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9701 James Ave
C+ Composite 63.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,500

9701 James Ave · Tyler, TX 75706
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 888 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1950 0.72 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors, skilled remodelers, and visionaries! This fully gutted home is a blank canvas, offering the rare opportunity to design and rebuild the interior entirely to your taste. Featuring a one year old roof, water well, irrigation system and situated on a spacious 0.72-acre lot, the property provides ample room to add a pool, garage, workshop, or all three. Bring your ideas and imagination, this is your chance to create something truly special. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Water well
  • One year old roof
  • Irrigation system

Tags

ONE YEAR OLD ROOFWATER WELLIRRIGATION SYSTEMSPACIOUS 0.72 ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($964 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.45%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$61,732
Equity at exit
$94,094
10-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
5.31×
Total profit
$168,162
Equity at exit
$176,451

Cash invested: $39,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75706

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
109
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,475 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$732
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,600/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,168
Max offer price $139,500
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $321 -5% $282 +0% $242 +5% $203 +10% $164
Rent -10% $126 -5% $184 +0% $242 +5% $301 +10% $359
Rate -1.0pp $313 -0.5pp $278 base $242 +0.5pp $206 +1.0pp $170

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,875
Closing costs
$4,185
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,500 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,500 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,500 Active 158 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,500 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,500 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,500 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,500 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,500 Active 151 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,500 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,500 Active 149 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,500 Active 148 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,500 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,500 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,500 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,500 Active 141 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,500 Active 140 DOM
  17. 2026-01-10
    listed $139,500 Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Calling all investors, skilled remodelers, and visionaries! This fully gutted home is a blank canvas, offering the rare opportunity to design and rebuild the interior entirely to your taste. Featuring a one year old roof, water well, irrigation system and situated on a spacious 0.72 acre lot, the property provides ample room to add a pool, garage, workshop, or all three. Bring your ideas and imagination, this is your chance to create something truly special. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2026-01-10
    listed $139,500 Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Calling all investors, skilled remodelers, and visionaries! This fully gutted home is a blank canvas, offering the rare opportunity to design and rebuild the interior entirely to your taste. Featuring a one year old roof, water well, irrigation system and situated on a spacious 0.72 acre lot, the property provides ample room to add a pool, garage, workshop, or all three. Bring your ideas and imagination, this is your chance to create something truly special. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,600 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,553 · $213/mo
Expected delta
+$953/yr (+$79/mo · 59.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,703
− Mortgage interest
−$7,814
− Property taxes
−$1,600
− Insurance
−$698
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,416
− Management
−$1,416
− Depreciation
−$4,058
Taxable income
$701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$168
After-tax cash flow
$2,741/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
127,842
Population (ZIP)
10,975

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Hispanic / Latino 40% Black 14% Two or more races 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 31% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.72%
Current HPI
234.9412
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $139,500 GTAR
  • 2026-01-10 Listed $139,500 NTREIS

Property tax history

+14.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,600 · +110.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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