140 Green Mtn · Saw Creek, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
JUST REDUCED 6,000 !! Close to Rte 80 great for commuting !!! Totally Remodeled from Top to Bottom Mobile Home!!!! Even Has a New Roof! Two Bedroom and two Full Bathrooms. Löw Key Community . Close to RT 80,shopping, hospitals, restaurants and hiking trails. This community has a park with play ground, basketball. New heating /Cooling Unit Kitchen has Granite counter tops all new cabinets, new refrigerator and stove. Also, brand new washer and dryer a MUST SEE! Contingent upon Seller finding Suitable Housing . Being Sold As Is
Key facts
- New lighting
- New siding
- Brand new kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 4.3% in Saw Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,538 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, schools F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.29%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,963
- List price
- $79,500
- Delta
- -24.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $17,302
- Equity at exit
- $11,854
- IRR
- 27.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $54,784
- Equity at exit
- $6,874
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18302
- Home prices YoY
- -20.6%
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $212/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$535
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $535 · $6,420/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $79,500 Pending 297 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,500 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,500 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,500 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,500 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,500 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,500 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,500 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,500 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,500 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,500 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,500 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,500 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,500 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $79,500 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,500 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-03price $79,500 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
JUST REDUCED 6,000 !! Close to Rte 80 great for commuting !!! Totally Remodeled from Top to Bottom Mobile Home!!!! Even Has a New Roof! Two Bedroom and two Full Bathrooms. Löw Key Community . Close to RT 80,shopping, hospitals, restaurants and hiking trails. This community has a park with play ground, basketball. New heating /Cooling Unit Kitchen has Granite counter tops all new cabinets, new refrigerator and stove. Also, brand new washer and dryer a MUST SEE! Contingent upon Seller finding Suitable Housing . Being Sold As Is
-
2026-02-27price $83,500 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
JUST REDUCED 6,000 !! Close to Rte 80 great for commuting !!! Totally Remodeled from Top to Bottom Mobile Home!!!! Even Has a New Roof! Two Bedroom and two Full Bathrooms. Löw Key Community . Close to RT 80,shopping, hospitals, restaurants and hiking trails. This community has a park with play ground, basketball. New heating /Cooling Unit Kitchen has Granite counter tops all new cabinets, new refrigerator and stove. Also, brand new washer and dryer a MUST SEE! Contingent upon Seller finding Suitable Housing . Being Sold As Is
-
2025-10-30price $89,500 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Totally Remodeled 2 Bedroom and 2 Bath Mobile Home. Kitchen is Brand new, all new flooring, new wall and lighting. New siding and decking It is like getting a new Mobile Home A most see !!!!
-
2025-10-28price $89,500 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
JUST REDUCED 6,000 !! Close to Rte 80 great for commuting !!! Totally Remodeled from Top to Bottom Mobile Home!!!! Even Has a New Roof! Two Bedroom and two Full Bathrooms. Löw Key Community . Close to RT 80,shopping, hospitals, restaurants and hiking trails. This community has a park with play ground, basketball. New heating /Cooling Unit Kitchen has Granite counter tops all new cabinets, new refrigerator and stove. Also, brand new washer and dryer a MUST SEE! Contingent upon Seller finding Suitable Housing . Being Sold As Is
-
2025-08-26$94,000 Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Totally Remodeled 2 Bedroom and 2 Bath Mobile Home. Kitchen is Brand new, all new flooring, new wall and lighting. New siding and decking It is like getting a new Mobile Home A most see !!!!
-
2025-08-19price $94,000 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
JUST REDUCED 6,000 !! Close to Rte 80 great for commuting !!! Totally Remodeled from Top to Bottom Mobile Home!!!! Even Has a New Roof! Two Bedroom and two Full Bathrooms. Löw Key Community . Close to RT 80,shopping, hospitals, restaurants and hiking trails. This community has a park with play ground, basketball. New heating /Cooling Unit Kitchen has Granite counter tops all new cabinets, new refrigerator and stove. Also, brand new washer and dryer a MUST SEE! Contingent upon Seller finding Suitable Housing . Being Sold As Is
-
2025-08-11$99,000 Active 538-char remark
Show marketing remark (538 chars)
JUST REDUCED 6,000 !! Close to Rte 80 great for commuting !!! Totally Remodeled from Top to Bottom Mobile Home!!!! Even Has a New Roof! Two Bedroom and two Full Bathrooms. Löw Key Community . Close to RT 80,shopping, hospitals, restaurants and hiking trails. This community has a park with play ground, basketball. New heating /Cooling Unit Kitchen has Granite counter tops all new cabinets, new refrigerator and stove. Also, brand new washer and dryer a MUST SEE! Contingent upon Seller finding Suitable Housing . Being Sold As Is
-
2024-12-04soldstatus $93,000 Closed
-
2024-11-18status Pending
-
2024-10-26status Active
-
2024-08-04$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $212 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $734 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$522/yr (+$43/mo · 245.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,357
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$212
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,789
- − Management
- −$1,789
- − HOA
- −$6,420
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $4,984
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,196
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,433/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Saw Creek
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1538
- US rank
- #20241
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,593
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 17% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.00%
- Current HPI
- 157.9833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-24.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Price Changed $79,500 PMAR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $83,500 PMAR
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $89,500 GLVRMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $89,500 PMAR
- 2025-08-26 Listed $94,000 GLVRMLS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $94,000 PMAR
- 2025-08-11 Listed $99,000 PMAR
- 2024-12-04 Sold (MLS) $93,000 PMAR
- 2024-11-18 Pending — PMAR
- 2024-10-26 Relisted — PMAR
- 2024-08-04 Listed $105,000 PMAR
Property tax history
-10.0%/yrLatest (2026): $212 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…