1 Fordham Hill Oval Unit 16G · New York, NY 10468

$207,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo · 171 Days on market

Built 1950 ↓ 20% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.9/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +8.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.3/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.2/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This high floor, 2-bedroom co-op apartment, with refinished hardwood floors and freshly painted is ready for you to move right in!. The spacious L-shaped living room and dining area is drenched in sunlight from a wall of windows with a Garden/Oval view, expansive skyviews and a slight river view from the bedrooms. Both bedrooms also have two exposures and can fit queen and king sized beds. A galley kitchen with stainless steel appliances complete your quiet oasis near restaurants, shopping, schools, parks and several modes of transportation. All utilities included. Fordham Hill Oval is a bucolic, 12-acre landscaped, gated community with 24-hour security with video surveillance, a playground

Key facts

• Garden oval view
• Expansive skyviews
• Galley kitchen

Tags

• REFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORS
• SPACIOUS L-SHAPED LIVING ROOM
• GARDEN OVAL VIEW
• EXPANSIVE SKYVIEWS
• SLIGHT RIVER VIEW
• GALLEY KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Managed by FirstService Residential; Live-in super on site; Association fees include cable TV, electricity, heat, and hot water

Exterior

• Parking: Off-site parking
• Security: Gated community; Security gate; Video cameras
• Utilities: Electricity provided by Con-Edison; Public sewer; Public trash collection
• Home design: Stock cooperative; Located on a high floor (entry level listed as 16) in a 17-story building
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Garden; Playground; Gated community with security gate and video cameras

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas range; Oven; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
• Bedrooms: 4 rooms total (includes bedrooms and living areas); entry level is 16
• Flooring: Hardwood
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Wall/window air conditioning units
• Interior features: Elevator; Common laundry area; No dogs allowed
• Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

🏢 Co-op / cooperative unit. The $207,000 price buys shares in the cooperative corporation, not the real estate itself — so it isn't comparable to a fee-simple sale price, and the cashflow / cap-rate / 1%-rule cards below (which assume you own the property and can rent it out) don't apply here. Expect board approval and a monthly maintenance fee on top of the price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $207k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $207k).
• Recommended offer: $182k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,090/mo this rent would consume 106% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 9659% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $182,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.98% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.24%
• DSCR: 1.41
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.5% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 14.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.76×
• Total profit: $43,996
• Equity at exit: $65,373

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.13×
• Total profit: $181,332
• Equity at exit: $82,917

Cash invested: $57,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10468

• Home prices YoY: 0.2%
• Rents YoY: 6.7%
• Active inventory: 124
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,090 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,086
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$259 /mo · $3,105/yr
• Insurance: −$86
• HOA est. from 2 same-building comps: −$1,354
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$859
• Net cashflow: $446

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,525

Max offer price $207,000

Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $589	-5% $518	+0% $446	+5% $375	+10% $303
Rent	-10% $123	-5% $285	+0% $446	+5% $608	+10% $769
Rate	-1.0pp $550	-0.5pp $499	base $446	+0.5pp $393	+1.0pp $338

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $51,750
• Closing costs: $6,210
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
405 W 206th St Unit 1202E New York, NY	3.0	2.0	900	$6,250	$6.94	26d	1	0.50mi
2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1132	$3,938	$3.48	23d	3	1.08mi
2311 Crotona Ave Apt 1 Bronx, NY	3.0	1.0	950	$3,350	$3.53	21d	1	1.46mi
2311 Crotona Ave Apt 2 Bronx, NY	3.0	1.0	950	$3,350	$3.53	26d	1	1.46mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: security
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $207,000 Active 171 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $207,000 Active 168 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $207,000 Active 167 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $207,000 Active 165 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $207,000 Active 163 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $207,000 Active 159 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $207,000 Active 158 DOM
8. 2026-06-04
   days on market $207,000 Active 154 DOM
9. 2026-06-03
   days on market $207,000 Active 153 DOM
10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $207,000 Active 151 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $207,000 Active 150 DOM
12. 2026-01-01
    listed $207,000 Active
13. 2026-01-01
    historical
14. 2025-12-19
    price $207,000
15. 2025-12-19
    price $207,000
16. 2025-05-15
    price $237,000
17. 2025-05-15
    price $237,000
18. 2024-12-11
    price $250,000
19. 2024-12-11
    price $250,000
20. 2024-08-17
    price $260,000
21. 2024-08-16
    status Active
22. 2024-04-25
    price $266,000
23. 2024-04-25
    status Pending
24. 2023-12-27
    listed $260,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $49,074
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,595
• − Property taxes: −$3,105
• − Insurance: −$1,035
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,926
• − Management: −$3,926
• − HOA: −$16,248
• − Depreciation: −$6,022
• Taxable income: $3,217
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$772
• After-tax cash flow: $4,582/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 75,557
• Household income: $46,233
• Rent vs Own: 91.5% rent · 8.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 9659.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 76% Black 17% Two or more races 15% White 3% Asian 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 45%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 1%
• Foreign-born: 46% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 22% English-only · Spanish 69% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.50%
• Current HPI: 249.8923
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.70%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-20.4% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-01 Listed $207,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-19 Price Changed $207,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2025-12-19 Price Changed $207,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-15 Price Changed $237,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2025-05-15 Price Changed $237,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-12-11 Price Changed $250,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2024-12-11 Price Changed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-08-17 Price Changed $260,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2024-08-16 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-04-25 Price Changed $266,000 RLS at REBNY
• 2024-04-25 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-12-27 Listed $260,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid