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1313 Saint Raphael St
C- Composite 52.49
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

1313 Saint Raphael St · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records
Built 1956 6,098 sqft lot Est $80k · 31% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors only! This Recently Rehabbed Investment Property is just waiting for a New Owner!!!! Current rent is $825 This home has over 860 sq. ft. of Living Space and features Living Room, Kitchen, Bedrooms, and 1 Full Bath - Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft., measurements, features, lot size, taxes/exemptions, schools and etc.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1956

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 13.6% in Cahokia Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,305/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.79%
Cash-on-cash
12.48%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$80,352
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1313 Saint Raphael St 0.00mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $105,000 $122 95
103 Kenneth Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $105,000 $122 76
1114 Saint Helena Dr 0.38mi 3/1.0 875 (+1%) 1mo $82,500 $94 75
1426 Richard Dr 0.28mi 3/1.5 912 (+6%) 2mo $80,000 $88 74
1408 Williams St 0.23mi 3/1.0 936 (+8%) 1mo $80,000 $85 70
1109 Saint Helena Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 825 (-4%) 1mo $75,000 $91 69
1150 Price St 0.66mi 3/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $80,000 $93 65
1745 Harvest Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 872 (+1%) 2mo $105,000 $120 63
19 Leonard Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 936 (+8%) 1mo $59,000 $63 52
1936 Doris 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 887 (+3%) 1mo $32,500 $37 52
1106 Saint Benedict Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 957 (+11%) 2mo $74,500 $78 49
20 Leonard Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 975 (+13%) 0mo $110,000 $113 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,476
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$27,307
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62206

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 16d 1 0.06mi
1308 Saint Stephens Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 864 $875 $1.01 15d 1 0.06mi
1220 Williams St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 876 $1,500 $1.71 15d 1 0.19mi
1405 Williams St Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.24mi
1417 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 22d 1 0.26mi
1421 Richard Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 2d 1 0.28mi
1109 Saint Helena Dr Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 3d 1 0.38mi
818 La Salle Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1106 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 0.46mi
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 44d 1 0.48mi
1713 Loretta Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,095 $1.16 44d 1 0.50mi
1162 Smith St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 22d 1 0.52mi
819 Mildred Ave East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 22d 1 0.54mi
1808 Mullens Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 992 $1,500 $1.51 3d 1 0.54mi
1150 Price St Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 0.65mi
1706 Andrews Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 925 $1,320 $1.43 24d 1 0.70mi
850 Saint Bartholomew Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,285 $1.22 16d 1 0.71mi
142 Saint Barbara Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 2.0 990 $1,300 $1.31 44d 1 0.76mi
2008 Delores St East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,250 $1.35 4d 1 0.83mi
121 Saint Dorothy Dr Cahokia, IL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 0.85mi
811 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 24d 1 0.86mi
701 Saint Paul Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 44d 1 0.92mi
2116 Doris Ave Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 22d 1 1.05mi
148 Saint James Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,200 $1.39 44d 1 1.05mi
124 Saint James Ln Cahokia Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 44d 1 1.06mi
502 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 3d 1 1.07mi
500 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 864 $950 $1.10 24d 1 1.08mi
526 Saint Leo Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $1,400 $1.51 3d 1 1.10mi
705 Saint Martin Dr East Saint Louis, IL 4.0 1.0 1033 $1,600 $1.55 22d 1 1.12mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 720 $860 $1.19 15d 1 1.15mi
111 Saint Thomas Ln East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,350 $1.30 44d 1 1.16mi
101 E 5th St Cahokia, IL 2.0 1.0 770 $900 $1.17 44d 1 1.25mi
2 E Adams Dr East Saint Louis, IL 3.0 1.0 925 $885 $0.96 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $105,000
  2. 2026-05-13
    historical
  3. 2025-10-20
    soldstatus $490,000
  4. 2025-05-01
    historical $1,150
  5. 2025-04-24
    listed $1,150
  6. 2021-09-15
    soldstatus $52,000
  7. 2021-09-03
    soldstatus Closed 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Investors only! This Recently Rehabbed Investment Property is just waiting for a New Owner!!!! Current rent is $825 This home has over 860 sq. ft. of Living Space and features Living Room, Kitchen, Bedrooms, and 1 Full Bath - Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft., measurements, features, lot size, taxes/exemptions, schools and etc.

  8. 2021-08-13
    status Pending 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Investors only! This Recently Rehabbed Investment Property is just waiting for a New Owner!!!! Current rent is $825 This home has over 860 sq. ft. of Living Space and features Living Room, Kitchen, Bedrooms, and 1 Full Bath - Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft., measurements, features, lot size, taxes/exemptions, schools and etc.

  9. 2021-08-13
    listed $58,250 Active 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Investors only! This Recently Rehabbed Investment Property is just waiting for a New Owner!!!! Current rent is $825 This home has over 860 sq. ft. of Living Space and features Living Room, Kitchen, Bedrooms, and 1 Full Bath - Close to Shopping Areas, Schools, Public Transportation and Interstate Highways. This is a Must See!!!!! Buyer to verify all Listing data including but not limited to sq. ft., measurements, features, lot size, taxes/exemptions, schools and etc.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,666
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$2,123
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$510
After-tax cash flow
$3,159/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cahokia CUSD 187
NCES district ID
1708040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
5% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$28,028
Composite
6.44/100
National rank
#14827
State rank
#864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Cahokia Heights, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
19,956
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
12,959
Household income
$33,838
Rent vs Own
44.5% rent · 55.5% own
Severe rent burden
729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.26%
Current HPI
131.5144
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $490,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $1,150 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-24 Listed for Rent $1,150 APPFOLIO
  • 2021-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-03 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-13 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-13 Listed $58,250 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-27.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $29 · -98.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…