CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
36227 Vinewood St
C- Composite 51.21
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$146,900

36227 Vinewood St · Romulus, MI 48174
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1949 7,405 sqft lot Est $170k · 14% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1949

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $147k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in Romulus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#593 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Romulus Community Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #498 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $136,377 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.84%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,352
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
35815 Cypress St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 966 (+3%) 1mo $192,400 $199 82
6080 Biddle St 0.62mi 3/1.0 976 (+4%) 20mo $160,000 $164 48
35411 Vinewood St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,034 (+10%) 15mo $219,000 $212 47
6556 Washington St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+12%) 12mo $175,000 $167 46
7189 Ozga St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (0%) 19mo $170,000 $182 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-15,433
Equity at exit
$21,903
10-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-2,721
Equity at exit
$12,701

Cash invested: $41,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48174

Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$770
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,197
Max offer price $146,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $215 -5% $173 +0% $132 +5% $90 +10% $49
Rent -10% $24 -5% $78 +0% $132 +5% $186 +10% $240
Rate -1.0pp $206 -0.5pp $169 base $132 +0.5pp $94 +1.0pp $55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,725
Closing costs
$4,407
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35390 Van Born Rd #103 Wayne, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,100 $1.19 45d 1 0.81mi
5228 Fletcher St Wayne, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 0d 1 0.93mi
34510 Van Born Rd Wayne, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $1,325 $1.34 16d 1 1.06mi
4916 S Wayne Rd Unit 1 Wayne, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $975 $1.50 14d 1 1.09mi
5672 Howe Rd Unit 15 Wayne, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 19d 1 1.31mi
7040 Shawnee Dr Romulus, MI 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1136 $1,399 $1.23 0d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-06
    status Pending 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

  2. 2026-04-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

  3. 2026-03-13
    price $146,900 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

  4. 2026-03-13
    price $146,900
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

  5. 2026-01-31
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

  6. 2026-01-31
    listed $149,900 Active 263-char remark
    Show marketing remark (263 chars)

    Bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom ranch. Great lot, 2 car garage, and shed makes this home have so much potential. Property is move in ready, just needs those finishing touches. Great for first time home buyers and investors. Schedule your private showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,368 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,815 · $151/mo
Expected delta
+$447/yr (+$37/mo · 32.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,365
− Mortgage interest
−$8,229
− Property taxes
−$1,368
− Insurance
−$734
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,309
− Management
−$1,309
− Depreciation
−$4,273
Taxable loss
−$858
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$206
After-tax cash flow
$1,787/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Romulus Community Schools
NCES district ID
2630120
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,165
Composite
13.17/100
National rank
#9556
State rank
#498 of 540 in MI

Livability — Romulus

Score
60/100
State rank
#593
US rank
#19387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Romulus, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
32,211
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,211
Household income
$67,056
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
755.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 37% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.93%
Current HPI
207.8345
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $146,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $146,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,368 · -14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…