936 Savage Ave · Deptford, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits! Come check out this rancher that has so much potential. Fenced in front and back yard. Driveway parking. Property has central a/c, but it does need to be repaired. Property being sold strictly as-is, buyer responsible for any/all township inspections. The lot has a paper street that runs behind it so a subdivision is a possibility
Key facts
- 1.22 acre lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Deptford Township Public School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #326 of 472 in NJ (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.00%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $383,676
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -47.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Carter Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 | 1,512 (-0%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $222 | 75 |
| 805 Cattell Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (-6%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $210 | 73 |
| 183 Lincoln Rd | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,471 (-3%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $199 | 69 |
| 106 Bock Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+2%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $199 | 60 |
| 37 Fleming Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,408 (-7%) | 10mo | $452,000 | $321 | 57 |
| 41 Fleming Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,674 (+10%) | 8mo | $525,000 | $314 | 50 |
| 45 Fleming Ave | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,674 (+10%) | 9mo | $525,000 | $314 | 49 |
| 1022 Jericho Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,384 (-9%) | 9mo | $400,000 | $289 | 49 |
| 114 Lincoln Rd | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,569 (+3%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $204 | 42 |
| 945 Walnut Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (+4%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $155 | 41 |
| 121 Brookfield Ave | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,707 (+12%) | 14mo | $342,000 | $200 | 33 |
| 114 Brookfield Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,309 (-14%) | 15mo | $335,900 | $257 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,378
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $17,785
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08090
- Home prices YoY
- -25.1%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,539 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$547 /mo · $6,562/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$533
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1482 Glassboro Rd Unit A Wenonah, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 523 Chestnut Ave Woodbury Heights, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $3,007 | $3.24 | 1d | 138 | 1.00mi |
| 37 Arrowwood Ct Woodbury, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1520 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 19d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-17status $200,000 Pending 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Come check out this rancher that has so much potential. Fenced in front and back yard. Driveway parking. Property has central a/c, but it does need to be repaired. Property being sold strictly as-is, buyer responsible for any/all township inspections. The lot has a paper street that runs behind it so a subdivision is a possibility
-
2026-05-09status Pending 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Come check out this rancher that has so much potential. Fenced in front and back yard. Driveway parking. Property has central a/c, but it does need to be repaired. Property being sold strictly as-is, buyer responsible for any/all township inspections. The lot has a paper street that runs behind it so a subdivision is a possibility
-
2026-04-08$200,000 Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Come check out this rancher that has so much potential. Fenced in front and back yard. Driveway parking. Property has central a/c, but it does need to be repaired. Property being sold strictly as-is, buyer responsible for any/all township inspections. The lot has a paper street that runs behind it so a subdivision is a possibility
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,562 · $547/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,562 · $547/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$6,562
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,437
- − Management
- −$2,437
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $1,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,679/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Deptford Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3403900
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,302
- Composite
- 28.48/100
- National rank
- #6741
- State rank
- #326 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Deptford
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,574
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scottish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.64%
- Current HPI
- 308.8974
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,562 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…