1777 Magnolia Ave · Redding, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into a piece of Redding history with this 1922 corner-lot home, full of potential. Located in one of Redding's established historic areas, this property is perfect for anyone with a vision to restore and make it their own. Features include views of Mt. Shasta and Lassen, and detached shop. Sold as-is--bring your ideas, toolbox, and unlock the possibilities! The third bedroom can be easily restored.
Key facts
- Views of mt shasta
- Corner-lot home
- Views of lassen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: 220 volts in laundry (electric)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Raised foundation
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Raised foundation; Built as a single-family home
- Exterior features: Composition roof; City lot; Level lot; Asphalt road access; Has a view
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: 220-volt outlet in laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Shasta Union High (urban): math 41% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #122 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.08%
- DSCR
- 1.76
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1569 Walnut Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-4%) | 3mo | $312,000 | $309 | 73 |
| 1865 Gold St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-11%) | 10mo | $315,000 | $337 | 56 |
| 1144 Willis St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,189 (+13%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $336 | 51 |
| 2349 California St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,114 (+6%) | 6mo | $282,400 | $254 | 50 |
| 2353 North St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 984 (-6%) | 13mo | $306,000 | $311 | 49 |
| 1262 Rose Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+12%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $186 | 47 |
| 1635 Pleasant St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (+6%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $249 | 46 |
| 1824 11th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,116 (+6%) | 18mo | $230,000 | $206 | 42 |
| 2476 California St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,151 (+9%) | 4mo | $306,000 | $266 | 41 |
| 2322 Waldon St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 15mo | $268,000 | $223 | 34 |
| 1213 South St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,141 (+8%) | 18mo | $259,000 | $227 | 33 |
| 1801 Pleasant St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,134 (+8%) | 19mo | $300,000 | $265 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $18,572
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $89,501
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96001
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,584 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $546 | -5% $512 | +0% $478 | +5% $444 | +10% $410 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $353 | -5% $415 | +0% $478 | +5% $540 | +10% $603 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $538 | -0.5pp $508 | base $478 | +0.5pp $447 | +1.0pp $415 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1616 Willis St Unit 2 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1907 Grace Ave Apt B Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,215 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2391 Placer St Unit B Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1529 Willis St Unit 6 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,545 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1435 Willis St Unit 6 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2352 Shasta St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,050 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1144 Willis St Redding, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2487 Court St Apt 9 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,199 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 944 West St Unit 1 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $1,400 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1502 Cottonwood Ave Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,000 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 715 Mary St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,395 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1075 Trinity St Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,275 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1090 Continental St Unit 20 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,199 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $119,900
-
2026-03-20$130,000 Active
-
2026-03-08status Active
-
2026-02-03status Pending
-
2026-01-29$129,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,138 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,138
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,521
- − Management
- −$1,521
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $4,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,767/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shasta Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0636600
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,080
- Composite
- 46.01/100
- National rank
- #2532
- State rank
- #122 of 517 in CA
Livability — Redding
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #3726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redding, CA
- County
- Shasta County · 147,641 people
- City population
- 112,523
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,817
- Household income
- $72,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,231 people
- By 2030
- 176,953 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 169,982 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 162,547 · -9.3%
- By 2075
- 145,649 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 123,025 · -31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shasta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.25%
- Current HPI
- 291.6191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.55%
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-7.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $119,900 SAOR
- 2026-03-20 Listed $130,000 SAOR
- 2026-03-08 Relisted — SAOR
- 2026-02-03 Pending — SAOR
- 2026-01-29 Listed $129,000 SAOR
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,138 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…