1225 NW 21st St #2003 · North River Shores, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
Key facts
- Florida room
- View of the lake
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $119k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $80 ($958/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.7% in North River Shores — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#292 in FL, #4,906 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $822 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 459 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 459 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.88%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-18,722
- Equity at exit
- $17,728
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-27,253
- Equity at exit
- $10,280
Cash invested: $33,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34994
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,641 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,784/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$395
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $80
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,725
- Closing costs
- $3,567
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1225 NW 21st St Unit 35-3512 Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 747 | $1,395 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 773 | $1,350 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 773 | $1,500 | $1.94 | 21d | 3 | 0.11mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Unit 7-705 Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 747 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1900 NW Federal Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,165 | $2.14 | 14d | 21 | 0.20mi |
| 2201 NW Federal Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $1,810 | $1.68 | 14d | 18 | 0.24mi |
| 1010 NW Fresco Way Jensen Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,725 | $1.71 | 14d | 10 | 0.58mi |
| 800 NW Fork Rd Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,800 | $2.03 | 14d | 2 | 1.02mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $395 · $4,740/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,900 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $118,900 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $118,900 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2026-01-01price $119,900 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-08-23price $124,900 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2025-08-23price $124,900
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2025-06-06price $129,999 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2025-06-06price $129,999
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2025-02-24$139,900 Active 1016-char remark
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
-
2025-02-24$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1016 chars)
Outstanding Opportunity for this 55+ condo with a new price for a new year! This first floor one bedroom, corner location with one and a half baths is waiting for you to make it your own! The oversized bedroom features a full wall of closets and private full ensuite with step-in shower. Then step out to your Florida room with floor-to-ceiling windows for relaxing and enjoying the beautiful view of the lake and fountain. Also has a walk-in closet for extra storage. Updated features include flooring throughout, both bathrooms have updates, fully updated kitchen and appliances, A/C and HWH too. This is an Active 55+ community in the Stuart/Jensen Beach area. Adjacent to North River Shores public golf course. Convenient location close to Treasure Coast Mall, restaurants, entertainment, etc. T This is a beautiful, well-maintained community with lush landscape, walking paths, lakes, pool, clubhouse, library and so much more. No trucks, motorcycles or commercial vehicles. Must own for 2 years before renting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,695
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,660
- − Property taxes
- −$1,784
- − Insurance
- −$594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,576
- − Management
- −$1,576
- − HOA
- −$4,740
- − Depreciation
- −$3,459
- Taxable loss
- −$694
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$166
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 55+ condo is in good condition with updated features and a great location. It has a good resale and rental value with potential for further updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be updated to match buyer's preference
- Both Replace flooring — Tile flooring can be updated to a more modern material
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Updated cabinets can add value and functionality
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve functionality and aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Neutral paint can be updated to match buyer's preference ↑
- Both Replace flooring — Tile flooring can be updated to a more modern material ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — Updated cabinets can add value and functionality ↑
- Both Replace bathroom fixtures — New fixtures can improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — North River Shores
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #292
- US rank
- #4906
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North River Shores, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,737
- Household income
- $62,533
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1408.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 16% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.08%
- Current HPI
- 349.7061
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.69%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-15.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $118,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-01 Price Changed $119,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MCRTC
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $124,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-08-23 Price Changed $124,900 MCRTC
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $129,999 Beaches MLS
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $129,999 MCRTC
- 2025-02-24 Listed $139,900 MCRTC
- 2025-02-24 Listed $139,900 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…