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1777 Magnolia Ave
B Composite 71.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1777 Magnolia Ave · Redding, CA 96001
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,052 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1922 5,662 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into a piece of Redding history with this 1922 corner-lot home, full of potential. Located in one of Redding's established historic areas, this property is perfect for anyone with a vision to restore and make it their own. Features include views of Mt. Shasta and Lassen, and detached shop. Sold as-is--bring your ideas, toolbox, and unlock the possibilities! The third bedroom can be easily restored.

Key facts

  • Views of mt shasta
  • Corner-lot home
  • Views of lassen

Tags

CORNER-LOT HOMEVIEWS OF MT SHASTAVIEWS OF LASSENDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: 220 volts in laundry (electric)
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Raised foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Raised foundation; Built as a single-family home
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; City lot; Level lot; Asphalt road access; Has a view

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: 220-volt outlet in laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Shasta Union High (urban): math 41% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #122 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,109 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.08%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$278,780
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1569 Walnut Ave 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,010 (-4%) 3mo $312,000 $309 73
1865 Gold St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-11%) 10mo $315,000 $337 56
1144 Willis St 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,189 (+13%) 4mo $400,000 $336 51
2349 California St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,114 (+6%) 6mo $282,400 $254 50
2353 North St 0.47mi 2/1.5 (-1) 984 (-6%) 13mo $306,000 $311 49
1262 Rose Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,180 (+12%) 9mo $220,000 $186 47
1635 Pleasant St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (+6%) 10mo $279,000 $249 46
1824 11th St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,116 (+6%) 18mo $230,000 $206 42
2476 California St 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,151 (+9%) 4mo $306,000 $266 41
2322 Waldon St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+14%) 15mo $268,000 $223 34
1213 South St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,141 (+8%) 18mo $259,000 $227 33
1801 Pleasant St 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,134 (+8%) 19mo $300,000 $265 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$18,572
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$89,501
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96001

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,584 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $979
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $546 -5% $512 +0% $478 +5% $444 +10% $410
Rent -10% $353 -5% $415 +0% $478 +5% $540 +10% $603
Rate -1.0pp $538 -0.5pp $508 base $478 +0.5pp $447 +1.0pp $415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1616 Willis St Unit 2 Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 14d 1 0.13mi
1907 Grace Ave Apt B Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 832 $1,215 $1.46 21d 1 0.14mi
2391 Placer St Unit B Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 14d 1 0.18mi
1529 Willis St Unit 6 Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 849 $1,545 $1.82 14d 1 0.20mi
1435 Willis St Unit 6 Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 14d 1 0.28mi
2352 Shasta St Redding, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,050 $1.86 14d 1 0.42mi
1144 Willis St Redding, CA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 14d 1 0.50mi
2487 Court St Apt 9 Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 725 $1,199 $1.65 21d 1 0.59mi
944 West St Unit 1 Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 966 $1,400 $1.45 14d 1 0.67mi
1502 Cottonwood Ave Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1164 $2,000 $1.72 14d 1 0.79mi
715 Mary St Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 790 $1,395 $1.77 14d 1 0.84mi
1075 Trinity St Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,275 $1.77 14d 1 0.91mi
1090 Continental St Unit 20 Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 990 $1,199 $1.21 14d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 71 DOM
  18. 2026-05-05
    price $119,900
  19. 2026-03-20
    listed $130,000 Active
  20. 2026-03-08
    status Active
  21. 2026-02-03
    status Pending
  22. 2026-01-29
    listed $129,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,138 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,138 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,007
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,138
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,521
− Management
−$1,521
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$4,024
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$966
After-tax cash flow
$4,767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shasta Union High
NCES district ID
0636600
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$50,080
Composite
46.01/100
National rank
#2532
State rank
#122 of 517 in CA

Livability — Redding

Score
76/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#3726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redding, CA
County
Shasta County · 147,641 people
City population
112,523
Metro
Redding, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,817
Household income
$72,484
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.25%
Current HPI
291.6191
Rent YoY
▲ 7.55%
Metro
Redding, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $119,900 SAOR
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $130,000 SAOR
  • 2026-03-08 Relisted SAOR
  • 2026-02-03 Pending SAOR
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $129,000 SAOR

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,138 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…