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919 3rd Ave
D Composite 44.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$18,500

919 3rd Ave · Altoona, PA 16602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily · 100 Days on market
Built 1930 3,049 sqft lot $14/sqft · 70% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! Priced to sell. 3 bed, 1 bath, 1 car garage. 0.07 acre lot in Lincoln Elementary section of Altoona. Newer furnace. Gas forced air. Low taxes. Come take a look!

Key facts

  • 3,049 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $703 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
  • Recommended offer: $17k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 51.9% vs local median 5.8% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#237 in PA, #2,060 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $128 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $555 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $18k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $16,835 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.86%
Cap rate
51.88%
Cash-on-cash
162.82%
DSCR
8.24
GRM
1.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$61,406
List price
$18,500
Delta
-69.87%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1313 Grant Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,371 (+0%) 1mo $245,000 $179 74
705 2nd Ave 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,503 (+10%) 4mo $70,000 $47 69
112 Pearl St 0.15mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,497 (+9%) 4mo $89,900 $60 69
1518 1st Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-1%) 3mo $116,400 $86 68
921 6th Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,172 (-14%) 1mo $13,000 $11 67
414 Grant Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,518 (+11%) 2mo $110,000 $72 56
308 Crawford Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,504 (+10%) 3mo $103,000 $68 55
1919 5th Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,260 (-8%) 3mo $38,000 $30 50
210 Crawford Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,530 (+12%) 1mo $145,000 $95 48
215 7th Ave 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,548 (+13%) 3mo $45,000 $29 47
224 Hudson Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-12%) 2mo $170,000 $142 46
1018 S 10th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-14%) 3mo $131,900 $112 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.07×
Total profit
$41,798
Equity at exit
$2,758
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.18×
Total profit
$94,168
Equity at exit
$1,600

Cash invested: $5,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16602

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$97
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $586/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$703

Break-even live

Break-even rent $194
Max offer price $18,500
Occupancy floor 30%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $713 -5% $708 +0% $703 +5% $698 +10% $692
Rent -10% $617 -5% $660 +0% $703 +5% $746 +10% $788
Rate -1.0pp $712 -0.5pp $708 base $703 +0.5pp $698 +1.0pp $693

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,625
Closing costs
$555
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 2nd Ave Unit 2nd Fl Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1244 $790 $0.64 44d 1 0.59mi
1326 14th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 44d 1 0.79mi
1102 17th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1430 $899 $0.63 44d 1 0.88mi
2015 12th Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.0 1600 $1,200 $0.75 44d 1 1.10mi
1489 Washington Ave Altoona, PA 3.0 1.5 1050 $850 $0.81 44d 1 1.15mi
1101 E Walton Ave Altoona, PA 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 975 $1,605 $1.65 44d 9 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $18,500 Active 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $18,500 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $18,500 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $18,500 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $18,500 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $18,500 Active 94 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $18,500 Active 93 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 217-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $18,500 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $18,500 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $18,500 Active 89 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $18,500 Active 88 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $18,500 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $18,500 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $18,500 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $18,500 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $18,500 Active 81 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $18,500 Active 80 DOM
  19. 2026-05-04
    price $20,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Investor special! Priced to sell. 3 bed, 1 bath, 1 car garage. 0.07 acre lot in Lincoln Elementary section of Altoona. Newer furnace. Gas forced air. Low taxes. Come take a look!

  20. 2026-04-02
    price $25,000 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Investor special! Priced to sell. 3 bed, 1 bath, 1 car garage. 0.07 acre lot in Lincoln Elementary section of Altoona. Newer furnace. Gas forced air. Low taxes. Come take a look!

  21. 2026-03-11
    listed $30,000 Active 178-char remark
    Show marketing remark (178 chars)

    Investor special! Priced to sell. 3 bed, 1 bath, 1 car garage. 0.07 acre lot in Lincoln Elementary section of Altoona. Newer furnace. Gas forced air. Low taxes. Come take a look!

  22. 2013-03-18
    soldstatus $7,000 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    2 Story Altoona home in need of TLC. Perfect for handyman or investors. Large living room, dining room and first floor laundry. One car detached garage and nice yard. Property sold as-is. Seller will make no repairs. Offers must be submitted through HUD approved broker. Buyer pays both transfer taxes. Marketed by MMREM.com. More properties at www. HUDhomestore.com. Exclusive agency. Equal Housing Opportunity.

  23. 2013-01-22
    listed $7,000 412-char remark
    Show marketing remark (412 chars)

    2 Story Altoona home in need of TLC. Perfect for handyman or investors. Large living room, dining room and first floor laundry. One car detached garage and nice yard. Property sold as-is. Seller will make no repairs. Offers must be submitted through HUD approved broker. Buyer pays both transfer taxes. Marketed by MMREM.com. More properties at www. HUDhomestore.com. Exclusive agency. Equal Housing Opportunity.

  24. 2008-05-30
    soldstatus $26,000
  25. 2008-05-30
    soldstatus $26,000
  26. 2004-06-14
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$586 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$586 · $49/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,009
− Mortgage interest
−$1,036
− Property taxes
−$586
− Insurance
−$92
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,041
− Management
−$1,041
− Depreciation
−$538
Taxable income
$8,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,082
After-tax cash flow
$6,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Altoona Area SD
NCES district ID
4202340
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,465
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6130
State rank
#406 of 539 in PA

Livability — Altoona

Score
79/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#2060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altoona, PA
County
Blair County · 59,867 people
City population
59,867
Metro
Altoona, PA
Population (ZIP)
26,352
Household income
$55,046
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
740.0

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -92.37%
Current HPI
212.2268
Rent YoY
Metro
Altoona, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+33.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $20,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $25,000 AHARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $30,000 AHARMLS
  • 2013-03-18 Sold (MLS) $7,000 AHARMLS
  • 2013-01-22 Listed $7,000 AHARMLS
  • 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 2008-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 2004-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $586 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…