21700 Elizabeth St · St. Clair Shores, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bedroom ranch located with open layout is perfect for you! The beautiful kitchen has been updated with new cabinets and beautiful countertops. The large lot is ready for you to entertain and the new cement pad and driveway is perfect for your garage!
Key facts
- New driveway
- Large lot
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in GSCHWIND'S MACK AVE GARDENS subdivision; Cross streets: E Harper and S 9 Mile
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 70 x 162 (0.26 acre); No pool
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- South Lake Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #470 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $86k; list at $155k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.35%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,922
- List price
- $155,000
- Delta
- -32.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21910 Englehardt St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,071 (+1%) | 1mo | $242,000 | $226 | 84 |
| 22118 Elizabeth St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,071 (+1%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $117 | 84 |
| 21734 Colony St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,007 (-5%) | 1mo | $199,305 | $198 | 77 |
| 21910 Elizabeth St | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 984 (-7%) | 1mo | $191,000 | $194 | 73 |
| 20625 Avalon St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-6%) | 1mo | $161,445 | $161 | 71 |
| 21712 Lakeview St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 986 (-7%) | 1mo | $116,000 | $118 | 65 |
| 22425 Sunnyside St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+4%) | 0mo | $249,000 | $226 | 62 |
| 22401 Gaukler St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 988 (-7%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $172 | 61 |
| 20631 Chalon St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,001 (-6%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $255 | 59 |
| 21520 Harper Lake Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,117 (+5%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 22679 Oconnor St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-6%) | 2mo | $197,000 | $197 | 51 |
| 20218 Shores St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,189 (+12%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $244 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-17,228
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,383
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48080
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,796 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$420 /mo · $5,044/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $121
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $209 | -5% $165 | +0% $121 | +5% $77 | +10% $34 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-21 | -5% $50 | +0% $121 | +5% $192 | +10% $263 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $161 | base $121 | +0.5pp $81 | +1.0pp $40 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21727 California St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,925 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 20625 Elizabeth St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,895 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 22307 Greater Mack Ave St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,195 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 23124 Grove St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1129 | $2,000 | $1.77 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 22126 Alger St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 22411 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 22615 Maxine St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 22617 Oconnor St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $2,000 | $2.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2175 Ridgemont Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1992 Hawthorne Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1071 | $2,100 | $1.96 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 23005 Kelly Rd Eastpointe, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20270 Hollywood St Harper Woods, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $1,650 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 24000 Jefferson Ave Unit 218 St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 401 Northshore Dr St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 970 | $1,554 | $1.60 | 0d | 4 | 1.17mi |
| 218 Riviera Dr St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2037 Vernier Rd Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 24901 Jefferson Ave Unit 210 St Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 20600 Balfour St Harper Woods, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,640 | $1.69 | 0d | 14 | 1.43mi |
| 22464 Beach St Saint Clair Shores, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $2,300 | $1.75 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $155,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $155,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$155,000 Active 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
This 3 bedroom ranch located with open layout is perfect for you! The beautiful kitchen has been updated with new cabinets and beautiful countertops. The large lot is ready for you to entertain and the new cement pad and driveway is perfect for your garage!
-
2026-05-15$155,000 Active 257-char remark
Show marketing remark (257 chars)
This 3 bedroom ranch located with open layout is perfect for you! The beautiful kitchen has been updated with new cabinets and beautiful countertops. The large lot is ready for you to entertain and the new cement pad and driveway is perfect for your garage!
-
2026-04-14historical
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2026-03-11price $169,900
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2026-03-10price $169,900
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2026-02-25price $174,900
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2026-02-25price $174,900
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2026-01-28$179,900 Active
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2026-01-28$179,900 Active
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2024-11-27soldstatus $86,000
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2024-11-26soldstatus $86,000 Sold
-
2024-11-26soldstatus $86,000 Closed
-
2024-11-11status Pending
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2024-11-11status Pending
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2024-10-28$80,000 Active
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2024-10-28$80,000 Active
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2021-03-03historical
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2021-03-03historical
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2021-02-17$157,900 Active
-
2021-02-17$157,900 Active
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2020-09-17soldstatus $58,000
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2020-09-17soldstatus $58,000 Closed
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2020-09-17soldstatus $58,000
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2020-08-11status Pending
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2020-08-08price $59,900
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2020-08-04price $60,000
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2020-07-30status Active
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2020-07-24status Pending
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2020-07-17price $64,900
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2020-07-13price $65,000
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2020-07-08price $68,900
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2020-07-06price $69,900
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2020-06-30$59,900
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2020-06-30$73,000 Active
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2004-01-12soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,044 · $420/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,044 · $420/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,554
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$5,044
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,724
- − Management
- −$1,724
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$905
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$217
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,672/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Lake Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2632220
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,594
- Composite
- 16.76/100
- National rank
- #9159
- State rank
- #470 of 540 in MI
Livability — St. Clair Shores
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Clair Shores, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 58,217
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,561
- Household income
- $66,986
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 530.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -236.99%
- Current HPI
- 231.507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+76.1% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-28 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $155,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Listed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $174,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $174,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-28 Listed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) $86,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-26 Sold (MLS) $86,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-11-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-28 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-10-28 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-03-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-03-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-17 Listed $157,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-02-17 Listed $157,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-17 Sold (MLS) $58,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-09-17 Sold (MLS) $58,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-08-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-08 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-04 Price Changed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-30 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-24 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-17 Price Changed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-13 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-08 Price Changed $68,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-06 Price Changed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-30 Listed $73,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-30 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-12 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-12-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2003-08-26 Listed $88,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+12.5%/yrLatest (2025): $5,044 · +27.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…