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1401 Walnut St
F Composite 32.96
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

1401 Walnut St · Oshkosh, WI 54901
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,404 sqft · Other public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1917 5,456 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Character Home. Rooms are spacious with a nice layout. Hardwood floors though out. From rear entrance you'll find a Mud room with built in shelves that makes a great drop zone for shoes and back packs, etc. . Ample Kitchen counter space and kitchen island. Main level bedroom with half bath also make a great office space. Both upper bedrooms are nice sized, one has two walk in closets and the second also has great closet space. Full bath has a updated tiled shower and vinyl flooring. Furnace from 2019, AC -2025, House was painted in 2025,

Key facts

  • Half bath
  • Main level bedroom
  • Built in shelves

Tags

MUD ROOMBUILT IN SHELVESAMPLE KITCHEN COUNTER SPACEKITCHEN ISLANDMAIN LEVEL BEDROOMHALF BATH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.13 acres (< 1/2 acre)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Construction completed; Residential zoning
  • Construction: Built (year per assessor/public record)
  • Exterior features: Cedar exterior; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen island; Kitchen approximately 13 x 10; Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) approximately 13 x 10; Bedroom 2 (Upper) approximately 17 x 9; Bedroom 3 (Upper) approximately 11 x 11
  • Bathrooms: One full bath; One half bath; At least one tub
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Basement sump pump

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (20.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (25.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Read Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #746 of 1,041 statewide, top 75%, 375 students, 72% FRL); Merrill Middle (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #347 of 383 statewide, top 92%, 453 students, 62% FRL); North High (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #199 of 483 statewide, top 42%, 1,265 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 34% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,049 (25.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
4.93%
Cash-on-cash
-4.86%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.3%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-38,314
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-38,182
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 54901

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,310 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$243 /mo · $2,917/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,562
Max offer price $139,943
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-99 -5% $-149 +0% $-198 +5% $-248 +10% $-298
Rent -10% $-302 -5% $-250 +0% $-198 +5% $-147 +10% $-95
Rate -1.0pp $-110 -0.5pp $-154 base $-198 +0.5pp $-244 +1.0pp $-290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
830 Stillwell Ave Unit 828 Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 960 $1,299 $1.35 23d 1 0.43mi
1525 Arboretum Dr Unit D Oshkosh, WI 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,475 $1.28 15d 1 0.52mi
919 Wright St Unit A Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.56mi
825 Wisconsin St Unit 1B Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,199 $1.00 45d 1 0.62mi
728 Wisconsin St Apt 3 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 23d 1 0.73mi
728 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI 2.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,100 $1.16 45d 2 0.73mi
306 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 45d 1 0.95mi
512 Algoma Blvd Unit 212 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 15d 1 0.98mi
650 N Main St Oshkosh, WI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $1,524 $1.65 23d 12 0.99mi
95 Dawes St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,650 $1.09 45d 1 1.13mi
319 E Irving Ave Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 1384 $1,250 $0.90 45d 1 1.18mi
155 Jackson St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0–2.0 716 $1,775 $2.48 23d 8 1.25mi
622 Grand St Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 45d 1 1.29mi
2001 Evans St Oshkosh, WI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,399 $1.55 23d 2 1.34mi
1860 Evans St #3 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 875 $950 $1.09 15d 1 1.36mi
417 Marion Rd Oshkosh, WI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $2,500 $3.21 15d 10 1.37mi
1810 Robin Ave Unit 1800-S205 Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 960 $969 $1.01 15d 1 1.40mi
405 Michigan St Unit 1061622P Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1097 $2,526 $2.30 23d 1 1.46mi
532 W 5th Ave Oshkosh, WI 2.0 1.0 1120 $2,495 $2.23 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-04-22
    listed $175,000 Active 555-char remark
  13. 2009-09-25
    soldstatus $82,500
  14. 2003-12-10
    soldstatus $78,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,917 · $243/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,077 · $256/mo
Expected delta
+$160/yr (+$13/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,726
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,917
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$5,476
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,314
After-tax cash flow
$-1,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oshkosh Area School District
NCES district ID
5511190
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,048
Composite
28.92/100
National rank
#6634
State rank
#246 of 342 in WI

Livability — Oshkosh

Score
85/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#574

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oshkosh, WI
County
Winnebago County · 155,689 people
City population
81,810
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
Population (ZIP)
37,294
Household income
$61,794
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1484.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
175,480 people
By 2030
177,928 · +1.4%
By 2040
180,873 · +3.1%
By 2050
181,302 · +3.3%
By 2075
184,071 · +4.9%
By 2100
175,932 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.7pp · 2024: -4.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.8 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.12%
Current HPI
187.7253
Rent YoY
▲ 4.97%
Metro
Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $175,000 RANW
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $175,000 RANW
  • 2009-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
  • 2003-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,917 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…