17372 Firebird Dr · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$341,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THE EMORY II | 2,286 SQUARE FEET Discover sophisticated single-level living enhanced by a bonus upstairs suite in this meticulously designed Emory II plan. The thoughtfully configured main floor centers around an open-concept heart of the home, where the gourmet kitchen flows seamlessly into inviting living spaces. DISTINCTIVE FEATURES: 4 Bedrooms | 3 Bathrooms Primary Suite on Main Level 2-Car Garage Formal Dining Room LUXURY FINISHES: Premium Benton Burlap Cabinetry Quartz Countertops Throughout Kitchen and Baths Upgraded Wood-Look Plank Flooring in Main Living Areas The kitchen serves as a natural gathering space, featuring a walk-in pantry and welcoming café are
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Gourmet kitchen
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association (Sovereign and Jacobs); Quarterly association fee of $215; Association amenities: barbecue area, dog park, playground
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity available and connected; Cable available; Natural gas not available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Facing south
- Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered rear porch; Smoke detector(s); Cleared lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Microwave; ENERGY STAR qualified electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary on the first floor)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Smart thermostat; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Private water closet; Built-in closet; 9 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup (lower level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $342k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (11.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $276k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Baldwin Middle-Senior High School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 1,384 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($321k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.25%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $370,332
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14487 Firebird Dr | 0.01mi | 4/3.0 | 2,246 (-2%) | 1mo | $368,400 | $164 | 96 |
| 14394 Creekbluff Way | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 | 2,286 (0%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $157 | 90 |
| 14426 Firebird Dr | 0.10mi | 4/3.0 | 2,188 (-4%) | 3mo | $355,000 | $162 | 86 |
| 14377 Creekbluff Way | 0.22mi | 4/3.0 | 2,286 (0%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $153 | 85 |
| 14406 Creekbluff Way | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 | 2,188 (-4%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $160 | 80 |
| 14432 Firebird Dr | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,246 (-2%) | 4mo | $365,000 | $163 | 80 |
| 14444 Firebird Dr | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,246 (-2%) | 5mo | $359,990 | $160 | 79 |
| 14445 Firebird Dr | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 2,088 (-9%) | 1mo | $359,000 | $172 | 77 |
| 14462 Firebird Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 2,088 (-9%) | 3mo | $358,000 | $171 | 77 |
| 14358 Creekbluff Way | 0.23mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,188 (-4%) | 1mo | $349,990 | $160 | 77 |
| 14427 Firebird Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 | 2,088 (-9%) | 4mo | $376,000 | $180 | 74 |
| 14439 Firebird Dr | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 | 2,488 (+9%) | 1mo | $395,500 | $159 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-19,110
- Equity at exit
- $107,071
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $15,747
- Equity at exit
- $135,079
Cash invested: $95,757 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32234
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,755 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,793
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$427 /mo · $5,130/yr
- Insurance
- −$142
- HOA
- −$72
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$579
- Net cashflow
- $-259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-23 | -5% $-141 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-377 | +10% $-495 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-477 | -5% $-368 | +0% $-259 | +5% $-150 | +10% $-41 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-87 | -0.5pp $-172 | base $-259 | +0.5pp $-348 | +1.0pp $-438 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $85,498
- Closing costs
- $10,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5724 Lagoon Cruise Way Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2494 | $2,800 | $1.12 | 6d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 15180 Bareback Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1840 | $1,999 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $72 · $864/yr
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $341,990 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $341,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $341,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $341,990 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $341,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $341,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $341,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $341,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $341,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $341,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $341,990 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $341,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $341,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $341,990 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$341,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,060
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,157
- − Property taxes
- −$5,130
- − Insurance
- −$1,710
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,645
- − Management
- −$2,645
- − HOA
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$9,949
- Taxable loss
- −$9,039
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,169
- After-tax cash flow
- $-938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers
- Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and adds value to the home
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers ↑
- Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and adds value to the home ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,678
- Household income
- $87,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 62.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.45%
- Current HPI
- 288.4613
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $341,990 realMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…