502 Denmark St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on market and now better than ever! After taking some time for a few quick remodels, this home has never looked so beautiful. This 3BR/1BA has new flooring, new drywall, new tub and toilet in the bathroom, and the kitchen cabinets and counter tops have been replaced. There is also fresh paint throughout! Move-in ready with a covered porch, great space in the backyard, double front entry (perfect for roommates!), and stunning original fireplace mantles. Don't miss out, second chances like this are rare!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Near churchill downs
- Near dining
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Oakdale subdivision
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: See remarks for parking details
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence (Shotgun style); One story; Built in 1905
- Construction: Vinyl siding and wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Sidewalk on the lot
Interior
- Kitchen: First-floor kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the first floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Five closets; Two fireplaces; Basement is a cellar
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $135k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.75%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,244
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 548 Camden Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-5%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $164 | 79 |
| 550 Longfield Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-5%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $119 | 79 |
| 545 Denmark St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $171 | 71 |
| 824 Dresden Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,225 (+6%) | 2mo | $173,000 | $141 | 65 |
| 4116 S 3rd St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,011 (-12%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $74 | 62 |
| 4405 S 2nd St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (-7%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $135 | 62 |
| 547 Dresden Ave | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,035 (-10%) | 6mo | $167,500 | $162 | 60 |
| 147 Mohawk Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,189 (+3%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $156 | 57 |
| 3017 Rodman St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,203 (+4%) | 2mo | $142,500 | $118 | 57 |
| 618 W Southern Heights Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,036 (-10%) | 5mo | $152,500 | $147 | 51 |
| 1000 Sale Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-13%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $149 | 48 |
| 4527 S 1st St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-9%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $171 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,294
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $30,141
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,380 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $320 | -5% $282 | +0% $244 | +5% $206 | +10% $168 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $135 | -5% $189 | +0% $244 | +5% $298 | +10% $353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $278 | base $244 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $173 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 551 Denmark St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 4007 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 615 Dresden Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,450 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 3909 Southern Pkwy Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3860 Southern Pkwy Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,250 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 623 Dresden Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $975 | $1.30 | 16d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 310 W Kenton St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4133 S 5th St Louisville, KY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,435 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 910 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,450 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 114 E Florence Ave Apt 21 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,275 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 114 E Florence Ave Unit 19 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4406 S Brook St Apt 27 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 12d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1118 W Whitney Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,199 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 119 E Southern Heights Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1105 Beecher St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,150 | $1.62 | 16d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1022 Stanley Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2913 S 3rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 118 E Ashland Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $1,200 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1122 Larchmont Ave Unit B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $750 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1122 Larchmont Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $750 | $0.87 | 16d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4608 S 3rd St Unit 1st Floor Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3107 Montana Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $995 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4626 Southern Pkwy Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 809 | $895 | $1.11 | 15d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 508 M St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2826 Taylor Blvd Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,345 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 315 M St Unit 101 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2718 S 3rd St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1411 Sale Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1120 Weller Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3655 Kahlert Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,300 | $1.42 | 12d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1522 Clara Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4725 Southern Pkwy Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $925 | $0.71 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 500 Montana Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1191 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1301 Lillian Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1305 Larchmont Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3717 Wheeler Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3746 Kahlert Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,350 | $1.41 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3449 Powell Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 104 Kenwood Ct Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $985 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 684-char remark
-
2026-06-07$134,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 17.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,324
- − Management
- −$1,324
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $763
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$183
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,744/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,532
- Household income
- $43,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 997.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.35%
- Current HPI
- 227.8248
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+140.9% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $134,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-06-06 Listed $149,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2023-07-11 Rental Removed — TURBOTENANT
- 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $78,400 Public Records
- 2021-05-25 Sold (MLS) $78,400 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-04-15 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2021-03-26 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-03-10 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2020-09-12 Listed $99,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2020-09-12 Price Changed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-08 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-02-20 Pending — Metro Search MLS
- 2019-02-06 Listed $59,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2007-01-08 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2006-10-18 Listed $74,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2006-07-27 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2006-06-17 Listed $47,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2006-06-07 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2006-03-07 Listed $54,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2006-03-06 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2005-09-06 Listed $56,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $988 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…