7747 Sea Level Dr · East Milton, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$282,490
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This new single-story design makes smart use of the space available. At the front are all three secondary bedrooms arranged near a convenient full-sized bathroom. Down the foyer is a modern layout connecting a peninsula-style kitchen made for inspired meals, an intimate dining area and a family room ideal for gatherings. Tucked in a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Intimate dining area
- Walk-in closet
- Single-story design
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price available (details not included per instructions)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage/parking (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design: Single-family home, Ramsey plan
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1667 (square footage omitted from details per instructions)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec new construction (Ramsey plan)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $282k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $266k (5.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.6% in East Milton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#199 in FL, #3,139 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Middle School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 660 students, 69% FRL); Milton High School (math 44% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,085 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 36% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Santa Rosa average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 822 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.71%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,060
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5341 Horizons Edge Ln Lot 5G | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 1,707 (+2%) | 0mo | $292,509 | $171 | 93 |
| 7752 Sea Level Dr Lot 8F | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 | 1,707 (+2%) | 2mo | $279,990 | $164 | 93 |
| 5356 Horizons Edge Ln Lot 24A | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,707 (+2%) | 3mo | $274,490 | $161 | 90 |
| 5315 Hidden Pines Cir | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,634 (-2%) | 1mo | $331,900 | $203 | 79 |
| 5275 Hidden Pines Cir | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (+9%) | 3mo | $317,900 | $175 | 74 |
| 7768 Three Mile View Dr Lot 6G | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,474 (-12%) | 2mo | $264,990 | $180 | 72 |
| 5368 Horizons Edge Ln Lot 21A | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,474 (-12%) | 3mo | $265,190 | $180 | 72 |
| 5327 Hidden Pines Cir | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (+9%) | 1mo | $321,707 | $177 | 70 |
| 7633 Small Pines St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,810 (+9%) | 1mo | $327,231 | $181 | 70 |
| 5338 Hidden Pines Cir | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (+9%) | 1mo | $326,707 | $180 | 69 |
| 5307 Hidden Pines Cir | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,530 (-8%) | 2mo | $312,000 | $204 | 68 |
| 7684 Pine Bark St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,901 (+14%) | 2mo | $385,648 | $203 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-49,295
- Equity at exit
- $42,120
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-36,641
- Equity at exit
- $24,425
Cash invested: $79,097 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32583
- Home prices YoY
- -11.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 822
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,328 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,481
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$353 /mo · $4,237/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $-113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $82 | -5% $-15 | +0% $-113 | +5% $-211 | +10% $-308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-297 | -5% $-205 | +0% $-113 | +5% $-21 | +10% $71 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $29 | -0.5pp $-41 | base $-113 | +0.5pp $-186 | +1.0pp $-261 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,622
- Closing costs
- $8,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8057 Fir Tree Dr Milton, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2107 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $282,490 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $282,490 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $282,490 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $282,490 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $282,490 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $282,490 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $282,490 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $282,490 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $282,490 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $282,490 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $282,490 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $279,490 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $279,490 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $282,490 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $282,490 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $282,490 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $282,490 Active 45 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,938
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,824
- − Property taxes
- −$4,237
- − Insurance
- −$1,412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,235
- − Management
- −$2,235
- − Depreciation
- −$8,218
- Taxable loss
- −$6,223
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,494
- After-tax cash flow
- $138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story home is in good condition with a modern design and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of updates and maintenance needs to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and value.
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality.
- Both New flooring in entryway — Enhances entryway aesthetics and functionality.
- Both New paint in living areas — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality.
- Both New window treatments in bedrooms — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality.
- Both New flooring in laundry room — Enhances functionality and aesthetics.
- Both New paint in laundry room — Enhances functionality and aesthetics.
- Both New window treatments in office — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality.
- Both New flooring in office — Enhances functionality and aesthetics.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances kitchen aesthetics and value. ↑
- Both New window treatments — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both New lighting fixtures — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Both New flooring in entryway — Enhances entryway aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Both New paint in living areas — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Both New window treatments in bedrooms — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Both New flooring in laundry room — Enhances functionality and aesthetics. ↑
- Both New paint in laundry room — Enhances functionality and aesthetics. ↑
- Both New window treatments in office — Enhances interior aesthetics and functionality. ↑
- Both New flooring in office — Enhances functionality and aesthetics. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — East Milton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #3139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Milton, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 31,415
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,828
- Household income
- $85,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 122.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.35%
- Current HPI
- 301.8819
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.53%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…