827 Tallman St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks with this 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath Raised Ranch with great potential for the right buyer. Ideal for DIY enthusiasts looking to customize their home. Conveniently situated near schools, shopping, dining, and major routes, this home provides easy access to everything Syracuse has to offer. Home is being sold as-is, where-is – bring your vision and make it your own!
Key facts
- 8,250 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1993
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Gas water heater
- Home design: Single-story existing home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Private yard; See remarks (additional exterior details); Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator; See remarks (additional kitchen details)
- Bedrooms: Total rooms include bedrooms as part of 10 total rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Resilient flooring; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Main level has 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Living/dining room; Workshop; Partially finished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 26.8% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,818/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2073% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 73.20%
- DSCR
- 4.26
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $137,598
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Tallman St | 0.05mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,938 (0%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $72 | 92 |
| 714 Tallman St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,938 (0%) | 15mo | $121,200 | $63 | 83 |
| 229 Holland St | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,082 (+7%) | 0mo | $137,000 | $66 | 73 |
| 207 Sabine St | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,009 (+4%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $35 | 67 |
| 109 Summit Ave | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,161 (+12%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $111 | 57 |
| 325 Midland Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (-4%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $89 | 57 |
| 250 Mclennan Ave | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 2,016 (+4%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $64 | 51 |
| 228 Crossett St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,854 (-4%) | 16mo | $231,000 | $125 | 45 |
| 1110 Midland Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,751 (-10%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $40 | 42 |
| 404 Tioga St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-13%) | 6mo | $118,500 | $71 | 38 |
| 107 Eloise | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,764 (-9%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $57 | 37 |
| 123 Parkside Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,696 (-12%) | 13mo | $144,900 | $85 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.67×
- Total profit
- $78,377
- Equity at exit
- $53,963
- IRR
- 57.1%
- Equity multiple
- 14.54×
- Total profit
- $227,035
- Equity at exit
- $116,373
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13204
- Home prices YoY
- 31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $563
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $597 | -5% $580 | +0% $563 | +5% $546 | +10% $529 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $419 | -5% $491 | +0% $563 | +5% $634 | +10% $706 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $593 | -0.5pp $578 | base $563 | +0.5pp $547 | +1.0pp $531 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326 Holland St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2100 | $1,825 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 229 Kellogg St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2046 | $1,300 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,675 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 214 Rowland St Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2092 | $1,800 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 111 E Onondaga St Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $3,000 | $2.61 | 21d | 5 | 0.78mi |
| 315 Grant Ave #17 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $1,275 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $650 | $0.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 317 S Clinton St Unit 3A Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 317 S Clinton St Unit 4A Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 321 S Salina St Unit 501 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 321 S Salina St Unit 201 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1446 | $2,450 | $1.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 319 S Salina St Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1860 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 324 W Water St Unit 106 Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1436 | $2,095 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 60 Presidential Plz Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 970 | $1,315 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 121 Whittier Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $600 | $0.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 447 E Washington St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2095 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 349 Bryant Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 379-char remark
-
2026-06-07$59,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$64/yr (+$5/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,811
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$5,824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,745
- − Management
- −$1,745
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $6,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,563
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,440
- Household income
- $45,351
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2073.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 100.14%
- Current HPI
- 416.7272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.24%
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $59,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $885 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…