2821 Stanfield Rd · Screven, GA 31560

$145,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,168 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1987 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +8.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• 1% rule +1.9/10.0

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Built 1987

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; No garage
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected / electric on property
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Brick veneer construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1168
• Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved road frontage on a county road; No exterior special features noted; No fencing

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Electric oven; No fireplace; 6 total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-144 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (17.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (31.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $100k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#210 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Wayne County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #68 of 174 in GA (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Wayne County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $80k; list at $145k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $100,079 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.69% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.10%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.24%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 12.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.3%
• Equity multiple: 2.72×
• Total profit: $69,800
• Equity at exit: $130,627

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.2%
• Equity multiple: 6.24×
• Total profit: $212,687
• Equity at exit: $281,703

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31560

• Home prices YoY: 20.1%
• Active inventory: 19
• Price-to-rent: 12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,001 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$760
• Tax from tax record: −$113 /mo · $1,361/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$210
• Net cashflow: $-144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,183

Max offer price $119,637

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,250
• Closing costs: $4,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-06-13
   listed $145,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,361 · $113/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,361 · $113/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,009
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,122
• − Property taxes: −$1,361
• − Insurance: −$725
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$961
• − Management: −$961
• − Depreciation: −$4,218
• Taxable loss: −$4,338
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,041
• After-tax cash flow: $-682/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wayne County
• NCES district ID: 1305550
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $38,918
• Composite: 29.3/100
• National rank: #6554
• State rank: #68 of 174 in GA

Livability — Screven

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #210
• US rank: #12723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 2,810

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 28,891 people
• By 2030: 28,388 · -1.7%
• By 2040: 27,396 · -5.2%
• By 2050: 26,135 · -9.5%
• By 2075: 23,253 · -19.5%
• By 2100: 19,481 · -32.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Black 5%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+59.8) · D 20.0% · R 79.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -59.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+59.8 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+48.3 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 48.63%
• Current HPI: 291.2119
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+81.2% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-12 Pending — HABR
• 2026-06-11 Relisted — HABR
• 2026-05-20 Delisted — HABR
• 2026-05-20 Delisted — HABR
• 2026-05-19 Listed $145,000 HABR
• 2022-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,361 · +44.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.