819 Sannoner Ave · Florence, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NEAR UNA, 3 0R 4 BEDROOM HOME WITH GREAT HARDWOOD FLOORING. UPDATED, LARGE LIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE. UPDATED KITCHEN AND BATHROOMS. LARGE LOFT UPSTAIRS THAT COULD BE A 4TH BEDROOM OR BONUS ROOM. 2 LARGE OUTBUILDINGS-2 CAR GARAGE, AND WORKSHOP
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Large loft
- Large living room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax reported
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces; Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built area above grade: 1,500
- Exterior features: Private yard; Storage; Patio; Back yard fencing; Workshop (other structure); Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,824/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1516% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.82%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $201,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1013 Atlanta St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,340 (-7%) | 1mo | $187,900 | $140 | 77 |
| 1328 James St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,496 (+4%) | 5mo | $161,000 | $108 | 67 |
| 617 Cherry St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,395 (-3%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $186 | 63 |
| 541 Eugenia St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (+1%) | 2mo | $268,900 | $185 | 62 |
| 1633 Cullman St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (-4%) | 4mo | $170,250 | $123 | 61 |
| 810 E Tuscaloosa St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-4%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $165 | 61 |
| 209 Mattielou St E | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,502 (+4%) | 2mo | $196,500 | $131 | 61 |
| 1625 Edgemont Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,518 (+5%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $145 | 56 |
| 417 Howell St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,564 (+9%) | 7mo | $189,000 | $121 | 53 |
| 459 Francis Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,569 (+9%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $143 | 52 |
| 420 Simpson St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,299 (-10%) | 6mo | $182,000 | $140 | 50 |
| 504 Imperial Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,628 (+13%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $114 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-7,971
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $39,952
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,824 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $304 | +0% $251 | +5% $199 | +10% $147 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $107 | -5% $179 | +0% $251 | +5% $323 | +10% $396 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $345 | -0.5pp $298 | base $251 | +0.5pp $203 | +1.0pp $155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602 E Tuscaloosa St Unit 602 Florence, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1413 N Pine St Florence, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $185,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 245-char remark
-
2026-06-02$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,712 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,712 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,893
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,712
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,751
- − Management
- −$1,751
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $8
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,015/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+85.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $185,000 SAARMLS
- 2011-07-21 Listed $99,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,712 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…