306 Addison Ct · New Market, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Immaculate Full-Brick Rancher. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath full-brick rancher, only 6 years old and packed with modern upgrades. Enjoy low-maintenance LVP flooring throughout, smooth ceilings, and an open-concept floor plan designed for effortless living and entertaining. The kitchen features granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances, flowing seamlessly into the living and dining areas. Retreat to the spacious owner’s suite with a private ensuite bath, while three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. A 2-car garage adds extra convenience.
Key facts
- Full-brick rancher
- Granite countertops
- Private ensuite bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-227 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (14.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (29.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.1% in New Market — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#304 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 391 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.54%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $324,641
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- -15.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Sidney Ruth Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (-9%) | 2mo | $303,904 | $167 | 73 |
| 105 Fellington Ct | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 | 2,103 (+6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $143 | 71 |
| 106 Sidney Ruth Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 | 1,820 (-9%) | 1mo | $285,788 | $157 | 70 |
| 115 Sidney Ruth Dr | 0.14mi | 4/3.0 | 2,200 (+10%) | 1mo | $303,276 | $138 | 68 |
| 111 Sidney Ruth Dr | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 2,200 (+10%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $134 | 64 |
| 120 Branton Ct | 0.32mi | 4/3.0 | 2,157 (+8%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $148 | 63 |
| 288 Tercel Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,818 (-9%) | 2mo | $264,900 | $146 | 63 |
| 390 Jackson Point Cir Unit A | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,841 (-8%) | 2mo | $282,400 | $153 | 49 |
| 377 Jackson Point Cir | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,841 (-8%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $157 | 48 |
| 392 Jackson Point Cir Unit B | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,841 (-8%) | 3mo | $283,400 | $154 | 48 |
| 391 Jackson Point Cir Unit B | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,092 (+5%) | 2mo | $304,335 | $145 | 44 |
| 392 Jackson Point Cir Unit A | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,092 (+5%) | 2mo | $303,300 | $145 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-59,081
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-70,292
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35761
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,947 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,176/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$27
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $-227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-71 | -5% $-149 | +0% $-227 | +5% $-305 | +10% $-383 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-381 | -5% $-304 | +0% $-227 | +5% $-150 | +10% $-73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-89 | -0.5pp $-157 | base $-227 | +0.5pp $-298 | +1.0pp $-371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Addison Ct New Market, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2167 | $1,850 | $0.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 105 Fellington Ct New Market, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2103 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 102 Derbyshire Dr New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1537 | $1,600 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 292 Tercel Dr New Market, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 129 Canonbury Dr New Market, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1886 | $1,950 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 129 Canonbury Dr New Market, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1884 | $1,900 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 227 Falcon Ridge Dr Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,591 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 236 Tanner Point Dr New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,665 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 228 Tanner Point Dr New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1645 | $1,750 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 121 Rolling Green Dr New Market, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $1,825 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4429 Maysville Rd NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 112 Raptor Ct Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 104 Bataleur Ct Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 109 Tanner Ridge Cir New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,595 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 157 Olde Hearth Rd New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,664 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 165 Olde Hearth Rd New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $1,684 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 174 River Pointe Dr New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,719 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 101 Fawn Forest Dr New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,750 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 105 Fawn Forest Dr New Market, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,700 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 108 Eagles Watch Ct New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,795 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 127 Tine Ln New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $2,100 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 104 Grove Hill Cir New Market, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $2,095 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $27 · $324/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $275,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $285,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2025-12-04price $285,000 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Immaculate Full-Brick Rancher. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath full-brick rancher, only 6 years old and packed with modern upgrades. Enjoy low-maintenance LVP flooring throughout, smooth ceilings, and an open-concept floor plan designed for effortless living and entertaining. The kitchen features granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances, flowing seamlessly into the living and dining areas. Retreat to the spacious owner’s suite with a private ensuite bath, while three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. A 2-car garage adds extra convenience.
-
2025-10-16price $289,000 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Immaculate Full-Brick Rancher. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath full-brick rancher, only 6 years old and packed with modern upgrades. Enjoy low-maintenance LVP flooring throughout, smooth ceilings, and an open-concept floor plan designed for effortless living and entertaining. The kitchen features granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances, flowing seamlessly into the living and dining areas. Retreat to the spacious owner’s suite with a private ensuite bath, while three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. A 2-car garage adds extra convenience.
-
2025-08-12$295,000 Active 640-char remark
Show marketing remark (640 chars)
Immaculate Full-Brick Rancher. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath full-brick rancher, only 6 years old and packed with modern upgrades. Enjoy low-maintenance LVP flooring throughout, smooth ceilings, and an open-concept floor plan designed for effortless living and entertaining. The kitchen features granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances, flowing seamlessly into the living and dining areas. Retreat to the spacious owner’s suite with a private ensuite bath, while three additional bedrooms offer flexibility for guests, a home office, or growing families. A 2-car garage adds extra convenience.
-
2022-05-12price $1,785
-
2021-12-02soldstatus $278,000
-
2021-11-19soldstatus $278,000 Sold 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This beautiful 4 Bedroom, 2 1/2 bath full brick home has an open floorplan that is great for entertaining. Foyer, great room, dining area and kitchen have beautiful dark floors, with smooth ceilings. The great room area has trey ceilings and lots of windows. The kitchen has granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a large island and pantry. You’ll love the master suite and glamour bath offering a separate shower, large soaker tub and raised vanity with lots of storage and double sinks! Community has a great cabana with outdoor kitchen, playground and pool.
-
2021-10-30status Pending 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This beautiful 4 Bedroom, 2 1/2 bath full brick home has an open floorplan that is great for entertaining. Foyer, great room, dining area and kitchen have beautiful dark floors, with smooth ceilings. The great room area has trey ceilings and lots of windows. The kitchen has granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a large island and pantry. You’ll love the master suite and glamour bath offering a separate shower, large soaker tub and raised vanity with lots of storage and double sinks! Community has a great cabana with outdoor kitchen, playground and pool.
-
2021-10-24$285,500 Active 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This beautiful 4 Bedroom, 2 1/2 bath full brick home has an open floorplan that is great for entertaining. Foyer, great room, dining area and kitchen have beautiful dark floors, with smooth ceilings. The great room area has trey ceilings and lots of windows. The kitchen has granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, a large island and pantry. You’ll love the master suite and glamour bath offering a separate shower, large soaker tub and raised vanity with lots of storage and double sinks! Community has a great cabana with outdoor kitchen, playground and pool.
-
2019-05-02soldstatus $197,990 Sold
-
2019-03-25status Pending
-
2019-03-05price $197,990
-
2018-12-31$195,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,176 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,176 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$2,176
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,869
- − Management
- −$1,869
- − HOA
- −$324
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$7,656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,837
- After-tax cash flow
- $-888/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — New Market
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #19258
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 13,557
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,557
- Household income
- $79,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 220.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.88%
- Current HPI
- 261.8281
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+45.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $285,000 VMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $289,000 VMLS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $295,000 VMLS
- 2022-05-12 Price Changed $1,785 RENT.
- 2021-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $278,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $278,000 VMLS
- 2021-10-30 Pending — VMLS
- 2021-10-24 Listed $285,500 VMLS
- 2019-05-02 Sold (MLS) $197,990 VMLS
- 2019-03-25 Pending — VMLS
- 2019-03-05 Price Changed $197,990 VMLS
- 2018-12-31 Listed $195,990 VMLS
Property tax history
+70.6%/yrLatest (2024): $2,176 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…