883 NE Maple Ln · Lake City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1942
- Listed 97 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Zoning: SFR; Living area approx. 1,325 sq ft (public records); Building area total approx. 1,429 sq ft; Lot acreage: 1/4 to less than 1/2 acre; Unfurnished; No CDD, no homestead; Directions: From E Duval St. in Lake City, go north on Anderson Terrace. Travel four blocks. Property is on the corner to the right.
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces south; Fixer condition
- Construction: Asbestos, vinyl siding and frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation with pier/pillar posts; Built on approximately 0.29-acre lot (104 x 120)
- Exterior features: City limits lot; Paved lot; Asphalt road frontage; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/Window cooling units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Wood window frames
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 3.7% in Lake City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $70k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.41%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,240
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1026 NE Lake Dr | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-4%) | 15mo | $113,000 | $135 | 70 |
| 890 NE Lake Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 943 (+7%) | 24mo | $154,500 | $164 | 64 |
| 702 SE Putnam St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-2%) | 17mo | $75,000 | $87 | 61 |
| 1020 SE Brock Glen Lake City | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 869 (-1%) | 22mo | $107,000 | $123 | 60 |
| 898 SE Saint Johns St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+12%) | 9mo | $47,500 | $48 | 58 |
| 110 NE Granger Mill Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (+4%) | 15mo | $42,000 | $46 | 48 |
| 923 NE Coldwater Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-2%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $168 | 45 |
| 606 SE Brown St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+9%) | 19mo | $103,000 | $107 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.99×
- Total profit
- $78,116
- Equity at exit
- $63,062
- IRR
- 47.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.14×
- Total profit
- $198,686
- Equity at exit
- $135,995
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32055
- Home prices YoY
- 24.1%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,434 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,311/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $667 | -5% $647 | +0% $627 | +5% $608 | +10% $588 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $514 | -5% $571 | +0% $627 | +5% $684 | +10% $741 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $645 | base $627 | +0.5pp $609 | +1.0pp $591 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $70,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $75,000 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.
-
2026-04-25price $75,000
-
2026-03-13$80,000 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.
-
2026-03-13$80,000 Active
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Double home site with one house. Discover this investor opportunity in this re-developing area of Lake City. Will make a great starter home or rental once remodeled. Pine walls and ceiling are eye catching features to help begin a new design. A second home can be built where one previously stood, doubling the opportunity.
-
1993-03-01soldstatus $16,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,311 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,208
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,311
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,377
- − Management
- −$1,377
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $6,836
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,641
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia
- NCES district ID
- 1200360
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,053
- Composite
- 44.74/100
- National rank
- #2750
- State rank
- #25 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #5154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake City, FL
- County
- Columbia County · 40,507 people
- City population
- 40,507
- Metro
- Lake City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,559
- Household income
- $61,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 391.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,129 people
- By 2030
- 67,501 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 65,465 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 63,058 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 56,291 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 45,243 · -33.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 29% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 67.79%
- Current HPI
- 348.8923
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lake City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+368.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $75,000 NFMLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $80,000 NFMLS
- 1993-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,311 · -29.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…