4721 Pompano Rd · South Venice, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedrooms, 2 baths, split plan. Kitchen opens up to the large 10X24 lanai area for extra space. With a little TLC this home will be great again. Conveniently located near Highway 41. Buyer is advised to have complete and thorough inspections done and to verify all information. Seller/Agents have no knowledge of property conditions. Being Sold As-Is.
Key facts
- Kitchen opens up
- Large lanai area
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#549 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1247 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.47%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-21,351
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-18,413
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34293
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1247
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$537 /mo · $6,440/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19status $199,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $199,000 Pending 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-09price $199,000 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
3 bedrooms, 2 baths, split plan. Kitchen opens up to the large 10X24 lanai area for extra space. With a little TLC this home will be great again. Conveniently located near Highway 41. Buyer is advised to have complete and thorough inspections done and to verify all information. Seller/Agents have no knowledge of property conditions. Being Sold As-Is.
-
2026-05-08status Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
3 bedrooms, 2 baths, split plan. Kitchen opens up to the large 10X24 lanai area for extra space. With a little TLC this home will be great again. Conveniently located near Highway 41. Buyer is advised to have complete and thorough inspections done and to verify all information. Seller/Agents have no knowledge of property conditions. Being Sold As-Is.
-
2026-02-12status Pending 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
3 bedrooms, 2 baths, split plan. Kitchen opens up to the large 10X24 lanai area for extra space. With a little TLC this home will be great again. Conveniently located near Highway 41. Buyer is advised to have complete and thorough inspections done and to verify all information. Seller/Agents have no knowledge of property conditions. Being Sold As-Is.
-
2026-01-13$199,900 Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
3 bedrooms, 2 baths, split plan. Kitchen opens up to the large 10X24 lanai area for extra space. With a little TLC this home will be great again. Conveniently located near Highway 41. Buyer is advised to have complete and thorough inspections done and to verify all information. Seller/Agents have no knowledge of property conditions. Being Sold As-Is.
-
2021-11-01soldstatus $288,000 Closed 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Must be seen. Cozy house that has been updated inside and out. A 10-minute drive to beaches. Conveniently located to local shopping centers and restaurants.
-
2021-11-01soldstatus $286,000
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Must be seen. Cozy house that has been updated inside and out. A 10-minute drive to beaches. Conveniently located to local shopping centers and restaurants.
-
2021-08-20historical 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Must be seen. Cozy house that has been updated inside and out. A 10-minute drive to beaches. Conveniently located to local shopping centers and restaurants.
-
2021-08-09$279,000 156-char remark
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Must be seen. Cozy house that has been updated inside and out. A 10-minute drive to beaches. Conveniently located to local shopping centers and restaurants.
-
1988-03-03soldstatus $48,000
-
1972-11-01soldstatus $16,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,440 · $537/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,440 · $537/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$6,440
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,330
- − Management
- −$2,330
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $90
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$22
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Venice
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #10377
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Venice, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,278
- Household income
- $90,038
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 548.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -355.64%
- Current HPI
- 270.5242
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1106.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $199,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Listed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $286,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-01 Sold (MLS) $288,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-09 Listed $279,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 1972-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.9%/yrLatest (2025): $6,440 · -2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…