18520 Trinity St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$23,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COZY RANCH HOME LOCATED SOUTH OF SEVEN MILE AND EAST OF LAHSER. THIS HOME FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, COVERED FRONT PORCH, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Unfinished basement
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $165 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $717 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 14% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $24k implies a 537% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 103.11%
- DSCR
- 5.59
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $52,766
- List price
- $23,900
- Delta
- -54.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18538 Trinity St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 780 (+7%) | 2mo | $46,500 | $60 | 82 |
| 17743 Trinity St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 662 (-10%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 19401 Stout St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+2%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $37 | 67 |
| 17370 Stout St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 745 (+2%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $50 | 65 |
| 19360 Westbrook St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 766 (+5%) | 9mo | $49,000 | $64 | 63 |
| 19500 Lahser Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 729 (-0%) | 4mo | $71,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 19352 Evergreen Rd | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (+3%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $100 | 61 |
| 18135 Fielding St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 796 (+9%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $163 | 59 |
| 19719 Blackstone St St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 786 (+7%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $140 | 42 |
| 19515 Patton St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 822 (+12%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $116 | 42 |
| 19363 Plainview Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 823 (+12%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $67 | 36 |
| 19345 Plainview Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 810 (+11%) | 10mo | $68,000 | $84 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.70×
- Total profit
- $38,171
- Equity at exit
- $3,564
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 16.70×
- Total profit
- $105,048
- Equity at exit
- $2,066
Cash invested: $6,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,016 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$125
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,108/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $575
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,975
- Closing costs
- $717
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 18450 Lahser Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $820 | $1.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 18400 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $950 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 18350 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 17644 Lahser Rd Unit 7 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18045 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $960 | $1.43 | 4d | 2 | 0.59mi |
| 17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 24d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Unit 1A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 16885 Lahser Rd Apt 3A Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 16854 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $885 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 733 | $1,050 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 20555 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $975 | $1.32 | 43d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 22045 Michigan 102 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 19255 Shiawassee Dr Apt 105 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $950 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 43d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 19260 Telegraph Rd Unit J2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $820 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 19254 Telegraph Rd Unit M5 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $820 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G2 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $820 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $23,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $23,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $23,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $23,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $23,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $23,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $23,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $23,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $23,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $23,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $23,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $23,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $23,900 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
COZY RANCH HOME LOCATED SOUTH OF SEVEN MILE AND EAST OF LAHSER. THIS HOME FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, COVERED FRONT PORCH, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
-
2026-03-23price $23,900 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
COZY RANCH HOME LOCATED SOUTH OF SEVEN MILE AND EAST OF LAHSER. THIS HOME FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, COVERED FRONT PORCH, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
-
2026-03-06$20,900 Active 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
COZY RANCH HOME LOCATED SOUTH OF SEVEN MILE AND EAST OF LAHSER. THIS HOME FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, COVERED FRONT PORCH, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
-
2026-03-06$20,900 Active 404-char remark
Show marketing remark (404 chars)
COZY RANCH HOME LOCATED SOUTH OF SEVEN MILE AND EAST OF LAHSER. THIS HOME FEATURES A 1 CAR DETACHED GARAGE, COVERED FRONT PORCH, SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM, TWO BEDROOMS, ONE BATHROOM, AND AN UNFINISHED BASEMENT. PROPERTY IS SOLD AS-IS. ALL DIMENSIONS ARE ESTIMATED AND SHOULD BE VERIFIED. ALL SHOWINGS REQUIRE A LICENSED AGENT TO BE PRESENT. BUYER TO PAY DETROIT INVESTMENT CO A 295 PROCESSING FEE AT CLOSING.
-
2024-07-26historical
-
2024-07-26historical
-
2024-07-22price $38,900
-
2024-07-22price $38,900
-
2024-04-22$42,900 Active
-
2024-04-22$42,900 Active
-
2007-10-24soldstatus $3,750
-
2007-08-08$9,900
-
2007-08-08historical
-
2007-03-29$19,900
-
2006-08-25soldstatus $87,000
-
2004-11-19soldstatus $24,000
-
2004-08-16$26,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,108 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,108 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,191
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,339
- − Property taxes
- −$1,108
- − Insurance
- −$120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$975
- − Management
- −$975
- − Depreciation
- −$695
- Taxable income
- $6,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,675
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,225/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-11.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $23,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $23,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-06 Listed $20,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-06 Listed $20,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-26 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $38,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-22 Price Changed $38,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-04-22 Listed $42,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-04-22 Listed $42,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-10-24 Sold (MLS) $3,750 REALCOMP
- 2007-08-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-08-08 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2007-03-29 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
- 2006-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-19 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-08-16 Listed $26,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,108 · -53.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…