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220 S Orchard Dr
B- Composite 67.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

220 S Orchard Dr · Park Forest, IL 60466
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,471 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 1951 Est $182k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Park Forest area!!! Investor dream or homeowner fixer upper!! Waiting for your TLC. Bring this home back to life with a full renovation. Three bedrooms, 2 full baths, kitchen, fire place in family room, laundry area, large family room and living room. Garage is detached, with enough space for 2nd car on driveway. Schedule your appointment today.

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • Fresh interior paint
  • Updated hvac systems

Tags

RENOVATED RANCH HOMEWALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWNFRESH INTERIOR PAINTUPDATED ELECTRICALUPDATED PLUMBINGUPDATED HVAC SYSTEMS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area listed as estimated; Parcel number available
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); Side driveway; Total 1 parking space, 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan; Sewer: Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story (single level); Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level) — Master 15 x 11; Bedroom 2: 12 x 11; Bedroom 3: 10 x 9
  • Flooring: Wood laminate in living areas, kitchen, family room and laundry
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; 7 total rooms; Laminate flooring throughout
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry on main level; Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,332/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 900% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $175k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $172,375 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.63%
Cash-on-cash
15.51%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$182,404
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
397 Oswego St 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,398 (-5%) 2mo $199,000 $142 69
107 Chestnut St 0.44mi 4/2.5 1,383 (-6%) 1mo $215,000 $155 66
364 Osage St 0.57mi 4/3.0 1,503 (+2%) 1mo $245,000 $163 65
343 Osage St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,490 (+1%) 0mo $185,000 $124 64
6 Monee Ct 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,452 (-1%) 3mo $120,000 $83 58
431 Lakewood Blvd 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,419 (-4%) 8mo $175,000 $123 58
287 Mohawk St 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,408 (-4%) 1mo $175,000 $124 51
210 Marquette St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,269 (-14%) 1mo $153,000 $121 50
214 Marquette St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,271 (-14%) 7mo $184,900 $145 48
230 Mantua St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,387 (-6%) 7mo $230,000 $166 48
127 Blackhawk Dr 0.60mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,296 (-12%) 3mo $117,000 $90 43
289 Westwood Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,664 (+13%) 1mo $95,102 $57 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$12,005
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$62,524
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60466

Home prices YoY
-21.1%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,332 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$633

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $754 -5% $694 +0% $633 +5% $573 +10% $512
Rent -10% $449 -5% $541 +0% $633 +5% $725 +10% $817
Rate -1.0pp $721 -0.5pp $678 base $633 +0.5pp $588 +1.0pp $542

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1541 $2,300 $1.49 13d 1 0.33mi
372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.0 1200 $2,600 $2.17 25d 1 0.38mi
3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $1,995 $1.94 0d 11 0.49mi
11 Fir St Park Forest, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0 1026 $2,069 $2.02 0d 1 0.60mi
111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 25d 1 0.61mi
411 Huron St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,200 $2.01 0d 1 0.76mi
277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 4d 1 0.98mi
441 Talala St Park Forest, IL 4.0 2.0 1740 $2,500 $1.44 25d 1 1.00mi
194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,971 $1.80 23d 1 1.02mi
490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,895 $1.46 4d 1 1.12mi
400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL 4.0 2.0 1161 $2,161 $1.86 17d 1 1.20mi
235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL 3.0 1.0 1092 $2,000 $1.83 25d 1 1.21mi
631 Andover St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 5d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,988
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,239
− Management
−$2,239
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$5,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,228
After-tax cash flow
$6,370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Park Forest

Score
78/100
State rank
#148
US rank
#2726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Park Forest, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
21,461
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
21,461
Household income
$61,654
Rent vs Own
33.7% rent · 66.3% own
Severe rent burden
900.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.87%
Current HPI
219.9692
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+337.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $175,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-12 Sold (MLS) $51,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-28 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-06 Listed $39,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $10,248 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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