20 Hillpond Dr · Storrs, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 46.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to one of the area's most desirable active 55+ communities, where comfort, convenience, and carefree living come together beautifully. Whether you're looking to downsize or searching for the perfect seasonal retreat, this charming and beautifully maintained home is truly move-in ready. Offering 924 square feet of comfortable living space, this home features two nicely sized bedrooms, including a spacious primary bedroom with built-in storage and an additional guest bedroom perfect for visitors or a home office. Fresh updates throughout include brand-new flooring, fresh interior paint, and updated windows that fill the home with abundant natural light and create a bright, welcoming a
Key facts
- Updated windows
- Spacious kitchen
- Fresh updates
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Property managed professionally on site
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA provides clubhouse, pool, trash pickup, snow removal, sewer, property management, pool service, and road maintenance
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Storm doors; Thermopane windows
- Home design: Single-family home; Green exterior color; Prefab construction
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Breezeway; Shed; Garden area; Exterior lighting; Patio; Level lot; In-ground swimming pool with pool house and safety fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Hot air heating fueled by propane; Propane hot water (above-ground tank)
- Interior features: Cable available; Bath grab bars; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in kitchen on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#8 in CT, #1,066 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment F, housing F.
- Mansfield School District (rural): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #36 of 153 in CT (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mansfield Elementary At Vinton (math 62% / reading 57%, grade B-, #159 of 553 statewide, top 31%, 271 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.08%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-4,491
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $15,223
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06268
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,037/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$551
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Carriage House Dr Storrs, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 74 Baxter Rd Storrs Mansfield, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 74 Baxter Rd Storrs Mansfield, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 11d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 162 Cedar Swamp Rd Unit B Storrs, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,950 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 20 Dartmouth Rd Storrs, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,550 | $2.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 64 Cheney Dr Storrs, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,750 | $3.33 | 11d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $551 · $6,612/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-03status $115,000 Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 21 DOM
-
2026-05-16historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
-
2026-05-09$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,037 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,749 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$712/yr (+$59/mo · 68.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,865
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,037
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,829
- − Management
- −$1,829
- − HOA
- −$6,612
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,195
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$287
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield School District
- NCES district ID
- 0902340
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,954
- Composite
- 55.81/100
- National rank
- #1209
- State rank
- #36 of 153 in CT
Livability — Storrs
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #1066
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Storrs, CT
- City population
- 17,505
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,782
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Asian 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 5% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · China, Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.53%
- Current HPI
- 251.3467
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $115,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2023): $1,037 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…