102 S Harbor St · Rockaway Beach, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$343,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Escape to your own coastal sanctuary in this charming 2-bedroom Rockaway Beach cabin. The interior features new flooring throughout, unique architectural details and open floor plan. Outside, the level lot includes a nice firepit perfect for cool Oregon evenings and a versatile shed that's ideal for a dedicated workspace or hobby room. Lots of parking! Location is everything—you're just minutes from the heart of downtown. Enjoy front-row access to Rockaway's legendary 4th of July festivities, shops, and dining, all while being tucked away in a quiet neighborhood. This is the ultimate home base for peaceful coastal living.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Firepit
- Versatile shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot roughly 3,000–4,999 sq ft (about 0.08 acres); Zoning: RK-R-2
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; RV parking available
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (resale); One-level living; Built in 1951; No notable view
- Construction: Composition roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Fire pit; Cement siding; Level lot; Gravel road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level; Main-floor bedroom with bath (accessible)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level) with walk-in shower
- Heating & cooling: Zoned heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Aluminum and vinyl window frames; Crawl space basement; Accessible design features
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $343k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $343k).
- Recommended offer: $333k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 6.6% in Rockaway Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#94 in OR, #4,777 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Neah-Kah-Nie SD 56 (rural): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #62 of 183 in OR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Garibaldi Elementary School (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #288 of 412 statewide, top 73%, 120 students, 52% FRL); Neah-Kah-Nie Middle School (math 24% / reading 57%, grade F, #41 of 128 statewide, top 32%, 177 students, 44% FRL); Neah-Kah-Nie High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #32 of 143 statewide, top 34%, 280 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 86 units permitted in Tillamook County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tillamook County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $96k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($333k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $343k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.54%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $353,500
- List price
- $343,000
- Delta
- -2.97%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 N Dolphin St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 869 (+1%) | 3mo | $353,000 | $406 | 84 |
| 110 S Palisade St | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 893 (+4%) | 8mo | $494,000 | $553 | 65 |
| 366 N Pacific St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-8%) | 6mo | $458,500 | $579 | 59 |
| 409 Nehalem Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 951 (+10%) | 23mo | $390,999 | $411 | 53 |
| 243 N Juniper St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (+15%) | 15mo | $490,000 | $495 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $38,793
- Equity at exit
- $51,142
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $154,983
- Equity at exit
- $29,656
Cash invested: $96,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97136
- Home prices YoY
- -34.6%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,502 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,799
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,574/yr
- Insurance
- −$143
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$945
- Net cashflow
- $1,484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,750
- Closing costs
- $10,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 N Dolphin St Rockaway Beach, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $6,000 | $5.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 406 N 3rd Ave Rockaway Beach, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $3,000 | $3.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $343,000 Active 42 DOM
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Escape to your own coastal sanctuary in this charming 2-bedroom Rockaway Beach cabin. The interior features new flooring throughout, unique architectural details and open floor plan. Outside, the level lot includes a nice firepit perfect for cool Oregon evenings and a versatile shed that's ideal for a dedicated workspace or hobby room. Lots of parking! Location is everything—you're just minutes from the heart of downtown. Enjoy front-row access to Rockaway's legendary 4th of July festivities, shops, and dining, all while being tucked away in a quiet neighborhood. This is the ultimate home base for peaceful coastal living.
-
2026-06-18price $343,000 Active 41 DOM
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Escape to your own coastal sanctuary in this charming 2-bedroom Rockaway Beach cabin. The interior features new flooring throughout, unique architectural details and open floor plan. Outside, the level lot includes a nice firepit perfect for cool Oregon evenings and a versatile shed that's ideal for a dedicated workspace or hobby room. Lots of parking! Location is everything—you're just minutes from the heart of downtown. Enjoy front-row access to Rockaway's legendary 4th of July festivities, shops, and dining, all while being tucked away in a quiet neighborhood. This is the ultimate home base for peaceful coastal living.
-
2026-06-17days on market $350,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $350,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $350,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $350,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $350,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $350,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $350,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $350,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $350,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$350,000 Active 653-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Escape to your own coastal sanctuary in this charming 2-bedroom Rockaway Beach cabin. The interior features new flooring throughout, unique architectural details and open floor plan. Outside, the level lot includes a nice firepit perfect for cool Oregon evenings and a versatile shed that's ideal for a dedicated workspace or hobby room. Lots of parking! Location is everything—you're just minutes from the heart of downtown. Enjoy front-row access to Rockaway's legendary 4th of July festivities, shops, and dining, all while being tucked away in a quiet neighborhood. This is the ultimate home base for peaceful coastal living.
-
2026-05-07$350,000 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Escape to your own coastal sanctuary in this charming 2-bedroom Rockaway Beach cabin. The interior features new flooring throughout, unique architectural details and open floor plan. Outside, the level lot includes a nice firepit perfect for cool Oregon evenings and a versatile shed that's ideal for a dedicated workspace or hobby room. Lots of parking! Location is everything—you're just minutes from the heart of downtown. Enjoy front-row access to Rockaway's legendary 4th of July festivities, shops, and dining, all while being tucked away in a quiet neighborhood. This is the ultimate home base for peaceful coastal living.
-
2017-03-31soldstatus $165,000
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
Sweetheart beach cabin; newly updated & move-in ready. Sit by the outdoor fire pit, listen to the ocean. New 9x16 workshop/studio with power. New deck & covered porch. Quality updates include plumbing, electrical, vaulted ceilings, new sewer pump & sump pump. New paint & trim inside & out, new siding/flooring/fixtures, redesigned kitchen, new appliances. New roof, 2014. Mudroom includes stack W/D.
-
2017-02-14$174,900
Show marketing remark (420 chars)
Sweetheart beach cabin; newly updated & move-in ready. Sit by the outdoor fire pit, listen to the ocean. New 9x16 workshop/studio with power. New deck & covered porch. Quality updates include plumbing, electrical, vaulted ceilings, new sewer pump & sump pump. New paint & trim inside & out, new siding/flooring/fixtures, redesigned kitchen, new appliances. New roof, 2014. Mudroom includes stack W/D.
-
2015-05-29soldstatus $100,000
-
2015-03-13soldstatus $52,549
-
2014-10-15$57,240
-
2003-06-26soldstatus $70,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,574 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,327 · $277/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,753/yr (+$146/mo · 111.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 9 d/yr ≥76°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,213
- − Property taxes
- −$1,574
- − Insurance
- −$1,715
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,322
- − Management
- −$4,322
- − Depreciation
- −$9,978
- Taxable income
- $12,897
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,095
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Neah-Kah-Nie SD 56
- NCES district ID
- 4108650
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,437
- Composite
- 41.68/100
- National rank
- #7205
- State rank
- #62 of 183 in OR
Livability — Rockaway Beach
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #4777
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockaway Beach, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,422
Population outlook (Tillamook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,318 people
- By 2030
- 26,603 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 26,898 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 27,129 · +3.1%
- By 2075
- 27,858 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 26,212 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tillamook
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 49.2% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.9pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: R+1.7 2016: R+5.9 2012: D+4.7 2008: D+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.02%
- Current HPI
- 228.3227
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+390.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $343,000 RMLS
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $343,000 OCMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $350,000 OCMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $350,000 RMLS
- 2017-03-31 Sold (MLS) $165,000 RMLS
- 2017-02-14 Listed $174,900 RMLS
- 2015-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2015-03-13 Sold (MLS) $52,549 RMLS
- 2014-10-15 Listed $57,240 RMLS
- 2003-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,574 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…