822 Wall St · Port Huron, MI
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.05%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
Key facts
- Renovated triplex
- Close to downtown
- 5,663 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($79/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.3% in Port Huron — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#445 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, crime F.
- Port Huron Area School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #368 of 540 in MI (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Steam Academy At Woodrow Wilson Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 207 students, 96% FRL); Port Huron High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,100 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 47% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.15%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 Chestnut St | 0.19mi | 6/2.0 | 1,772 | 17mo | $130,500 | $74 | 61 |
| 727 Griswold St | 0.34mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 2,247 | 2mo | $170,000 | $76 | 59 |
| 1719 Military St | 0.49mi | 6/4.5 | 7,046 | 20mo | $220,000 | $31 | 41 |
| 1217 Miller St | 0.55mi | 5/1.0 (-1) | 1,320 | 14mo | $118,500 | $90 | 37 |
| 1519 Oak St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,260 | 10mo | $95,000 | $42 | 37 |
| 1809 6th St | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,580 | 20mo | $125,000 | $48 | 37 |
| 2109 Military St | 0.73mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 1,777 | 7mo | $170,000 | $96 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-28,832
- Equity at exit
- $28,031
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-19,543
- Equity at exit
- $16,255
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48060
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,801 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax from tax record
- −$352 /mo · $4,221/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $60 | +0% $7 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-65 | +0% $7 | +5% $78 | +10% $149 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $101 | -0.5pp $54 | base $7 | +0.5pp $-42 | +1.0pp $-92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
-
2025-04-30soldstatus $165,000
-
2024-12-17status Pending
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2024-10-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
-
2024-10-21status Pending 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
-
2024-07-02price $188,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
-
2024-07-01price $188,000
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2024-07-01price $188,000
-
2024-06-11historical
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
-
2024-06-11$220,000 Active
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
-
2024-06-11$220,000 Active 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
-
2024-06-11historical
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Renovated triplex close to downtown Port Huron; Gross Rent $2,450 per month. Adjacent triplex also for sale - may be purchased together or separately. Contact listing broker for additional photos, tours, and financial data. Buyers responsible for agent commission if they choose to hire one.
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2024-05-23$440,000 Active
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2024-05-23$440,000 Active
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2022-12-09soldstatus $270,000
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2020-10-30soldstatus $103,000
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2018-08-15soldstatus $110,000
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2018-07-27soldstatus $110,000 Sold
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2018-07-27soldstatus $110,000 Closed
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2018-06-18status Pending
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2018-06-18status Pending
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2018-03-22status Active
-
2018-03-21status Active
-
2018-01-11status Pending
-
2018-01-11status Pending
-
2018-01-08$129,000 Active
-
2018-01-08$129,000 Active
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2016-07-31historical
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2016-07-31historical
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2016-07-31historical
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2016-07-31historical
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2016-04-16$69,950 Active
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2016-04-16status Active
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2016-03-02historical
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2016-03-01$69,950 Active
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2015-08-24price $69,950
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2015-08-24price $69,950
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2015-08-21$139,900 Active
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2015-07-30$139,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,221 · $352/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,221 · $352/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$4,221
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,729
- − Management
- −$1,729
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable loss
- −$3,010
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$722
- After-tax cash flow
- $802/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Huron Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628830
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,093
- Composite
- 25.4/100
- National rank
- #7462
- State rank
- #368 of 540 in MI
Livability — Port Huron
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #12478
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Huron, MI
- County
- Saint Clair County · 44,760 people
- City population
- 39,342
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,342
- Household income
- $53,018
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1808.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 154,587 people
- By 2030
- 150,031 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 138,177 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 124,390 · -19.5%
- By 2075
- 95,825 · -38.0%
- By 2100
- 68,672 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 7% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.3pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+7.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.75%
- Current HPI
- 177.2401
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.61%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+17.9% since first listed38 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2024-10-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-02 Price Changed $188,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-01 Price Changed $188,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-07-01 Price Changed $188,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-06-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-11 Listed $220,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-06-11 Listed $220,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-06-11 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-05-23 Listed $440,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-23 Listed $440,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-07-27 Sold (MLS) $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-06-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-03-22 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-03-21 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2018-01-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-01-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-01-08 Listed $129,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-01-08 Listed $129,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-07-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-07-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-07-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2016-04-16 Listed $69,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-04-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-02 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-01 Listed $69,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-08-24 Price Changed $69,950 REALCOMP
- 2015-08-24 Price Changed $69,950 REALCOMP
- 2015-08-21 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2015-07-30 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,221 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…