717 Laughrun Dr · Forrest City, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.6/10.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
Key facts
- Detached
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1986
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($905 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 9.7% in Forrest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#297 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Forrest City School District (town): math 12% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #230 of 238 in AR (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in St. Francis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Francis County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 746 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 80% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $45k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 746 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.42%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,337
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -18.68%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $21,067
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 45.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.35×
- Total profit
- $54,830
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72335
- Home prices YoY
- -4.9%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $905 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $45,000 Active 746 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 745 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 744 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 743 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 742 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 740 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $45,000 Active 739 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 736 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 735 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 734 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 733 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $45,000 Active 730 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 729 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 728 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 727 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 726 DOM
-
2026-01-15price $45,000 59-char remark
Show marketing remark (59 chars)
Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2026-01-02status Back on Market 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2026-01-01historical 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2025-05-09price $50,000 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2025-01-02status Back on Market 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2025-01-01historical 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2024-08-17status Back on Market 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2024-08-08status Under Contract 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
2024-05-23$25,000 New Listing 59-char remark
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Investors, call me today to see this property. 870.261.8653
-
1992-11-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $180 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $288 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- +$108/yr (+$9/mo · 59.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$869
- − Management
- −$869
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $4,891
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,174
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,172/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forrest City School District
- NCES district ID
- 0506270
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,153
- Composite
- 9.07/100
- National rank
- #9871
- State rank
- #230 of 238 in AR
Livability — Forrest City
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #20349
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forrest City, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,514
Population outlook (St. Francis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,387 people
- By 2030
- 23,269 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 21,122 · -13.4%
- By 2050
- 19,281 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 15,222 · -37.6%
- By 2100
- 11,449 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Francis
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.4% · R 48.6% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.5pp · 2024: 0.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.7 2020: D+5.1 2016: D+11.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+16.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.86%
- Current HPI
- 133.8115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+350.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $45,000 CARMLS
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $50,000 CARMLS
- 2025-01-02 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-01-01 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2024-08-17 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2024-08-08 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-05-23 Listed $25,000 CARMLS
- 1992-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $180 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…