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7486 Clinton Rd
D- Composite 35.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0

$309,500

7486 Clinton Rd · Stedman, NC 28391
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,278 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1927 Est $293k · 6% over ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1927 Home in the "heart of Stedman . ” that has been gutted in 2017 . .. Plumbing, Electrical, Metal roof, granite counter tops in kitchen . !!! Den with fireplace , Large dining room, 2 bedrooms up, 2 bedrooms down, Beautiful hardwood floors, carpet in bedrooms. Home has so much character and charm…. Detached garage that is heated and cooled that could be a "man cave", extra rental income, etc. Lots of opportunities !!

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1927
  • Listed 160 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Detached parking; 2-car garage; 2-car carport (4 covered spaces total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential zoning (R10 - Residential District); Corner lot, cleared
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Storage; Front covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Gas log fireplace (1 total)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (28.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (41.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $181k (41.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#107 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stedman Elementary (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #302 of 1,410 statewide, top 23%, 271 students, 99% FRL); Mac Williams Middle (math 40% / reading 50%, grade D, #160 of 475 statewide, top 35%, 1,151 students, 58% FRL); Cape Fear High (math 75% / reading 47%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,529 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,529 (41.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.36%
Cash-on-cash
-6.89%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
14.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$292,662
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Hillsboro St 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-12%) 20mo $232,000 $207 50
104 First St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,133 (-11%) 19mo $260,000 $229 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$136,748
Equity at exit
$278,822
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
5.93×
Total profit
$427,428
Equity at exit
$601,290

Cash invested: $86,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28391

Home prices YoY
16.1%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,805 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,623
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,064/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$-498

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,435
Max offer price $221,550
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-323 -5% $-410 +0% $-498 +5% $-585 +10% $-673
Rent -10% $-640 -5% $-569 +0% $-498 +5% $-427 +10% $-355
Rate -1.0pp $-342 -0.5pp $-419 base $-498 +0.5pp $-578 +1.0pp $-660

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,375
Closing costs
$9,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $309,500 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $309,500 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $309,500 Active 156 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $309,500 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $309,500 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $309,500 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $309,500 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $309,500 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $309,500 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $309,500 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $309,500 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $309,500 Active 142 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $309,500 Active 141 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $309,500 Active 140 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $309,500 Active 139 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $309,500 Active 138 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $309,500
  18. 2026-03-01
    price $314,900
  19. 2026-01-17
    status Active
  20. 2026-01-17
    price $319,500
  21. 2025-12-15
    status Pending
  22. 2025-12-10
    listed $314,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,064 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,538 · $211/mo
Expected delta
+$474/yr (+$39/mo · 22.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,663
− Mortgage interest
−$17,337
− Property taxes
−$2,064
− Insurance
−$1,548
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,733
− Management
−$1,733
− Depreciation
−$9,004
Taxable loss
−$11,755
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,821
After-tax cash flow
$-3,153/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Stedman

Score
71/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#6799

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stedman, NC
Population (ZIP)
5,956

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 12% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.06%
Current HPI
331.7099
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $309,500 LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Price Changed $314,900 LPRMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Price Changed $319,500 LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $314,900 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,064 · +39.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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