207 chars)

    WOW, this one is something special, do not miss out!!! This is a great home with wood floors, open kitchen, basement, garage and so much more! You will fall in love at first glance, get your offer over today

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,032 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,194 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$162/yr (+$13/mo · 15.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,233
− Mortgage interest
−$4,929
− Property taxes
−$1,032
− Insurance
−$440
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,219
− Management
−$1,219
− Depreciation
−$2,560
Taxable income
$3,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$920
After-tax cash flow
$4,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
19,750

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.08%
Current HPI
202.407
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+342.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $88,000 FSBO.com
  • 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $15,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-31 Sold (MLS) $15,500 REALCOMP
  • 2014-07-12 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-07 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-07 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,032 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…