1613 E Villa Rita Dr · Phoenix, AZ 85022

$157,600

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,532 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market

Built 1982 Poor condition $103/sqft · 26% above area Est $125k · 26% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• Schools +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a home with mountain views in North Phoenix? Welcome to Sunrise Heights--a charming 55 and over active adult community. With over 1,500 square feet of stylish living, this completely remodeled 3 bed, 2 bath open concept home features a wood-burning fireplace and oversized kitchen cabinets. You'll also have total peace of mind with a brand-new roof, new dual pane windows and a newer A/C unit already in place. Step outside to the covered deck and take in the beautiful, elevated views of Lookout Mountain. When you aren't relaxing at home, you can enjoy incredible community amenities like the pool, spa, tennis courts, and fitness center.

Key facts

• Covered deck
• Completely remodeled
• Newer a/c unit

Tags

• COMPLETELY REMODELED
• WOOD-BURNING FIREPLACE
• OVERSIZED KITCHEN CABINETS
• BRAND-NEW ROOF
• NEWER A/C UNIT
• COVERED DECK

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $158k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $600 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $158k).
• Recommended offer: $148k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
• Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 282 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $68k; list at $158k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $148,144 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.32%
• DSCR: 1.73
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $124,710
• List price: $157,600
• Delta: 26.37%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1634 E Michelle Dr	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,568 (+2%)	1mo	$75,000	$48	94
17844 N 17th Pl	0.14mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,456 (-5%)	3mo	$96,000	$66	77
17615 N 15th Pl	0.31mi	3/2.0	1,450 (-5%)	1mo	$156,000	$108	76
1820 E Grovers Ave	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,440 (-6%)	3mo	$284,000	$197	72
1955 E Grovers Ave #10	0.48mi	3/2.0	1,568 (+2%)	4mo	$55,500	$35	70
17853 N 16th Way	0.09mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,350 (-12%)	2mo	$115,000	$85	69
1638 E John Cabot Rd	0.07mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,344 (-12%)	6mo	$85,000	$63	66
18240 N 21st St #100	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,568 (+2%)	7mo	$145,000	$92	61
2087 E Michelle Dr	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,643 (+7%)	0mo	$302,000	$184	56
2140 E Michigan Ave #5	0.69mi	3/2.0	1,456 (-5%)	9mo	$111,200	$76	52
18223 N 21st Pl #52	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,344 (-12%)	1mo	$93,000	$69	48
1538 E Hartford Ave	0.51mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,354 (-12%)	5mo	$170,000	$126	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.15×
• Total profit: $6,455
• Equity at exit: $23,499

10-year hold

• IRR: 10.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.70×
• Total profit: $30,757
• Equity at exit: $13,626

Cash invested: $44,128 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85022

• Rents YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 282
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,138 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$826
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$197 /mo · $2,364/yr
• Insurance: −$66
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$449
• Net cashflow: $600

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,379

Max offer price $157,600

Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $709	-5% $655	+0% $600	+5% $546	+10% $491
Rent	-10% $431	-5% $516	+0% $600	+5% $685	+10% $769
Rate	-1.0pp $680	-0.5pp $640	base $600	+0.5pp $559	+1.0pp $518

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,400
• Closing costs: $4,728
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1702 E Michelle Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1300	$2,200	$1.69	5d	1	0.11mi
1717 E Union Hills Dr #1052 Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1160	$4,000	$3.45	44d	1	0.28mi
1337 E Charleston Ave Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1860	$2,600	$1.40	19d	1	0.34mi
1717 E Union Hills Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0	1245	$4,000	$3.21	22d	4	0.35mi
1717 E Union Hills Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0	1169	$4,000	$3.42	3d	3	0.35mi
18633 N 15th St Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1240	$2,249	$1.81	8d	1	0.38mi
1440 E Renee Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1632	$2,200	$1.35	25d	1	0.39mi
17435 N 16th Pl Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1614	$2,280	$1.41	21d	1	0.40mi
17606 N 17th Pl Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–2.5	1463	$2,300	$1.57	3d	3	0.40mi
17606 N 17th Pl Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.5	1472	$2,300	$1.56	13d	3	0.40mi
1343 E Angela Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1852	$2,400	$1.30	18d	1	0.50mi
1136 E Villa Rita Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1141	$1,950	$1.71	25d	1	0.53mi
1126 E Charleston Ave Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1214	$2,450	$2.02	4d	1	0.54mi
1506 E Wescott Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1136	$2,045	$1.80	5d	1	0.54mi
1814 E Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	1003	$1,637	$1.63	2d	12	0.55mi
1450 E Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	957	$2,083	$2.18	2d	93	0.57mi
1216 E Angela Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1887	$2,300	$1.22	25d	1	0.59mi
1510 E Taro Ln Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1136	$2,149	$1.89	25d	1	0.60mi
17416 N 13th St Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1852	$2,295	$1.24	22d	1	0.61mi
1032 E Villa Maria Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1097	$1,850	$1.69	8d	1	0.62mi
1032 E Villa Maria Dr Phoenix, AZ	2.0	2.0	1097	$1,850	$1.69	20d	1	0.62mi
1420 E Topeka Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1464	$2,215	$1.51	8d	1	0.62mi
1210 E Rosemonte Dr Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1896	$2,570	$1.36	5d	1	0.65mi
17617 N 9th St Phoenix, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	956	$2,017	$2.11	2d	35	0.70mi
1702 E Bell Rd #180 Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1358	$2,000	$1.47	25d	1	0.71mi
2221 E Union Hills Dr #158 Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1332	$2,100	$1.58	19d	1	0.79mi
1920 E Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–2.5	1391	$2,039	$1.47	3d	3	0.81mi
1920 E Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–2.5	1391	$2,089	$1.50	8d	4	0.81mi
1920 E Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0–2.5	1391	$2,149	$1.54	14d	5	0.81mi
18437 N 8th Pl Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.0	1355	$1,980	$1.46	5d	1	0.81mi
17243 N 10th St Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	2196	$3,100	$1.41	25d	1	0.83mi
1100 E Bell Rd Phoenix, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	987	$2,274	$2.30	2d	26	0.83mi
815 E Grovers Ave Phoenix, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.5	1469	$2,800	$1.91	5d	2	0.84mi
18611 N 22nd St Phoenix, AZ	3.0	3.0	1851	$2,200	$1.19	13d	1	0.89mi
18611 N 22nd St #72 Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1851	$2,200	$1.19	15d	1	0.89mi
16825 N 14th St Phoenix, AZ	2.0–4.0	2.5–3.0	1465	$1,925	$1.31	3d	2	0.91mi
16825 N 14th St Phoenix, AZ	2.0–4.0	2.5–3.0	1465	$1,925	$1.31	25d	2	0.91mi
16875 N 12th St Unit 17 Phoenix, AZ	3.0	2.5	1323	$2,200	$1.66	25d	1	0.91mi
16825 N 14th St #49 Phoenix, AZ	4.0	3.0	1787	$2,175	$1.22	5d	1	0.91mi
1041 E Kristal Way Phoenix, AZ	4.0	3.0	1715	$3,200	$1.87	17d	1	0.93mi

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $157,600 Active 70 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $157,600 Active 69 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $157,600 Active 68 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $157,600 Active 67 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $157,600 Active 65 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $157,600 Active 64 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $157,600 Active 61 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $157,600 Active 60 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $157,600 Active 59 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $157,600 Active 56 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $157,600 Active 55 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $157,600 Active 54 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $157,600 Active 53 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $157,600 Active 52 DOM
15. 2026-04-09
    listed $157,600 Active 654-char remark

    Show marketing remark (654 chars)

    Looking for a home with mountain views in North Phoenix? Welcome to Sunrise Heights--a charming 55 and over active adult community. With over 1,500 square feet of stylish living, this completely remodeled 3 bed, 2 bath open concept home features a wood-burning fireplace and oversized kitchen cabinets. You'll also have total peace of mind with a brand-new roof, new dual pane windows and a newer A/C unit already in place. Step outside to the covered deck and take in the beautiful, elevated views of Lookout Mountain. When you aren't relaxing at home, you can enjoy incredible community amenities like the pool, spa, tennis courts, and fitness center.

16. 2022-07-20
    soldstatus $67,500 Closed 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

17. 2022-07-19
    status Pending 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

18. 2022-07-08
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

19. 2022-06-10
    price $80,000 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

20. 2022-06-09
    price $86,000 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

21. 2022-05-31
    price $92,000 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

22. 2022-05-24
    price $95,900 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

23. 2022-04-25
    price $100,000 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

24. 2022-04-19
    price $109,900 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

25. 2022-04-11
    listed $115,000 Active 280-char remark

    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Spacious 3 bedroom, 1.75 bath mobile home, with a formal dining room, large great room, breakfast bar, built in wine cooler in the kitchen Mobile home is sitting on an exceptional lot with a nice view. Home includes a covered front porch is a peaceful retreat. 55 plus community.

26. 2020-12-16
    soldstatus $83,000 Closed
27. 2020-12-03
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
28. 2020-11-08
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,661
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,828
• − Property taxes: −$2,364
• − Insurance: −$788
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,053
• − Management: −$2,053
• − Depreciation: −$4,585
• Taxable income: $4,990
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,198
• After-tax cash flow: $6,005/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This home requires extensive renovations to bring it up to modern standards, significantly improving its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

• Major kitchen cabinets — Severe wear and tear
• Major kitchen countertops — Severe wear and tear
• Major kitchen appliances — Outdated and worn
• Major bathroom fixtures — Worn and outdated
• Major bathroom tiles — Worn and outdated
• Major roof — Visible wear and tear
• Major exterior siding — Peeling paint
• Major exterior paint — Peeling paint
• Major flooring — Worn and outdated
• Major interior walls — Peeling paint
• Major windows — Old, single-pane windows
• Major HVAC appliances — Outdated and worn

Value-add opportunities

• Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value
• Resale New flooring throughout — Modernizes the home and adds value
• Resale New bathroom fixtures and tiles — Modernizes the bathrooms and adds value
• Resale New roof and siding — Improves the home's curb appeal and adds value
• Resale New windows — Improves energy efficiency and adds value
• Resale New HVAC appliances — Improves comfort and adds value
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's appearance and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen cabinets · Severe wear and tear	Major	$15,000–50,000
kitchen countertops · Severe wear and tear	Major	$15,000–50,000
kitchen appliances · Outdated and worn	Major	$15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · Worn and outdated	Major	$15,000–50,000
bathroom tiles · Worn and outdated	Major	$15,000–50,000
roof · Visible wear and tear	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Peeling paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior paint · Peeling paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
flooring · Worn and outdated	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls · Peeling paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
windows · Old, single-pane windows	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC appliances · Outdated and worn	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 12 items		$180,000–600,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
• Resale New flooring throughout — Modernizes the home and adds value ↑
• Resale New bathroom fixtures and tiles — Modernizes the bathrooms and adds value ↑
• Resale New roof and siding — Improves the home's curb appeal and adds value ↑
• Resale New windows — Improves energy efficiency and adds value ↑
• Resale New HVAC appliances — Improves comfort and adds value ↑
• Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's appearance and adds value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
• NCES district ID: 0405930
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $64,106
• Composite: 37.89/100
• National rank: #4316
• State rank: #56 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Phoenix

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #16
• US rank: #3924

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Phoenix, AZ
• County: Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
• City population: 1,500,198
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 53,811
• Household income: $69,927
• Rent vs Own: 47.7% rent · 52.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 2976.0

Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 4,979,203 people
• By 2030: 5,378,229 · +8.0%
• By 2040: 6,156,598 · +23.6%
• By 2050: 6,872,376 · +38.0%
• By 2075: 8,401,270 · +68.7%
• By 2100: 9,247,439 · +85.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 3% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 18%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -329.75%
• Current HPI: 313.5085
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.21%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+75.3% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-09 Listed $157,600 ARMLS
• 2022-07-20 Sold (MLS) $67,500 ARMLS
• 2022-07-19 Pending — ARMLS
• 2022-07-08 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2022-06-10 Price Changed $80,000 ARMLS
• 2022-06-09 Price Changed $86,000 ARMLS
• 2022-05-31 Price Changed $92,000 ARMLS
• 2022-05-24 Price Changed $95,900 ARMLS
• 2022-04-25 Price Changed $100,000 ARMLS
• 2022-04-19 Price Changed $109,900 ARMLS
• 2022-04-11 Listed $115,000 ARMLS
• 2020-12-16 Sold (MLS) $83,000 ARMLS
• 2020-12-03 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2020-11-08 Listed $89,900 ARMLS