147 Talc Ct · Montcalm, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away at the end of a newly repaired road, this charming 4BR/2BA home in Montcalm offers almost 1/2 acre, character, and convenience just minutes from the Hatfield-McCoy Trails. Enjoy relaxing on the screened in front porch or entertaining on the side deck. Inside features hardwood floors, a cozy fireplace with wood-burning stove, electric heat pump with central air, and a spacious primary suite on the main level with an updated bath and beautiful claw foot tub. The detached garage includes a cement floor, AC, plus an I-beam ideal for car projects or repairs. Additional highlights include a 2-story playhouse, chicken coop, public water and sewer, new gutters with gutter guards (2023).
Key facts
- Electric heat pump
- Wood-burning stove
- Side deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storage outbuilding
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement with exterior entry, partial and unfinished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#328 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Mercer County Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #28 of 55 in WV (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Montcalm Elementary School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #287 of 377 statewide, top 85%, 279 students, 0% FRL); Montcalm High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #97 of 110 statewide, top 90%, 282 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.18%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $18,900
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 980 Lambert Mountain Rd | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,809 (+15%) | 15mo | $22,000 | $12 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $26,774
- Equity at exit
- $55,101
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $78,212
- Equity at exit
- $86,177
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24747
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,258 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $171
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $254 | -5% $213 | +0% $171 | +5% $130 | +10% $89 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $72 | -5% $122 | +0% $171 | +5% $221 | +10% $271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $202 | base $171 | +0.5pp $141 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $119,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $127,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $127,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $127,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $127,500
-
2026-05-15price $129,900
-
2026-05-06$134,900 Active
-
2025-06-04price
-
2025-03-20Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,097
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$42
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,016/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 4BR/2BA home in Montcalm requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and value. Updates to the kitchen, exterior, and interior paint would significantly enhance its appeal and marketability.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
- Minor bathroom fixtures — standard fixtures
- Moderate roof — gray asphalt shingles
- Moderate exterior siding — some discoloration
- Moderate HVAC system — electric heat pump
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing kitchen
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and durability
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slight wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · standard fixtures | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| roof · gray asphalt shingles | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · some discoloration | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC system · electric heat pump | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $10,000–51,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizing kitchen ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and durability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mercer County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400840
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,064
- Composite
- 25.98/100
- National rank
- #7325
- State rank
- #28 of 55 in WV
Livability — Montcalm
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #328
- US rank
- #25714
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montcalm, WV
- City population
- 1,169
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,551
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,860 people
- By 2030
- 55,781 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,365 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 47,476 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 38,851 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 30,053 · -48.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 77.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.6pp · 2024: -57.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.24%
- Current HPI
- 198.7055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $127,500 MTCBOR
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $129,900 MTCBOR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $134,900 MTCBOR
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed — BBOR
- 2025-03-20 Listed — BBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…