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1259 Franklin St
B Composite 73.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$160,000

1259 Franklin St · Old Forge, PA 18518
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,260 sqft · SingleFamily · 50 Days on market
Built 1940 7,405 sqft lot $127/sqft · 18% below area Est $195k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well maintained and inviting starter home located in the ''Pizza Capitol of the World'' , Old Forge, PA. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is ideal for first time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a manageable yet functional space. It has newer windows, and the potential to make more living space in the basement. Step outside to a huge back yard, perfect for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing. This property also includes a shed with electric, offering excellent space for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. Additional highlights include off street parking. Don't miss your opportunity to own a great home in a desirable location. Schedule your private showing today! All information is approximate and not guaranteed or warranted.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Shed with electric
  • Newer windows

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSHUGE BACK YARDSHED WITH ELECTRICOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.1% in Old Forge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#287 in PA, #2,531 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Old Forge SD (suburban): math 22% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #409 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $160k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $155,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.12%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$195,009
List price
$160,000
Delta
-17.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1259 Franklin St 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,260 (0%) 1mo $164,500 $131 99
1227 Bennett St 0.12mi 2/1.5 1,210 (-4%) 3mo $200,009 $165 83
1158 Franklin St 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,281 (+2%) 6mo $197,809 $154 82
1213 Franklin St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,252 (-1%) 22mo $192,000 $153 65
1214 Mine St 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,104 (-12%) 8mo $175,000 $159 61
1150 Franklin St 0.24mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (+11%) 5mo $65,000 $46 59
1238 Mine St 0.10mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,410 (+12%) 19mo $236,500 $168 53
405 Milwaukee Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,405 (+12%) 2mo $131,000 $93 49
129 Casper St 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,100 (-13%) 11mo $153,000 $139 49
710 Maple St 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,152 (-9%) 5mo $165,000 $143 48
98 Rose Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (-7%) 10mo $180,000 $153 43
115 Thomas St 0.63mi 2/1.0 1,131 (-10%) 16mo $95,720 $85 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$59,936
Equity at exit
$92,095
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
4.61×
Total profit
$161,901
Equity at exit
$160,133

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18518

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,831 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,400
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Vine St Unit 304 Old Forge, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.88mi
200 Oak St Unit 2 Old Forge, PA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,800 $1.20 43d 1 0.96mi
75 Marimar Dr Old Forge, PA 2.0 2.0 1300 $2,500 $1.92 13d 1 1.10mi
163 Bianca Way Old Forge, PA 2.0 2.0 1194 $2,500 $2.09 13d 1 1.16mi
128-130 Henderson St Old Forge, PA 1.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 21d 1 1.17mi
152 Drakes Ln Old Forge, PA 2.0 1.0 979 $1,700 $1.74 13d 1 1.29mi
864 S Main St #3 Old Forge, PA 2.0 1.0 965 $1,350 $1.40 13d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-03
    listed $160,000 Active 788-char remark
    Show marketing remark (788 chars)

    Welcome to this well maintained and inviting starter home located in the ''Pizza Capitol of the World'' , Old Forge, PA. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home is ideal for first time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a manageable yet functional space. It has newer windows, and the potential to make more living space in the basement. Step outside to a huge back yard, perfect for entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing. This property also includes a shed with electric, offering excellent space for storage, hobbies, or a workshop. Additional highlights include off street parking. Don't miss your opportunity to own a great home in a desirable location. Schedule your private showing today! All information is approximate and not guaranteed or warranted.

  2. 2019-05-24
    soldstatus $81,500
  3. 2008-02-21
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,969
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$2,400
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,758
− Management
−$1,758
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$1,637
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$393
After-tax cash flow
$3,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Old Forge SD
NCES district ID
4218120
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$49,409
Composite
30.6/100
National rank
#6196
State rank
#409 of 539 in PA

Livability — Old Forge

Score
78/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#2531

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Old Forge, PA
City population
8,533
Population (ZIP)
8,533

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.15%
Current HPI
242.2839
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+220.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $160,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2019-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $81,500 Public Records
  • 2008-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+35.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $33,386 · +2247.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…