1401 Walnut St · Oshkosh, WI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Character Home. Rooms are spacious with a nice layout. Hardwood floors though out. From rear entrance you'll find a Mud room with built in shelves that makes a great drop zone for shoes and back packs, etc. . Ample Kitchen counter space and kitchen island. Main level bedroom with half bath also make a great office space. Both upper bedrooms are nice sized, one has two walk in closets and the second also has great closet space. Full bath has a updated tiled shower and vinyl flooring. Furnace from 2019, AC -2025, House was painted in 2025,
Key facts
- Half bath
- Main level bedroom
- Built in shelves
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.13 acres (< 1/2 acre)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: 1.5-story single-family home; Construction completed; Residential zoning
- Construction: Built (year per assessor/public record)
- Exterior features: Cedar exterior; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Kitchen approximately 13 x 10; Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) approximately 13 x 10; Bedroom 2 (Upper) approximately 17 x 9; Bedroom 3 (Upper) approximately 11 x 11
- Bathrooms: One full bath; One half bath; At least one tub
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Basement sump pump
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (20.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (25.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (25.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Read Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #746 of 1,041 statewide, top 75%, 375 students, 72% FRL); Merrill Middle (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #347 of 383 statewide, top 92%, 453 students, 62% FRL); North High (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #199 of 483 statewide, top 42%, 1,265 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 34% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 83 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.86%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-38,314
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-38,182
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54901
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,310 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$243 /mo · $2,917/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $-198
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-99 | -5% $-149 | +0% $-198 | +5% $-248 | +10% $-298 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-302 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-198 | +5% $-147 | +10% $-95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-110 | -0.5pp $-154 | base $-198 | +0.5pp $-244 | +1.0pp $-290 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 830 Stillwell Ave Unit 828 Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,299 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1525 Arboretum Dr Unit D Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,475 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 919 Wright St Unit A Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 825 Wisconsin St Unit 1B Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,199 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 728 Wisconsin St Apt 3 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 728 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 45d | 2 | 0.73mi |
| 306 Wisconsin St Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 512 Algoma Blvd Unit 212 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 650 N Main St Oshkosh, WI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,524 | $1.65 | 23d | 12 | 0.99mi |
| 95 Dawes St Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 319 E Irving Ave Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1384 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 155 Jackson St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 716 | $1,775 | $2.48 | 23d | 8 | 1.25mi |
| 622 Grand St Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2001 Evans St Oshkosh, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,399 | $1.55 | 23d | 2 | 1.34mi |
| 1860 Evans St #3 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $950 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 417 Marion Rd Oshkosh, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 778 | $2,500 | $3.21 | 15d | 10 | 1.37mi |
| 1810 Robin Ave Unit 1800-S205 Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $969 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 405 Michigan St Unit 1061622P Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1097 | $2,526 | $2.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 532 W 5th Ave Oshkosh, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,495 | $2.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-22$175,000 Active 555-char remark
-
2009-09-25soldstatus $82,500
-
2003-12-10soldstatus $78,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,917 · $243/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,077 · $256/mo
- Expected delta
- +$160/yr (+$13/mo · 5.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,726
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,917
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,258
- − Management
- −$1,258
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$5,476
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,314
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oshkosh Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 5511190
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,048
- Composite
- 28.92/100
- National rank
- #6634
- State rank
- #246 of 342 in WI
Livability — Oshkosh
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #574
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oshkosh, WI
- County
- Winnebago County · 155,689 people
- City population
- 81,810
- Metro
- Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,294
- Household income
- $61,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1484.0
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,480 people
- By 2030
- 177,928 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 180,873 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 181,302 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 184,071 · +4.9%
- By 2100
- 175,932 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.9% · R 51.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: 11.7pp · 2024: -4.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.8 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+3.8 2008: D+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.12%
- Current HPI
- 187.7253
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- Oshkosh-Neenah, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+122.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $175,000 RANW
- 2026-04-22 Listed $175,000 RANW
- 2009-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2003-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,917 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…