17320 Water View Dr #89 · Lewes, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.6
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
YOUR PRIVATE COASTAL RETREAT AWAITS Welcome to Sweetbriar Community. Serene Living in a Quiet Beach Community Escape the noise and come home to peaceful coastal living in this beautifully designed 3-bedroom, 2-bath home nestled in a tucked-away, tree lined, beach community with tranquil pond views. Enjoy mornings on the welcoming front porch, evenings surrounded by nature, and the perfect balance of privacy and convenience. This home boasts 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full baths. Master suite with walk in closet, large bathroom and walk in shower.
Key facts
- Master suite
- Coastal retreat
- Large bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 1.9% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Milton Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #13 of 105 statewide, top 12%, 556 students, 0% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #7 of 36 statewide, top 17%, 664 students, 0% FRL); Cape Henlopen High School (math 26% / reading 51%, grade F, #14 of 40 statewide, top 33%, 1,813 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 942 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.66%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,039
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -2.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17247 Pine Water Dr Lot 42 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+7%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $64 | 84 |
| 17063 W Holly Dr | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,658 (-1%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $217 | 78 |
| 17282 Ridge Line Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-13%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $100 | 75 |
| 12137 Spicer Creek Ave | 0.48mi | 3/— | 1,703 (+1%) | 1mo | $470,000 | $276 | 74 |
| 30361 Green Valley Run | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (-6%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $268 | 68 |
| 17180 Valley Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (-25%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $276 | 66 |
| 16521 Samuel Paynter Blvd | 1.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,681 (+0%) | 2mo | $459,000 | $273 | 64 |
| 30009 W Mill Run | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (+25%) | 0mo | $482,500 | $230 | 58 |
| 29680 Vincent Village Dr | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,865 (+11%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $271 | 46 |
| 3 Nottingham Dr | 1.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-20%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $138 | 39 |
| 4 Whitehaven Way #49622 | 1.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,463 (-13%) | 1mo | $176,000 | $120 | 37 |
| 16251 John Rowland Trl | 1.02mi | 3/2.5 | 2,000 (+19%) | 1mo | $505,000 | $253 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-174
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $21,517
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19958
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 942
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,997 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $583 | -5% $528 | +0% $472 | +5% $417 | +10% $362 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $315 | -5% $394 | +0% $472 | +5% $551 | +10% $630 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $553 | -0.5pp $513 | base $472 | +0.5pp $431 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16832 Ole Grist Run Milton, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,300 | $1.67 | 93d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 16894 Beulah Blvd Milton, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $2,695 | $1.44 | 70d | 3 | 0.80mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Listing status: ActiveInventory type: SpecLast modified: 2026-06-17
- Financial info
- List price $159,900
Exterior
- Home design
- Condominium / attached unitSingle-level plan (Magnolia)
- Exterior features
- Address: 17320 Water View Dr #89, Lewes, DE 19958
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Spec home, Magnolia floor planLiving area approximately 1680
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $159,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $159,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $159,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $159,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $159,900 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $159,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $159,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $159,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $159,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $159,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $159,900 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $159,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $159,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $159,900 Active 16 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $159,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $159,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $159,900 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $159,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-17$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,917
- − Management
- −$1,917
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $3,321
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$797
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,872/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained, move-in-ready manufactured home offers a serene coastal retreat with modern amenities and a welcoming exterior. Potential buyers and tenants will appreciate the spacious kitchen, two full bathrooms, and the tranquil setting.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's appeal and market value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and attract more buyers/tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cape Henlopen School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000170
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,196
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3214
- State rank
- #5 of 26 in DE
Livability — Lewes
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #11077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 248,853 people
- City population
- 31,938
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,938
- Household income
- $97,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.07%
- Current HPI
- 299.0736
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…