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420 Beech St
D+ Composite 45.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

420 Beech St · Greensboro, NC 27401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1985 5,662 sqft lot Est $189k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 2-bedroom, 2-bath home conveniently located near North Carolina A & T University and downtown Greensboro. Features a fenced in yard and offers excellent potential as an investment property or primary residence.

Key facts

  • Primary residence
  • Investment property
  • Fenced in yard

Tags

FENCED IN YARDINVESTMENT PROPERTYPRIMARY RESIDENCE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1985; Living room fireplace
  • Construction: Wood siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Public-maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Free-standing range; Range hood; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (14.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $163k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: John Van Lindley Elementary (math 37% / reading 53%, grade D-, #568 of 1,410 statewide, top 41%, 468 students, 56% FRL); Kiser Middle (math 37% / reading 50%, grade D, #182 of 475 statewide, top 40%, 902 students, 58% FRL); Grimsley High (math 60% / reading 62%, grade C+, #202 of 535 statewide, top 39%, 1,899 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $190k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $163,138 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.38%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$189,024
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
800 Bluford St 0.09mi 3/1.0 960 (-9%) 3mo $223,500 $233 74
702 5th Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,037 (-2%) 12mo $253,000 $244 63
701 Park Ave 0.24mi 2/1.5 (-1) 956 (-10%) 5mo $180,000 $188 62
306 Regan St 0.15mi 3/1.0 953 (-10%) 21mo $140,000 $147 55
514 Boyd St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 932 (-12%) 21mo $167,000 $179 40
709 N Church St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,148 (+9%) 18mo $165,000 $144 34
215 Marshall St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 925 (-12%) 6mo $80,000 $86 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-26,103
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-22,243
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27401

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
130
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,631 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,303/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,498
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $213 -5% $159 +0% $105 +5% $51 +10% $-2
Rent -10% $-24 -5% $41 +0% $105 +5% $170 +10% $234
Rate -1.0pp $201 -0.5pp $154 base $105 +0.5pp $56 +1.0pp $6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 N Dudley St Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1264 $2,200 $1.74 16d 1 0.07mi
506 Martin St Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,500 $1.16 25d 1 0.66mi
201 N Elm St Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,195 $1.90 25d 1 0.68mi
201 N Elm St Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.0 1046 $2,298 $2.20 16d 2 0.69mi
201 Huffman St Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,000 $0.74 16d 1 0.79mi
2011 Lutheran St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $985 $1.23 25d 1 0.79mi
321 S Elm St Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,787 $1.88 16d 8 0.81mi
451 N Eugene St Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $2,309 $2.26 16d 6 0.85mi
404 W Smith St Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 803 $1,719 $2.14 16d 8 0.89mi
710 Reid St Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 925 $1,395 $1.51 16d 1 0.90mi
1001 E Bragg St Apt B Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $925 $1.32 16d 1 0.92mi
403 S O Henry Blvd Unit Alexander Homes Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 860 $875 $1.02 25d 1 0.93mi
503 S O Henry Blvd Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 860 $850 $0.99 25d 1 0.94mi
238 E Lewis St #302 Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.0 1270 $1,795 $1.41 25d 1 0.98mi
110 S Raleigh St Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 25d 1 1.12mi
112 S Raleigh St Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 25d 1 1.12mi
2001 Spencer St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 720 $1,295 $1.80 25d 1 1.24mi
801 W McGee St #25 Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 23d 1 1.24mi
1410 Maple St Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,150 $1.13 16d 1 1.29mi
909 Tuscaloosa St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 840 $1,195 $1.42 25d 1 1.31mi
405 E Whittington St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 25d 1 1.32mi
1000 Hill St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 888 $850 $0.96 23d 1 1.33mi
1004 Hill St Unit 1004-A Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1087 $1,195 $1.10 25d 1 1.33mi
1700 N Elm St Unit J3 Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 841 $1,350 $1.61 25d 1 1.38mi
808 Idlewood Dr Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 900 $1,499 $1.67 21d 1 1.38mi
1007 Hill St Unit 1007-C Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.5 1050 $1,595 $1.52 25d 1 1.39mi
1604 Textile Dr Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 930 $1,245 $1.34 25d 1 1.42mi
904 Stephens St Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.0 1052 $1,490 $1.42 16d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $189,900 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Due Diligence Period 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Due Diligence Period 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Due Diligence Period 12 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Due Diligence Period 11 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Due Diligence Period 10 DOM
  7. 2026-05-20
    listed $189,900 Active
  8. 2002-08-07
    soldstatus $86,000
  9. 1999-09-02
    soldstatus $84,000
  10. 1998-03-01
    soldstatus $71,500
  11. 1998-01-01
    soldstatus $41,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,303 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,557 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$254/yr (+$21/mo · 19.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,577
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$1,303
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,566
− Management
−$1,566
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$1,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$473
After-tax cash flow
$1,736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
329,421
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
21,920
Household income
$47,972
Rent vs Own
63.6% rent · 36.4% own
Severe rent burden
1138.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.87%
Current HPI
240.5377
Rent YoY
▲ 1.78%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+360.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $189,900 Triad MLS
  • 2002-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 1999-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 1998-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
  • 1998-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,303 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…