6590 Waverly Park · South Lebanon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.8/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$424,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious well cared for home is waiting for its new family to create memories. 4 Bedrooms, 2 FL Laundry, Huge master w/ensuite and private commode room. Nice backyard with trellis and newer wood fence. Desired Wedgood Community offers spacious green space, 2 community pools, playset, full size basketball court, and you can walk for miles.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Two swimming pools
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA administered by Associa; Quarterly association fee of $204.78; Association dues include landscaping, play area, and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-entry garage with 2 spaces; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; Two levels; Poured foundation
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Built with poured foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Double-hung vinyl windows; One gas fireplace with ceramic surround; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Counter bar; Eat-in kitchen; Walkout from kitchen; Wood floor in kitchen; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on level 2 (16 x 15); Bedroom 2 on level 2 (14 x 11); Bedroom 3 on level 2 (13 x 11); Bedroom 4 on level 2 (11 x 11)
- Flooring: Wood flooring in kitchen and foyer; Carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Two half (partial) bathrooms; Primary bathroom includes shower and tub; Partial bath on level 1 and a partial bath on lower level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Gas water heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Wall-to-wall carpet in living room; Wood floors in entry foyer and kitchen; Full, part-finished basement with concrete floor and framed construction; 10 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Second-floor laundry (6 x 5); Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $424k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $390k (7.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $343k (19.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $343k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.5% in South Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#279 in OH, #4,589 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Little Miami Local (rural): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #140 of 656 in OH (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($418k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.93%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $428,645
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6640 Waverly Park | 0.06mi | 4/2.5 | 2,252 (-3%) | 5mo | $385,000 | $171 | 88 |
| 6610 Waverly Park | 0.03mi | 4/3.5 | 2,178 (-6%) | 8mo | $390,000 | $179 | 79 |
| 6515 Thistle Grv | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,422 (+4%) | 6mo | $421,000 | $174 | 77 |
| 1327 Chelsea Ct | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,222 (-4%) | 2mo | $402,000 | $181 | 76 |
| 6595 Thistle Grv | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 | 2,232 (-4%) | 4mo | $412,000 | $185 | 75 |
| 6671 Waverly Park | 0.10mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,157 (-7%) | 3mo | $401,000 | $186 | 72 |
| 1200 Carrington Pl | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 | 2,480 (+7%) | 1mo | $378,000 | $152 | 53 |
| 7173 Birkdale Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,555 (+10%) | 0mo | $495,000 | $194 | 51 |
| 6270 Pine Cv | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,382 (+3%) | 4mo | $425,000 | $178 | 51 |
| 1870 Ford Rd | 0.53mi | 4/2.5 | 2,009 (-13%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $204 | 48 |
| 7078 Quellin Blvd | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,560 (+10%) | 4mo | $517,450 | $202 | 42 |
| 7143 Birkdale Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,005 (-14%) | 5mo | $475,000 | $237 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-80,816
- Equity at exit
- $63,220
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-85,868
- Equity at exit
- $36,660
Cash invested: $118,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45152
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,433 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,224
- Tax from tax record
- −$435 /mo · $5,219/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$68
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$721
- Net cashflow
- $-191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $49 | -5% $-71 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-311 | +10% $-431 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-462 | -5% $-326 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-55 | +10% $81 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $23 | -0.5pp $-83 | base $-191 | +0.5pp $-301 | +1.0pp $-412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,000
- Closing costs
- $12,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6976 Briarcliff Ct Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2475 | $3,595 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1256 Carrington Pl Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3000 | $2,521 | $0.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5738 Azra Ct Morrow, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2600 | $5,995 | $2.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1624 Rosemore Ln Morrow, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,601 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 7814 Wilderness Way Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2140 | $2,671 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $68 · $816/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $424,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19price $424,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $429,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $429,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $429,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $429,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $429,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $429,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $429,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-07$429,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,219 · $435/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,917 · $493/mo
- Expected delta
- +$698/yr (+$58/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,751
- − Property taxes
- −$5,219
- − Insurance
- −$2,120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,296
- − Management
- −$3,296
- − HOA
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$12,335
- Taxable loss
- −$9,631
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,311
- After-tax cash flow
- $23/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Little Miami Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905044
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,949
- Composite
- 60.5/100
- National rank
- #844
- State rank
- #140 of 656 in OH
Livability — South Lebanon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #279
- US rank
- #4589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Warren · 227,646 people
- City population
- 7,053
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,577
- Household income
- $120,340
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5.6
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.41%
- Current HPI
- 239.7828
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+158.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $429,900 Cincy MLS
- 2022-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-06 Sold (MLS) $370,000 Cincy MLS
- 2022-03-10 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2022-03-06 Listed $354,900 Cincy MLS
- 2022-02-28 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2022-01-21 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2021-11-22 Listed $349,900 Cincy MLS
- 2007-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2007-08-01 Sold (MLS) $210,000 Cincy MLS
- 2007-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-18 Listed $219,900 Cincy MLS
- 2007-06-18 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2007-03-30 Listed $222,222 Cincy MLS
- 2006-10-08 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2006-04-07 Listed $239,900 Cincy MLS
- 2000-12-22 Sold (MLS) $197,050 Cincy MLS
- 2000-10-05 Listed $197,050 Cincy MLS
- 2000-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $166,633 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,219 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…