1616 11th St · Des Moines, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.4/30.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home greets you with a flexible front room that works perfectly as a cozy sitting area or a convenient drop zone. The living room opens right into the updated eat in kitchen with an island. Both the bedrooms feature spacious walk in closets. Enjoy the convenience of the laundry on the main level! Outside, you’ll find a privacy fenced yard with an awesome patio just waiting for summer nights. With big updates already done such as newer roof, furnace, A/C, gutters, deck, windows, and more - this one is truly move in ready. Schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- 6,600 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 55 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (15.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (22.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Des Moines Independent Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #289 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.83%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,009
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -20.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1503 13th St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,070 (+6%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $81 | 75 |
| 1412 Chautauqua Pkwy | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,038 (+3%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $246 | 73 |
| 1227 13th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 986 (-2%) | 3mo | $137,450 | $139 | 71 |
| 1251 10th St | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-7%) | 2mo | $61,000 | $65 | 67 |
| 1341 Clark St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (-12%) | 4mo | $133,000 | $150 | 64 |
| 1821 12th St | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,097 (+9%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $181 | 62 |
| 2010 7th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 918 (-9%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $168 | 61 |
| 1821 Washington Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 977 (-3%) | 1mo | $165,500 | $169 | 60 |
| 1802 Martin Luther King Jr Pkwy | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+1%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $172 | 58 |
| 1457 17th St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-10%) | 0mo | $161,195 | $177 | 58 |
| 1527 Martin Luther King Jr Pkwy | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,086 (+8%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $55 | 57 |
| 1414 Goddard Ct | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-11%) | 6mo | $99,000 | $110 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.89×
- Total profit
- $68,656
- Equity at exit
- $117,024
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.08×
- Total profit
- $221,151
- Equity at exit
- $252,367
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50314
- Home prices YoY
- 9.8%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,001 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,062/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-116
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-43 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-116 | +5% $-153 | +10% $-190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-195 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-116 | +5% $-77 | +10% $-37 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-51 | -0.5pp $-83 | base $-116 | +0.5pp $-150 | +1.0pp $-184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1621 9th St Unit 1613-01 Des Moines, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $776 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1438 9th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $745 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1914 10th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1914 10th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,050 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1314 Harrison Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,195 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1714 College Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,050 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 913 Day St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1718 22nd St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1171 21st St Unit 1 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1312 22nd St Unit 2 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $825 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1312 22nd St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $825 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1312 22nd St Unit 2 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $850 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1076 21st St Unit 4 Des Moines, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $695 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1717 Olive Ave Unit B6 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1217 24th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 618 | $1,400 | $2.26 | 15d | 4 | 1.02mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 121 Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 101 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2501 24th St Apt 107 Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,045 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 111 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $760 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2501 24th St Unit 113 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $945 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2501 24th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $795 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1123 24th St Unit 1 Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,185 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1100 24th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,050 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1100 24th St Unit DT 22 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $1,095 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2717 Meek Ave Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,550 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2530 University Ave Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 647 | $1,750 | $2.70 | 15d | 36 | 1.16mi |
| 1101 25th St Unit DP 11 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,315 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1108 25th St Apt 2 Des Moines, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $700 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 615 Park St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 611 | $1,215 | $1.99 | 45d | 10 | 1.23mi |
| 615 Park St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 611 | $1,180 | $1.93 | 44d | 13 | 1.23mi |
| 1118 26th St Unit 3 Des Moines, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 220 Maple St Des Moines, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1158 | $2,028 | $1.75 | 15d | 9 | 1.29mi |
| 2600 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 5 Des Moines, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1020 25th St Unit 3 Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,150 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 915 E Washington Ave Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1457 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9066 Burkwood Dr West Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1783 | $1,960 | $1.10 | 24d | 2 | 1.39mi |
| 2813 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 2 Des Moines, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2813 Cottage Grove Ave Des Moines, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1354 E 12th St Des Moines, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $925 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 700 E 5th St Des Moines, IA | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 686 | $1,008 | $1.47 | 15d | 25 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $129,900 Pending 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $129,900 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home greets you with a flexible front room that works perfectly as a cozy sitting area or a convenient drop zone. The living room opens right into the updated eat in kitchen with an island. Both the bedrooms feature spacious walk in closets. Enjoy the convenience of the laundry on the main level! Outside, you’ll find a privacy fenced yard with an awesome patio just waiting for summer nights. With big updates already done such as newer roof, furnace, A/C, gutters, deck, windows, and more - this one is truly move in ready. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-04-10$135,000 Active 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home greets you with a flexible front room that works perfectly as a cozy sitting area or a convenient drop zone. The living room opens right into the updated eat in kitchen with an island. Both the bedrooms feature spacious walk in closets. Enjoy the convenience of the laundry on the main level! Outside, you’ll find a privacy fenced yard with an awesome patio just waiting for summer nights. With big updates already done such as newer roof, furnace, A/C, gutters, deck, windows, and more - this one is truly move in ready. Schedule a showing today!
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-02-06$140,000 Active
-
2022-02-14soldstatus $125,500
-
2022-02-10soldstatus $126,000 Closed
-
2021-12-15status Pending
-
2021-11-20$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,062 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,062 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,062
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$961
- − Management
- −$961
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$3,675
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $-513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Des Moines Independent Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908970
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,905
- Composite
- 37.83/100
- National rank
- #4331
- State rank
- #289 of 289 in IA
Livability — Des Moines
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1432
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Des Moines, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 203,612
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,438
- Household income
- $39,950
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 903.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 37% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 20% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 6% Iranian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 16% Vietnamese 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.18%
- Current HPI
- 338.8301
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.17%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $129,900 DMMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $135,000 DMMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $140,000 DMMLS
- 2022-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $125,500 Public Records
- 2022-02-10 Sold (MLS) $126,000 DMMLS
- 2021-12-15 Pending — DMMLS
- 2021-11-20 Listed $129,900 DMMLS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,062 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…