🏷️ Likely Rental
5963 Wayburn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
First-time homebuyer or investor special! A 3-bedroom bungalow needs a few repairs, make this your dream home or a special addition to your investment portfolio. Tenant will vacate the premises prior to closing. Licensed real estate agents must accompany the showing. All data and measurements EST. BATVAI.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1928
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 22.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.64%
- DSCR
- 3.52
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,452
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5777 Lakepointe St | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,075 (+1%) | 2mo | $174,999 | $163 | 81 |
| 5566 LAKEPOINTE S S. Chandler Park St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,108 (+4%) | 3mo | $57,000 | $51 | 78 |
| 9500 Lakepointe St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,130 (+6%) | 0mo | $125,000 | $111 | 70 |
| 4871 Lakepointe St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+3%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 4844 Manistique St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+2%) | 2mo | $19,900 | $18 | 62 |
| 9768 Manistique St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 986 (-8%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $35 | 61 |
| 4820 Lakepointe St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+3%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $145 | 61 |
| 10441 Roxbury St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,127 (+5%) | 3mo | $59,000 | $52 | 54 |
| 13136 Maiden St | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+7%) | 1mo | $10,000 | $9 | 47 |
| 9988 Somerset Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,206 (+13%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $108 | 44 |
| 13113 Camden St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+14%) | 2mo | $88,000 | $72 | 39 |
| 4810 Lakepointe St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+14%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $164 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.44×
- Total profit
- $48,128
- Equity at exit
- $22,482
- IRR
- 61.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.03×
- Total profit
- $112,385
- Equity at exit
- $34,648
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224 3042
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $661
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $695 | -5% $678 | +0% $661 | +5% $644 | +10% $626 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $560 | -5% $610 | +0% $661 | +5% $711 | +10% $761 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $686 | -0.5pp $674 | base $661 | +0.5pp $648 | +1.0pp $635 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5235 Chatsworth St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,450 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5112 Haverhill St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5031 Bedford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,870 | $2.13 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4391 Nottingham Rd Unit 4393 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $950 | $0.92 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5028 Bedford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9635 Everts St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 10803 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $900 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1326 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4151 Nottingham Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1022 | $1,275 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4627 Bedford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $945 | $0.90 | 20d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 18d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2025-12-11status Pending
-
2025-12-01$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $7,585
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,820
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-family home requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, repainting, and landscaping. Significant improvements can be made to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of significant wear and tear
- Major siding — Peeling and deteriorating
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt
- Major fencing — Not visible
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — Aesthetic improvement and increased curb appeal
- Both painting — Enhances the home's appearance and can increase its value
- Both roof replacement — Essential for structural integrity and long-term value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| siding · Peeling and deteriorating | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| fencing · Not visible | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — Aesthetic improvement and increased curb appeal ↑
- Both painting — Enhances the home's appearance and can increase its value ↑
- Both roof replacement — Essential for structural integrity and long-term value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…