1212 45th Ave E · Ellenton, FL 34222

$159,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 165 Days on market

Built 1976 4,008 sqft lot Est $135k · 18% over $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

Key facts

• Oak-colored cabinets
• Mini-split a/c
• Ceramic tile

Tags

• LIFE-PROOF VINYL FLOORING
• CERAMIC TILE
• MINI-SPLIT A/C
• DECORATIVE PLANK WALL
• OAK-COLORED CABINETS
• FAUX GRANITE COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Turnkey furnished; Home warranty included
• Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Has HOA (Tidevue Estates Civic Organization) with required approval; HOA dues $50/month ($600 annually); HOA includes pool and recreational facilities; Community amenities: fitness center, laundry, park, pickleball courts, shuffleboard court, pool, street lights; Association recreation owned and deed restrictions; Senior community; Pets not allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable connected; Underground utilities
• Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One story; Faces west; Entry level: One
• Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a double wide
• Exterior features: Awnings; Private mailbox; Sliding doors; Asphalt road access; Publicly maintained road

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Wine refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air with humidity control
• Interior features: Living room/dining room combo; Walk-in closets
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry located outside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $919 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
• Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.5% in Ellenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#232 in FL, #3,666 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,538/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $160k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.59% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.62%
• DSCR: 2.10
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $135,168
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1206 45th Avenue Dr E	0.04mi	2/2.0	1,056 (0%)	2mo	$135,000	$128	92
4508 14th St E	0.13mi	2/2.0	1,056 (0%)	3mo	$110,000	$104	87
1210 44th Avenue Dr E	0.04mi	2/2.0	1,008 (-4%)	1mo	$130,000	$129	85
4207 13th St E	0.18mi	2/2.0	1,056 (0%)	3mo	$123,000	$116	85
1208 45th Avenue Dr E	0.04mi	2/2.0	1,008 (-4%)	5mo	$65,000	$64	82
1432 41st Ave E	0.30mi	2/1.5	1,000 (-5%)	3mo	$189,000	$189	73
4212 13th St E	0.14mi	2/2.0	960 (-9%)	2mo	$175,000	$182	72
1005 45th Ave E	0.10mi	2/2.0	960 (-9%)	4mo	$100,000	$104	72
4214 15th St E	0.20mi	2/2.0	1,152 (+9%)	1mo	$220,000	$191	71
1224 41st Avenue Dr E	0.25mi	2/2.0	963 (-9%)	4mo	$125,000	$130	66
4314 12th Street Ct E	0.07mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,190 (+13%)	2mo	$105,000	$88	64
1204 43rd Ave E	0.11mi	2/2.0	903 (-14%)	4mo	$73,500	$81	63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.73×
• Total profit: $32,624
• Equity at exit: $23,842

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.32×
• Total profit: $103,855
• Equity at exit: $13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34222

• Home prices YoY: -26.9%
• Active inventory: 182
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,538 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$131 /mo · $1,573/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$50
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$533
• Net cashflow: $919

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,375

Max offer price $159,900

Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,975
• Closing costs: $4,797
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 9 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4612 8th Street Ct E Ellenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1210	$3,000	$2.48	23d	1	0.27mi
4711 8th Street Ct E Ellenton, FL	2.0	1.0	1350	$2,100	$1.56	23d	1	0.31mi
5021 US Highway 301 N Ellenton, FL	3.0	2.5	861	$3,900	$4.53	3d	1	0.34mi
4403 7th St E #4 Ellenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1079	$2,700	$2.50	23d	1	0.43mi
4180 Yardly Dr Palmetto, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1021	$2,498	$2.45	3d	15	0.45mi
1651 36th Ave E Ellenton, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	804	$1,397	$1.74	3d	13	0.78mi
850 Tidewater Shores Loop #402 Bradenton, FL	2.0	2.0	1151	$2,650	$2.30	23d	1	1.12mi
5942 Factory Shops Blvd Ellenton, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	953	$2,362	$2.48	1d	67	1.14mi
2710 59th Dr E Ellenton, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1149	$2,234	$1.94	3d	37	1.34mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $50 · $600/yr
• Likely covers: waterinternetpool

Listing history 30 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $159,900 Active 165 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $159,900 Active 164 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $159,900 Active 163 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $159,900 Active 162 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,900 Active 160 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $159,900 Active 159 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $159,900 Active 157 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $159,900 Active 156 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $159,900 Active 155 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 154 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 150 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 149 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 148 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 147 DOM
15. 2026-05-22
    status Active
16. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
17. 2026-03-25
    price $159,900
18. 2026-03-24
    status Active
19. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
20. 2026-03-06
    price $167,900
21. 2026-01-28
    price $169,900
22. 2025-12-06
    listed $175,500 Active
23. 2025-08-14
    soldstatus $50,000
24. 2025-08-12
    soldstatus $50,000 Closed 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

25. 2025-07-20
    status Pending 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

26. 2025-06-27
    price $50,000 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

27. 2025-06-04
    price $69,000 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

28. 2025-05-30
    status Active 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

29. 2025-05-14
    status Pending 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

30. 2025-05-08
    listed $74,900 Active 1616-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1616 chars)

    NEW PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Welcome to Tidevue Estates, a LAND-OWNED 55+ active community! If you're looking for a home to restore and make your own, this is the perfect opportunity. While the carport, lanai, and some exterior areas require repairs, this home offers great potential in a vibrant and welcoming community. This spacious residence features an updated kitchen with oak cabinets, mitered Formica countertops, and ceramic tile flooring. The open living area includes two sliding glass doors that lead to a large lanai, ready for your personal touch and repair. The extra-large dining room is ideal for entertaining family and friends, and laminate flooring runs throughout the home for easy maintenance. The second bedroom includes an en-suite bathroom, making it perfect for visiting guests. Low HOA of only $600 annually. Pets are not permitted. Plenty of activities to keep you busy in this community. Take a water aerobics class in the solar-heated community pool or work on your tan. The community library has free WI-FI connection. Updated fitness room. Meet friends and make new ones for a game of indoor pickle ball, bocce ball, or shuffleboard. Join the Golf League. Take a bike or golf cart ride to Veteran's park to watch the wildlife and sunset. Ellenton Premium Outlet Mall, restaurants, and medical facilities are just minutes away. Easy access to I-75. Explore Sarasota and visit University Town Center Mall, St. Armand's Circle, Selby Botanical Gardens, and the Ringling Mansion & Museum. Not to mention a short drive to our beautiful Gulf Beaches. Come Join The Tidevue Life Style Today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,573 · $131/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,573 · $131/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,454
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,957
• − Property taxes: −$1,573
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,436
• − Management: −$2,436
• − HOA: −$600
• − Depreciation: −$4,652
• Taxable income: $9,000
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,160
• After-tax cash flow: $8,863/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manatee
• NCES district ID: 1201230
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,607
• Composite: 44.43/100
• National rank: #2806
• State rank: #26 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ellenton

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #232
• US rank: #3666

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ellenton, FL
• County: Manatee County · 416,364 people
• City population: 14,819
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• Population (ZIP): 14,819
• Household income: $64,355
• Rent vs Own: 21.9% rent · 78.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 313.0

Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 447,342 people
• By 2030: 488,911 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 567,934 · +27.0%
• By 2050: 637,995 · +42.6%
• By 2075: 781,970 · +74.8%
• By 2100: 848,272 · +89.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Manatee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.75%
• Current HPI: 293.2597
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+113.5% since first listed

16 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-24 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-23 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-06 Price Changed $167,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-28 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-06 Listed $175,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 2025-08-12 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-07-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-27 Price Changed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-06-04 Price Changed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-08 Listed $74,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,573 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.