1319 Carolina St E · Wilson, NC 27893

$149,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market

Built 1997 5,227 sqft lot Est $113k · 33% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.8/30.0
• DSCR +5.6/10.0
• Rent growth +4.3/5.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Schools +3.3/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Over $47,000 BELOW TAX VALUE! $$ equity potential for rental, investment property. Property sold as-is, all info, systems, utilities to be verified by buyer. All info based on public record &/or prior MLS, UNVERIFIED. AGENTS, REVIEW AGENT REMARKS.

Key facts

• New floors
• New paint
• Completely renovated

Tags

• COMPLETELY RENOVATED
• NEW ROOF
• NEW FLOORS
• NEW PAINT
• MOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: On-site paved parking
• Security: Smoke detector(s)
• Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric and natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level is 1st floor; Vinyl siding and frame construction
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
• Exterior features: Porch; Storm door(s); Shingle roof; Paved road frontage (city street and state road); Has a view; No fencing

Interior

• Kitchen: No built-in kitchen appliances listed; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Insulated windows; Smoke detector(s); Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (8.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $137k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.4% in Wilson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Vick Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,331 of 1,410 statewide, top 96%, 323 students, 99% FRL); Charles H Darden Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 441 students, 99% FRL); Beddingfield High (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 682 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Wilson County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $150k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $136,649 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.51%
• DSCR: 1.16
• GRM: 9.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $112,776
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1319 Carolina St E	0.00mi	3/1.0	1,016 (0%)	1mo	$140,000	$138	99
1321 Nash St E	0.15mi	3/1.5	1,040 (+2%)	6mo	$207,000	$199	82
1201 Atlantic St E	0.18mi	3/1.0	1,054 (+4%)	7mo	$62,000	$59	80
1310 Washington St E	0.08mi	3/1.0	951 (-6%)	8mo	$145,000	$152	79
1006 Washington St E	0.28mi	3/1.0	967 (-5%)	7mo	$107,000	$111	73
304 Reid St E	0.22mi	2/1.0 (-1)	915 (-10%)	2mo	$117,000	$128	67
631 Vance St E	0.49mi	3/1.5	1,070 (+5%)	2mo	$110,000	$103	65
116 Reid St SE	0.36mi	3/2.0	1,113 (+10%)	1mo	$125,000	$112	62
1201 Lincoln St SE	0.58mi	3/1.0	1,080 (+6%)	1mo	$90,000	$83	62
410 Academy St E	0.72mi	3/1.0	960 (-6%)	1mo	$85,000	$89	56
913 Faison St E	0.30mi	2/1.0 (-1)	905 (-11%)	8mo	$91,000	$101	56
912 Atlantic St E	0.37mi	2/1.0 (-1)	869 (-14%)	7mo	$35,000	$40	48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.74×
• Total profit: $-10,761
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.62×
• Total profit: $26,153
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 27893

• Rents YoY: 7.0%
• Active inventory: 261
• Price-to-rent: 9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,366 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$108 /mo · $1,298/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,211

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-04
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-27
   listed $149,900 Active
3. 2011-03-04
   soldstatus $20,000 251-char remark

   Show marketing remark (251 chars)

   Over $47,000 BELOW TAX VALUE! $$ equity potential for rental, investment property. Property sold as-is, all info, systems, utilities to be verified by buyer. All info based on public record &/or prior MLS, UNVERIFIED. AGENTS, REVIEW AGENT REMARKS.

4. 2010-12-20
   listed $24,900 251-char remark

   Show marketing remark (251 chars)

   Over $47,000 BELOW TAX VALUE! $$ equity potential for rental, investment property. Property sold as-is, all info, systems, utilities to be verified by buyer. All info based on public record &/or prior MLS, UNVERIFIED. AGENTS, REVIEW AGENT REMARKS.

5. 2010-08-20
   soldstatus $70,000
6. 2006-01-01
   historical
7. 2005-03-21
   listed $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,298 · $108/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,298 · $108/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,398
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$1,298
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,312
• − Management: −$1,312
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable loss: −$1,031
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$247
• After-tax cash flow: $1,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wilson County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3705020
• Math proficiency: 38% ▲ 2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $39,342
• Composite: 32.64/100
• National rank: #5665
• State rank: #119 of 178 in NC

Livability — Wilson

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #374
• US rank: #14674

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wilson, NC
• County: Wilson County · 57,967 people
• City population: 57,967
• Metro: Wilson, NC
• Population (ZIP): 38,512
• Household income: $42,810
• Rent vs Own: 55.8% rent · 44.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2175.0

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 82,765 people
• By 2030: 82,492 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 81,054 · -2.1%
• By 2050: 78,610 · -5.0%
• By 2075: 71,865 · -13.2%
• By 2100: 62,792 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 55% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 0.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+2.9 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+7.3 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -149.54%
• Current HPI: 211.4136
• Rent YoY: ▲ 7.01%
• Metro: Wilson, NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

+82.8% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-04 Pending — Hive MLS
• 2026-03-27 Listed $149,900 Hive MLS
• 2011-03-04 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Hive MLS
• 2010-12-20 Listed $24,900 Hive MLS
• 2010-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
• 2006-01-01 Listing Removed — TMLS
• 2005-03-21 Listed $82,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,298 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.