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17372 Firebird Dr
D+ Composite 45.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$341,990

17372 Firebird Dr · Jacksonville, FL 32234
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,286 sqft · SingleFamily · 62 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,662 sqft lot Est $370k · 8% under $72/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THE EMORY II | 2,286 SQUARE FEET Discover sophisticated single-level living enhanced by a bonus upstairs suite in this meticulously designed Emory II plan. The thoughtfully configured main floor centers around an open-concept heart of the home, where the gourmet kitchen flows seamlessly into inviting living spaces. DISTINCTIVE FEATURES: 4 Bedrooms | 3 Bathrooms Primary Suite on Main Level 2-Car Garage Formal Dining Room LUXURY FINISHES: Premium Benton Burlap Cabinetry Quartz Countertops Throughout Kitchen and Baths Upgraded Wood-Look Plank Flooring in Main Living Areas The kitchen serves as a natural gathering space, featuring a walk-in pantry and welcoming café are

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

GOURMET KITCHENWALK-IN PANTRYSPA-INSPIRED BATHROOMFORMAL DINING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Community association (Sovereign and Jacobs); Quarterly association fee of $215; Association amenities: barbecue area, dog park, playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Water available; Sewer connected; Electricity available and connected; Cable available; Natural gas not available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Facing south
  • Construction: Fiber cement and frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered rear porch; Smoke detector(s); Cleared lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric oven; Microwave; ENERGY STAR qualified electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary on the first floor)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, heat pump); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry; Smart thermostat; Split bedroom layout; Walk-in closets; Private water closet; Built-in closet; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $342k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-259 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $305k (11.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $276k (19.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $276k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mamie Agnes Jones Elementary School (math 57% / reading 47%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 430 students, 61% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Baldwin Middle-Senior High School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 1,384 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($321k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $275,501 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.25%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$370,332
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14487 Firebird Dr 0.01mi 4/3.0 2,246 (-2%) 1mo $368,400 $164 96
14394 Creekbluff Way 0.19mi 4/3.0 2,286 (0%) 1mo $360,000 $157 90
14426 Firebird Dr 0.10mi 4/3.0 2,188 (-4%) 3mo $355,000 $162 86
14377 Creekbluff Way 0.22mi 4/3.0 2,286 (0%) 6mo $350,000 $153 85
14406 Creekbluff Way 0.17mi 4/3.0 2,188 (-4%) 6mo $350,000 $160 80
14432 Firebird Dr 0.30mi 4/3.0 2,246 (-2%) 4mo $365,000 $163 80
14444 Firebird Dr 0.30mi 4/3.0 2,246 (-2%) 5mo $359,990 $160 79
14445 Firebird Dr 0.07mi 4/2.0 2,088 (-9%) 1mo $359,000 $172 77
14462 Firebird Dr 0.04mi 4/2.0 2,088 (-9%) 3mo $358,000 $171 77
14358 Creekbluff Way 0.23mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,188 (-4%) 1mo $349,990 $160 77
14427 Firebird Dr 0.10mi 4/2.0 2,088 (-9%) 4mo $376,000 $180 74
14439 Firebird Dr 0.30mi 4/3.0 2,488 (+9%) 1mo $395,500 $159 71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-19,110
Equity at exit
$107,071
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$15,747
Equity at exit
$135,079

Cash invested: $95,757 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32234

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
233
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,755 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,793
Tax est. 1.5%
$427 /mo · $5,130/yr
Insurance
$142
HOA
$72
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$579
Net cashflow
$-259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,083
Max offer price $304,518
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-23 -5% $-141 +0% $-259 +5% $-377 +10% $-495
Rent -10% $-477 -5% $-368 +0% $-259 +5% $-150 +10% $-41
Rate -1.0pp $-87 -0.5pp $-172 base $-259 +0.5pp $-348 +1.0pp $-438

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$85,498
Closing costs
$10,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5724 Lagoon Cruise Way Jacksonville, FL 4.0 3.0 2494 $2,800 $1.12 6d 1 1.31mi
15180 Bareback Dr Jacksonville, FL 4.0 2.0 1840 $1,999 $1.09 5d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$72 · $864/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $341,990 Active 62 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $341,990 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $341,990 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $341,990 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $341,990 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $341,990 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $341,990 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $341,990 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $341,990 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $341,990 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $341,990 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $341,990 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $341,990 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $341,990 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    listed $341,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,060
− Mortgage interest
−$19,157
− Property taxes
−$5,130
− Insurance
−$1,710
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,645
− Management
−$2,645
− HOA
−$864
− Depreciation
−$9,949
Taxable loss
−$9,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,169
After-tax cash flow
$-938/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and adds value to the home

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances improve the home's appeal to potential buyers
  • Both Adding a smart home system — Improves convenience and adds value to the home

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,678
Household income
$87,331
Rent vs Own
13.6% rent · 86.4% own
Severe rent burden
62.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.45%
Current HPI
288.4613
Rent YoY
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $341,990 realMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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