17 Hannah Run Rd · Arbovale, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2-Story home situated on a . 25 acre lot. Needs some TLC and will make a very beautiful home!
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 69 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property; Built on pillar/post/pier foundation
- Construction: Pillar/Post/Pier foundation
- Exterior features: Metal roof
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Window units for cooling
- Interior features: Ceramic tile, hardwood, and vinyl flooring; 7 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (6.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#142 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: employment D, housing D, schools F.
- Pocahontas County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #19 of 55 in WV (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pocahontas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Pocahontas County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.66%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $22,488
- Equity at exit
- $50,992
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.97×
- Total profit
- $68,891
- Equity at exit
- $74,781
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24915
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $279/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-10$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $279 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $737 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$458/yr (+$38/mo · 164.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$279
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocahontas County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401140
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,035
- Composite
- 28.89/100
- National rank
- #6640
- State rank
- #19 of 55 in WV
Livability — Arbovale
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #14328
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arbovale, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 651
Population outlook (Pocahontas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,115 people
- By 2030
- 7,797 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 7,149 · -11.9%
- By 2050
- 6,639 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 6,002 · -26.0%
- By 2100
- 5,379 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 17%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pocahontas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 23.8% · R 74.1% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.7pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+42.8 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- Current HPI
- 158.006
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $124,900 GVBOR
Property tax history
+12.7%/yrLatest (2025): $279 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…