2512 SW H Ave · Lawton, OK 73505

$17,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 968 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market

Built 1956 10,271 sqft lot ↓ 28% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 2512 SW H Ave, Lawton, OK 73505 — a charming opportunity in the heart of Lawton! This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers 968 square feet of comfortable living space with a layout designed for everyday functionality. The inviting floor plan makes excellent use of space, featuring a cozy living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining areas — perfect for gathering with family and friends. Each bedroom offers versatility, whether you need space for family, guests, or a home office. The home sits in an established neighborhood with convenient access to local shopping, dining, schools, and Fort Sill. Outside, you’ll find a manageable yard with plenty of

Key facts

• Manageable yard
• Versatile bedrooms
• Convenient access

Tags

• ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD
• CONVENIENT ACCESS
• MANAGEABLE YARD
• OUTDOOR ENJOYMENT
• VERSATILE BEDROOMS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Homestead exemption indicated
• Financial info: Tax amount reported; Not assumable
• HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

• Home design: Single family residence; One-level property; Residential property
• Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built (existing)
• Exterior features: No special exterior features listed; Interior lot; Below-ground storm shelter

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: No fireplace; No study; Not an in-law plan

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $810 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $18k).
• Recommended offer: $17k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 60.6% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
• Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Cleveland Es (math 32% / reading 12%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $124 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $537 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $16,826 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.68% ✓
• Cap rate: 60.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 193.99%
• DSCR: 9.63
• GRM: 1.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $40,656
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2512 SW H Ave	0.00mi	3/1.0	968 (0%)	1mo	$17,500	$18	99
2309 SW I	0.28mi	3/1.0	1,000 (+3%)	9mo	$35,000	$35	74
2709 SW H Ave	0.23mi	3/1.0	912 (-6%)	10mo	$38,000	$42	72
2320 SW E Ave	0.32mi	3/1.0	1,000 (+3%)	10mo	$54,000	$54	71
1202 SW 26th Pl	0.15mi	3/1.5	900 (-7%)	11mo	$87,500	$97	70
3405 SW Crestview Dr	0.48mi	3/1.0	1,000 (+3%)	10mo	$59,500	$60	63
1311 SW 26th St	0.31mi	2/1.0 (-1)	900 (-7%)	7mo	$27,000	$30	63
904 SW 37th St	0.59mi	3/1.0	1,000 (+3%)	6mo	$112,000	$112	62
2815 SW J Ave	0.45mi	3/1.0	900 (-7%)	8mo	$32,500	$36	61
2415 SW Washington Ave	0.46mi	2/1.0 (-1)	900 (-7%)	3mo	$37,500	$42	60
2421 SW D Ave	0.34mi	2/1.0 (-1)	900 (-7%)	10mo	$25,000	$28	59
926 SW 36th	0.53mi	3/1.0	900 (-7%)	11mo	$27,000	$30	54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 11.25×
• Total profit: $51,356
• Equity at exit: $2,669

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 25.45×
• Total profit: $122,535
• Equity at exit: $1,548

Cash invested: $5,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Oklahoma: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 73505

• Rents YoY: 5.1%
• Active inventory: 398
• Price-to-rent: 1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,195 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$94
• Tax from tax record: −$33 /mo · $393/yr
• Insurance: −$7
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$251
• Net cashflow: $810

Break-even live

Break-even rent $170

Max offer price $17,900

Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $4,475
• Closing costs: $537
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-07
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-23
   price $17,900
3. 2026-04-02
   price $23,750
4. 2026-03-04
   listed $25,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $393 · $33/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $393 · $33/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,344
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,003
• − Property taxes: −$393
• − Insurance: −$90
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,147
• − Management: −$1,147
• − Depreciation: −$521
• Taxable income: $10,043
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,410
• After-tax cash flow: $7,312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lawton
• NCES district ID: 4017250
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $42,618
• Composite: 19.68/100
• National rank: #8732
• State rank: #137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #206
• US rank: #15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lawton, OK
• County: Comanche County · 96,361 people
• City population: 89,233
• Metro: Lawton, OK
• Population (ZIP): 47,790
• Household income: $58,272
• Rent vs Own: 48.2% rent · 51.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 124,518 people
• By 2030: 124,231 · -0.2%
• By 2040: 122,193 · -1.9%
• By 2050: 120,368 · -3.3%
• By 2075: 120,492 · -3.2%
• By 2100: 123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, South Korea
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -134.88%
• Current HPI: 169.4524
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.14%
• Metro: Lawton, OK
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.55%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	3	$48B

Price history

-28.4% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-07 Pending — MLSOK
• 2026-04-23 Price Changed $17,900 MLSOK
• 2026-04-02 Price Changed $23,750 MLSOK
• 2026-03-04 Listed $25,000 MLSOK

Property tax history

+16.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $393 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.