2918 W 15th St · Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable historic 1935 home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. A great option for first-time home buyers, families or investors. Featuring 1162 sq. ft. of charm and modern updates. Large, open living room with beautiful original hardwood floors. Spacious kitchen with large dining space. Home is being sold "As-Is". See Agent Remarks.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1935
- Listed 117 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $514 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $80k implies a 566% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.58%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,116
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 0.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1601 Booker St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,171 (+1%) | 2mo | $22,500 | $19 | 89 |
| 1617 S Valentine St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+4%) | 7mo | $164,360 | $137 | 64 |
| 609 S Martin St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,159 (-0%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $151 | 62 |
| 2109 Brown St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (+7%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $117 | 61 |
| 3301 W 7th St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-3%) | 3mo | $153,000 | $136 | 61 |
| 3212 Lamar | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,228 (+6%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $61 | 60 |
| 2405 W 13th St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,331 (+14%) | 3mo | $106,000 | $80 | 57 |
| 702 S Maple St | 0.68mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,112 (-4%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $189 | 53 |
| 2104 S Pine St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,211 (+4%) | 3mo | $15,500 | $13 | 52 |
| 2613 W 6th St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-7%) | 3mo | $111,000 | $103 | 51 |
| 2721 W Capitol Ave | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,273 (+10%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $189 | 42 |
| 4009 W 11th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (+12%) | 2mo | $161,950 | $124 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $20,104
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.72×
- Total profit
- $60,927
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72202
- Home prices YoY
- -25.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $479/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $514
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $559 | -5% $537 | +0% $514 | +5% $492 | +10% $469 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $414 | -5% $464 | +0% $514 | +5% $564 | +10% $615 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $554 | -0.5pp $534 | base $514 | +0.5pp $493 | +1.0pp $472 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2900 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $950 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2803 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3214 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 3109 W 11th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1055 | $1,295 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1626 S Brown St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $995 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1820 Johnson St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1822 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3401 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1205 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,199 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1918 Allis St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $895 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3204 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 921 | $1,095 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1123 Thayer St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 1 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,095 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2324 W Daisy L Gatson Bates Dr Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3423 Maryland Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3715 W 13th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $900 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2100 Valmar St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2105 S Valentine St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2220 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $900 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2300 S Martin St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $795 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 907 S Park St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,100 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1318 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1320 S Summit St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 408 Booker St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 610 S Maple St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4104 W 15th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,595 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2305 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,525 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3615 W Capitol Ave Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $1,550 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2200 Dennison St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1515 Wolfe St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2421 S Oak St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 212 Rice St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 20d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4314 W 14th St Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4319 W 17th St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1724 W 19th St Unit 2 Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 324 S Schiller St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,995 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 306 S Schiller St Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,795 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4304 W 22nd St Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $895 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1921 Wolfe St Unit A Little Rock, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $875 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-02-21$84,900 New Listing 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
Affordable historic 1935 home with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. A great option for first-time home buyers, families or investors. Featuring 1162 sq. ft. of charm and modern updates. Large, open living room with beautiful original hardwood floors. Spacious kitchen with large dining space. Home is being sold "As-Is". See Agent Remarks.
-
2008-02-05soldstatus $12,000 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Lock box on back door. SEE SHOWING REMARKS for Lock Box Code. No disclosure--selling "as is. " Prequalification letter or proof of funds to close required. Contact office for addendums. * * * * Vacant * * * * Show Anytime. * * * *
-
2008-01-13historical 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Lock box on back door. SEE SHOWING REMARKS for Lock Box Code. No disclosure--selling "as is. " Prequalification letter or proof of funds to close required. Contact office for addendums. * * * * Vacant * * * * Show Anytime. * * * *
-
2008-01-10$12,000 252-char remark
Show marketing remark (252 chars)
Lock box on back door. SEE SHOWING REMARKS for Lock Box Code. No disclosure--selling "as is. " Prequalification letter or proof of funds to close required. Contact office for addendums. * * * * Vacant * * * * Show Anytime. * * * *
-
2004-07-22soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $479 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $511 · $43/mo
- Expected delta
- +$33/yr (+$3/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,287
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$479
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $5,162
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,239
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,931/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0509000
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,346
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8457
- State rank
- #183 of 238 in AR
Livability — Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #22
- US rank
- #5295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 218,896
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,704
- Household income
- $50,899
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 789.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 45% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.75%
- Current HPI
- 199.3103
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+54.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-21 Listed $84,900 CARMLS
- 2008-02-05 Sold (MLS) $12,000 CARMLS
- 2008-01-13 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2008-01-10 Listed $12,000 CARMLS
- 2004-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $479 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…