67 Co Rt 45 · Parish, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bring your tools and a little sweat equity. Property listed $90,000 below the $181,200 Zestimate for a quick sale. Sold as is. Opportunity doesn't knock twice. Cash offer is preferred, but seller will consider partial financing with large down payment for qualified buyer. Cape Cod situated on 1.88 acres with plenty of potential for the right buyer. This fixer-upper features a country setting, metal roof, and spacious yard surrounded by mature trees. Interior offers a functional layout ready for updates and personal touches. Ideal opportunity for a handyman, investor, or anyone looking to restore and customize a home to their vision. Quiet location with room to grow and enjoy the outdoors.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Metal roof
- Country setting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: 2-story existing single-family property; Block foundation
- Construction: Block foundation; Construction details: see remarks
- Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Gravel driveway; Irregular, rural lot (approximately 1.88 acres, 247 x 450)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Oil water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#976 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Central Square Central School District (suburban): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #507 of 590 in NY (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
- Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $63,700
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Skylane Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+2%) | 7mo | $64,900 | $52 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $56,090
- Equity at exit
- $72,133
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.03×
- Total profit
- $151,825
- Equity at exit
- $147,004
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13076
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,943/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $241
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,943 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,943 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,117
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,943
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,209
- − Management
- −$1,209
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $1,655
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$397
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Square Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606900
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,807
- Composite
- 35.05/100
- National rank
- #5035
- State rank
- #507 of 590 in NY
Livability — Parish
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #976
- US rank
- #19100
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,521
Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,465 people
- By 2030
- 109,968 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 99,205 · -13.3%
- By 2050
- 87,979 · -23.1%
- By 2075
- 65,100 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 47,117 · -58.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Philippines
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oswego
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.62%
- Current HPI
- 333.4308
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $89,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,943 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…