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883 NE Maple Ln
A Composite 88.12
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$70,000

883 NE Maple Ln · Lake City, FL 32055
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1942 0.29 ac lot Est $108k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 97 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Zoning: SFR; Living area approx. 1,325 sq ft (public records); Building area total approx. 1,429 sq ft; Lot acreage: 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre; Unfurnished; No CDD, no homestead; Directions: From E Duval St. in Lake City, go north on Anderson Terrace. Travel four blocks. Property is on the corner to the right.

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Asbestos, vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation with pier/pillar posts; Built on approximately 0.29-acre lot (104 x 120)
  • Exterior features: City limits lot; Paved lot; Asphalt road frontage; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/Window cooling units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood window frames
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.7% in Lake City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $70k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,700 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.05%
Cap rate
17.05%
Cash-on-cash
38.41%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$108,240
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1026 NE Lake Dr 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-4%) 15mo $113,000 $135 70
890 NE Lake Dr 0.09mi 3/1.0 943 (+7%) 24mo $154,500 $164 64
702 SE Putnam St 0.47mi 3/1.0 864 (-2%) 17mo $75,000 $87 61
1020 SE Brock Glen Lake City 0.40mi 3/1.0 869 (-1%) 22mo $107,000 $123 60
898 SE Saint Johns St 0.29mi 3/1.0 988 (+12%) 9mo $47,500 $48 58
110 NE Granger Mill Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 918 (+4%) 15mo $42,000 $46 48
923 NE Coldwater Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 864 (-2%) 21mo $145,000 $168 45
606 SE Brown St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+9%) 19mo $103,000 $107 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
4.99×
Total profit
$78,116
Equity at exit
$63,062
10-year hold
IRR
47.5%
Equity multiple
11.14×
Total profit
$198,686
Equity at exit
$135,995

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32055

Home prices YoY
24.1%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,311/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$301
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $640
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $667 -5% $647 +0% $627 +5% $608 +10% $588
Rent -10% $514 -5% $571 +0% $627 +5% $684 +10% $741
Rate -1.0pp $663 -0.5pp $645 base $627 +0.5pp $609 +1.0pp $591

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    price $70,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 83 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 81 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 80 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 79 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 78 DOM
  18. 2026-05-01
    price $75,000 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.

  19. 2026-04-25
    price $75,000
  20. 2026-03-13
    listed $80,000 Active 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.

  21. 2026-03-13
    listed $80,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.

  22. 1993-03-01
    soldstatus $16,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,311 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,311 · $109/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,208
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,311
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,377
− Management
−$1,377
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$6,836
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,641
After-tax cash flow
$5,888/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia
NCES district ID
1200360
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,053
Composite
44.74/100
National rank
#2750
State rank
#25 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake City

Score
73/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#5154

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake City, FL
County
Columbia County · 40,507 people
City population
40,507
Metro
Lake City, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,559
Household income
$61,111
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
391.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,129 people
By 2030
67,501 · -0.9%
By 2040
65,465 · -3.9%
By 2050
63,058 · -7.4%
By 2075
56,291 · -17.4%
By 2100
45,243 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 29% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 67.79%
Current HPI
348.8923
Rent YoY
Metro
Lake City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+368.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $75,000 NFMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $80,000 NFMLS
  • 1993-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,311 · -29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…