🏗️ New Construction
The Pierce Plan · Cartersville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$221,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A covered entry welcomes you home in this popular townhome plan. The Pierce features an expansive family room and a generous kitchen with a walk-in pantry. Upstairs, you'll find a conveniently located laundry room and three bedrooms, including a generous owner's suite with a walk-in closet and soaking tub.
Key facts
- Generous kitchen
- Walk-in closet
- Soaking tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $222k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-728 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (1.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (14.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#43 in GA, #4,800 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: commute F.
- Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kingston Elementary School (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #926 of 1,228 statewide, top 76%, 526 students, 68% FRL); Cass Middle School (math 35% / reading 36%, grade F, #185 of 470 statewide, top 40%, 879 students, 58% FRL); Cass High School (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #225 of 424 statewide, top 54%, 1,551 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 689 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 74d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.65%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,396
- List price
- $221,990
- Delta
- -31.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Pisgah Xing #7 | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,629 (+0%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $150 | 89 |
| 213 Pisgah Xing #7 | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 1,629 (+0%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $150 | 89 |
| 206 San Marino Way | 1.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,663 (+2%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $192 | 45 |
| 177 Innis Brook Cir | 1.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,622 (-0%) | 29mo | $322,000 | $199 | 42 |
| 34 Cowan Dr SW | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (-7%) | 26mo | $318,000 | $210 | 42 |
| 22 Stiles Fairway NW | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-3%) | 31mo | $340,000 | $216 | 38 |
| 123 Colonial Cir NW | 1.23mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,778 (+9%) | 19mo | $355,000 | $200 | 28 |
| 17 Berkshire Dr | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,984 (+22%) | 17mo | $380,000 | $192 | 24 |
| 42 Arnold Rd NW | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-16%) | 34mo | $260,000 | $191 | 18 |
| 19 Stiles Fairway SW | 1.43mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,925 (+18%) | 26mo | $390,000 | $203 | 13 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-104,351
- Equity at exit
- $48,219
- IRR
- -75.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.90×
- Total profit
- $-172,080
- Equity at exit
- $27,961
Cash invested: $90,551 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active
- Median asking
- $236,900 ($154/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 73 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +28.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 30120
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 689
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,907 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,696
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$404 /mo · $4,851/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $-728
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-505 | -5% $-617 | +0% $-728 | +5% $-840 | +10% $-952 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-879 | -5% $-804 | +0% $-728 | +5% $-653 | +10% $-578 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-565 | -0.5pp $-646 | base $-728 | +0.5pp $-812 | +1.0pp $-897 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,849
- Closing costs
- $9,702
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 128 Innis Brook Cir Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1689 | $1,845 | $1.09 | 2d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 122 Innis Brook Cir Cartersville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2002 | $1,849 | $0.92 | 93d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 122 Innis Brook Cir Cartersville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2002 | $1,849 | $0.92 | 73d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 120 Innis Brook Cir Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,695 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 109 Innis Brook Cir Cartersville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $1,719 | $1.07 | 8d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: Cartersville, GA (201 Pisgah Xing)
- Financial info
- List price available but excluded from features
- HOA & community
- No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 parking space
- Security
- No security details provided
- Utilities
- Natural gasElectricCentral air
- Home design
- Single-family plan (The Pierce)
- Construction
- No construction details provided
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,627 (plan)
Interior
- Kitchen
- No kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas and electric heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open living area (plan)Plan name: The Pierce
- Laundry & utility
- No laundry details provided
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08pricedays on market $221,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $220,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $220,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $220,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $220,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $220,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $220,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $220,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $220,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $220,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $220,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $220,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $220,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $220,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $220,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $220,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $220,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $220,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $220,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $220,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $220,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $220,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $220,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $220,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $220,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $220,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $220,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $220,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $220,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $220,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $220,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $220,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $220,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $220,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $220,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $220,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $220,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $220,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $220,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $220,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $220,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $235,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $235,900 Active 7 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,115
- − Property taxes
- −$4,851
- − Insurance
- −$1,617
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,831
- − Management
- −$1,831
- − Depreciation
- −$9,408
- Taxable loss
- −$14,768
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,544
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This Pierce Plan townhome in Kingston, GA, is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great opportunity for an investor to move in and enjoy a well-maintained property with high potential for value appreciation.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
- Both New bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathrooms and adds value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300330
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,596
- Composite
- 29.16/100
- National rank
- #6577
- State rank
- #70 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cartersville
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #4800
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bartow County · 107,887 people
- City population
- 70,885
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,896
- Household income
- $86,581
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Bartow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,887 people
- By 2030
- 109,594 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 111,038 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 109,046 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 99,484 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 83,431 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Bartow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.2% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.2pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+51.7 2008: R+45.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.99%
- Current HPI
- 302.5848
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.23%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…