917 Blawell St · Stedman, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +9.0/30.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on nearly a half-acre lot — private, fenced yard with covered back patio. Open-concept kitchen and living space with an eat-up bar, generous pantry, and plenty of room for entertaining. Spacious floorplan includes a large laundry room, tray ceiling in the primary bedroom, and a primary bath with a relaxing soaking tub and separate shower. Priced to sell — bring your personal touches and make this home yours.
Key facts
- Generous pantry
- Open-concept kitchen
- Soaking tub
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.47 acres; Living area listed as 1,720
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 spaces); Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Propane available; Cable connected
- Home design: Single-story house; Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Zoned R15
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house (single level)
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Rear patio/porch; Fenced yard (chain link and privacy fencing in back yard); Private yard; Rain gutters; Yard storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No traditional heating system listed; Central air; Heat pump; Ceiling fans; Electric
- Interior features: Granite counters; Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Pantry; Separate shower; Soaking tub; Tray ceilings; Walk-in shower; Propane fireplace (one)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (27.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $181k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#107 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stedman Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.34%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $266,135
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5916 Clarkton Ct | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,842 (+7%) | 13mo | $285,000 | $155 | 72 |
| 812 Raspberry Rd | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (+1%) | 16mo | $265,000 | $153 | 63 |
| 632 Blawell Cir | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,877 (+9%) | 22mo | $324,900 | $173 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $123,681
- Equity at exit
- $225,130
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.34×
- Total profit
- $373,889
- Equity at exit
- $485,501
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28391
- Home prices YoY
- 16.1%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,810 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,521/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $-194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-53 | -5% $-124 | +0% $-194 | +5% $-265 | +10% $-336 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-337 | -5% $-266 | +0% $-194 | +5% $-123 | +10% $-51 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-69 | -0.5pp $-131 | base $-194 | +0.5pp $-259 | +1.0pp $-325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 443-char remark
-
2026-06-21$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,521 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,521 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,725
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$2,521
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,738
- − Management
- −$1,738
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$6,789
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $-704/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Stedman
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #6799
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stedman, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,956
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 46.06%
- Current HPI
- 331.7099
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-30.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Listed $249,900 TMLS
- 2012-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $360,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,521 · +20.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…